Paying Kevin Martin
A few weeks ago, I thought a lot about Kevin Martin's possible contract extension. Here's the conclusion I drew:
Today, we learned the Kings have reportedly offered Martin $55 million over five years. That's within 'good-taste-in-my-mouth' status. But it's close.
If this were Martin's request, I'd be ecstatic. But it's not. And pen hasn't been put to paper. Which means Martin's agent Jason Levien could ask for more. Which means the pricetag could go up.
Let's hope it doesn't go up too much. Not because Martin doesn't deserve it -- no one works harder, few young guys are such dynamic scorers. But as I think we've learned, tying up too much salary in a few players in anathema to success. This is a bigger contract than Manu Ginobili. Bigger than Leandro Barbosa. Again -- Martin deserves it. But it could get dangerous. It takes more than one star to win a ring.
Kevin will turn 30 years old the year this hypothetical contract expires, and the penultimate salary (assuming standard payscale -- nothing front-loaded or anything) would be around $13 million. Barring an Allen Houstonesque injury, Martin would have a very manageable contract. The salary cap should be up past $60 million by then. All the (current) bad contracts will be long gone. Spencer Hawes will be 25. Who knows what the rest of the team will look like. I'm not going to lose sleep over a slightly inflated deal for Martin that far in the future.
The fact that Geoff Petrie seems very, very serious about keeping Kevin Martin is great news for us. I'm guilty of getting caught up in the numbers of these deals... but this is one we should just grin and bear. Go Kings.

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20 comments
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Re: Paying Kevin Martin
by kingme on Aug 25, 2007 9:26 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: Paying Kevin Martin
by Mityt on Aug 27, 2007 10:15 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Paying Kevin Martin
by section214 on Aug 27, 2007 11:01 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Paying Kevin Martin
Another way of putting it: Would you be surprised to see Martin average 27 ppg within the next five years? Would you be surprised to see Howard average... 25 ppg within the next five years? Scoring isn't everything, but it's a big part for these two.
Howard's an incredible defender, though. Hard to quantify that.
by Ziller on Aug 27, 2007 11:13 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Paying Kevin Martin
by pookeyguru on Aug 27, 2007 12:18 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Paying Kevin Martin
If they were signing K-Mart to this extension and all of the bloated contracts were expiring at the end of this year, wouldn't we be a bunch of excited happy campers?
by section214 on Aug 25, 2007 9:35 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: Paying Kevin Martin
by pookeyguru on Aug 25, 2007 12:48 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Paying Kevin Martin
by section214 on Aug 25, 2007 2:20 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Paying Kevin Martin
by rimrock101 on Aug 25, 2007 9:47 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: Paying Kevin Martin
- You risk the danger of having your best young player since peja locked up at an overvalued price.
- You overpay as the market seems to be going downward, with the exception of young superstars (whatever that constitutes).
- You don't know exactly where Kevin would fit in an upper echelon team winning 50+ games.
- You risk the possibility of having to negotiate a trade kicker at the end of this extension (in the league for 8 seasons with the same team AND an unrestricted Free Agency).
- You end up overpaying the other young talent in accordance similar to the way you payed Martin.
- The possibility of being able to backload the deal may provide a way to get value particularily at the end of his contract when he makes less money than he does at the beginning.
- His star continues to rise and he becomes a value at that price.
- Avoiding the 2008 offseason could drive his price up even further when alot more teams with needs for good outside shooters/slashers could offer him even more money.
- It makes him happy and he becomes an All-Star next season.
I'm happy that the kings are signing him to a long term deal and all that. I'm disappointed that the number is so high. Kevin is at most an 8 million a year player at the moment. And if you add an extra mil he isn't better than Peja was at a similar stage. That's the reality. He can be better and he could be a little worse. It's hard to say. It's just that the money seems high for a guy whose best year came on a very dysfunctional franchise regardless of the circumstance.
by pookeyguru on Aug 25, 2007 5:09 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: Paying Kevin Martin
by pookeyguru on Aug 25, 2007 11:42 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Paying Kevin Martin
by jjham15 on Aug 25, 2007 8:31 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: Paying Kevin Martin
by Z3nBall3r on Aug 26, 2007 3:37 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: Paying Kevin Martin
by NYCFan on Aug 26, 2007 7:25 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Paying Kevin Martin
by pookeyguru on Aug 26, 2007 9:13 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Paying Kevin Martin
by Ziller on Aug 26, 2007 9:18 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Thanx for that update Dan Coon
by pookeyguru on Aug 26, 2007 10:25 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Thanx for that update Dan Coon
by Ziller on Aug 26, 2007 10:59 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Thanx for that update Dan Coon
by Ziller on Aug 26, 2007 11:00 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Thanx for that update Dan Coon
by pookeyguru on Aug 26, 2007 11:15 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs

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