but I believe that falls in the 36+

I haven’t even seen PW’s rotation, so it’s hard to really decide. Because of our lack of height , were really only going to be competitive with team similarly disadvantaged. PW tried JT & Spencer together with Spencer sitting early so that he would spell JT later. The last two games Hawes came off the bench so that either Spencer or JT were always on the floor. May has only been moderiately successful, with most of his scoring coming from long range. But, were most successful with JT and Spencer together, like the end of last year.

We have no scorers when Martin sits. And, Noc & Omri have shown a lot of hussle, but lack the consistancy of Cisco’s outside game. And, as good as Tyreke has looked, teams are going to pack the paint to keep him from finishing. Unless our guards are able to penetrate or get the ball inside to are bigs, we’re going to end up the same jumpshooting teams that we were last year.

PW’s schemes are too new. They just don’t have any real handle on them yet. Maybe later in the season. So, IMO end Dec 10-21, but unless we make a deal for more help inside, we end the season 27-55.

and your guess is as good as anyone’s, actually better than most. As as read it I absolutely believed it ,but when I went to vote and my natural optimism deserted me and I ended up voting 21-25. My initial guesstimate was 27 wins but though I believe we will see a far better and different team this season, I think our team is too young and the hole at center concerns me. I am going to wuss out and predict 23 wins. I am also predicting that by the end of January, beginning of February we will be beginning to lose faith and there will an active debate as to whether the rebuild is on track or be looking like a bust.

I would be happy for you to be right.

You should have included in your October predictions:

Tyreke Evans scores 30 in the opening game and Ailene Voisin begins her first tirade of the season against the Kings…insisting the team should have drafted Ricky Rubio and Phil Jackson should be their coach.

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however, PW is the only real nba coach the Kings have had since Adelman. That alone will net this team a 5 win improvement.

The reason being is some of the teams that were previously in the bottom 5 do have a lot of potential. For example, the Clippers just added Griffin to their roster consisting of Camby and Kaman, along with Baron Davis and an improving Eric Gordon. If Washington can keep healthy, they’ll be a pretty good team, too. OKC has Kevin Durant..which is all I need to really say.

All the while, the Kings have a very inexperienced team, with a new coach. The addition of Evans and a healthy Martin should translate to maybe 5 or so added wins, max, but I’m very skeptical of 10.

Maybe my reasoning is being tainted, thinking the grass is greener on the other side. I’d love to be proven wrong, though.

But I’m inclined to pick about 22-27. With 24 as my guess.

I think this team wins about 16-18 games at home and about 6-7 on the road. Last year the team only won 11 games at home so winning 5-7 more is probably pretty reasonable. I think the Achilles heel of the team is picking up road wins, which goes the same for all young teams.

Mark me down at 24 wins.

I think Evans will have a big impact, especially as the season goes on and the team gets more comfortable playing with each other and Evans gets a little experience under his belt. He’s a player that draws double teams. Before, teams could double team Martin and pretty much shut down the entire offense. Now, with two great scorers, it’s a pick your poison scenario for opposing teams. Plus, his defense fills a huge gap.

Also, I predict Casspi adding a lot more this year than expected. He will improve the Kings defense and toughness from last year, if nothing more.

A new coach in Paul Westphal, many seem to think that holds the team back in the win column. I think he is doing a great job so far. The players often mention that they have assigned roles this year, which they were lacking the last couple of years, and they all seem to feel very comfortable playing for him. Regardless, he is definitely an improvement over Natt, and his hire will add a few wins to the column.

These things, among others (healthy KM, improved JT) will, I think, nearly double the win total from last year.

Do we have to lose that coin flip? I generally agree statistically with the rest of your story of Courage and Woe, but what if that coin flip you mentioned is OURS. And that coin flip turns out to be HUGE! It turns out to be the difference between a quality big man and another BPA. The Kings win that coin toss, signaling a change from their often abysmal luck. It changes from the 2002 post playoff horseshoe upside down luck to that lottery coin toss win. A break finally falling the Kings way, and a draft pick that brings us a talent that will help the Kings even more in there ever increasing quality of play, and a revival of good fortunes here in Sactown. The economy starts to pick up, and a plan for a new arena is in the works reviving the downtown plan that should have been the plan all along.

  I prefer an optimistic view of the future. Sadly the way things usually turn out, the pessimistic viewpoint is the one most people tend to gravitate to because of their own life experiences. People seem to dwell on the negative and gloss over the positives when they try to remember back in time. I just think the Kings need to get on a Good luck streak and start having the lucky breaks start to fall their way for a change. It needs to start with a positive mental attitude. The realities are that the Kings are young and probably wont be a .500 team. But I would be thrilled to watch my Kings play scrappy tenacious defense and really hustle on the court even if they are down by too many points. The GM has shuffled the deck and gotten rid of some bad Karma guys like “The B52 Bummer” and has added some young talented players full of energy and not yet jaded by the meat grinder that is the NBA. I, for one hope this young team will come out every night with energy and the desire to win. At some point the Kings luck is going to change, Change is good right now right? I just want to hear Gary Gerrold call a meaningful playoff game before he retires! GO KINGS !!

I don’t think the team was as bad as it played last year. Evans is going to be huge for the Kings, and with young players (JT, Shawes) they can make big development jumps from one season to the next.

It feels very optimistic however i’m gonna go with 30 as the magic number because i feel like it would be a huge success from where we were last season and were we can go in the future. Of course it may take a little luck to reach that goal and i wont be overly disappointed if they don’t reach it, but thats my fan goal for the year.

Our 3rd or 4th best player is going to miss half the season already.

The good news is, we’re going to be in 65 games this year, as opposed to about 50 maybe? last year. We’re going to lose a pile of close games this year though, as Tyreke discovers Joey Crawford hates rookies and Kevin does his thing, but there’s no firepower around him and defenses focus on shutting him down in the 4th quarter.

The end of the year, if PW is doing his job, we’ll see material growth in some of our guys and it will pay off in some wins in March.

League Pass will be worth the $$$ but only if you have absurd amounts of patience and a willingness to see 3 things you hate for every one you like.

Remember what’s important, the key is what our core guys can do at the end of the year they can’t do now. What they can’t do isn’t relevant. What matters is what can they do at the end of the year; how did they grow.

because I read this post as a factual recounting of future events as told by a note-taking time-traveler. I thought the poll was a reading comprehension question.