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Around SBN: Explaining Jeremy Lin's Early, Surprising Success

Quick Look at the Kings offense

I was interested in trying to determine what we are doing on offense, so I rewatched the 2nd, 3rd and 4th quarters of last night's Utah game and made some notes.  I was real interested in determining how often we are getting the ball to a post player, and whether it was working or not.

Star-divide

A quick comment about my methods, I only counted non-transition possessions, and I counted any time we were shooting free throws as two points regardless of whether or not the free throws actually went in.

 

Quarter Possessions Post Ups Avg Pts No Post Up Avg Pts
2nd 22 9 1.78 13 1.15
3rd 22 7 1.14 15 1.47
4th 18 5 1.4 14 0.43

 

As you can see, over the course of the game we steadily went away from the post up game.  In the second quarter it was extremely effective, in the 3rd quarter though, we played most of the quarter without JT, Spencer or Tyreke on the floor and the offense was much different.  It worked reasonably well, but I don't know that we can count on duplicating the shooting we got in the 3rd quarter very often without a post player to run the offense through. 

The 4th quarter strategy of draining the shot clock to 8 before even attempting to start the offense was a mess.  Yes, we won the game, but I can't believe we had a better chance to win playing the prevent offense than running our usual sets.  The only bright spot in the 4th quarter was, when we did get the ball down low, we were pretty effective against a pretty decent defensive team, at home, in lockdown mode out of desperation.

One other question I had, was who is getting the post up opportunities.  The results didn't surprise me a ton having watched the games, but if you'd have told me they would look like this before the season started I would have been Shocked (pun intended):

 

Player Post Ups Avg Pts
JT 9 2.22
Tyreke 8 1.38
Spencer 3 0
May 1 0

 

Last night, every time we got the ball to JT in the post, he made a good decision that either resulted in points or foul shots.  I think its interesting to note who is getting the chance to post up (JT & Tyreke) in addition to the amazing effieciency JT displayed last night.

Now for all the usual caveats, these numbers are amateurish for a host of reasons, and the sample size is way too small to draw any conclusions from, but given the assist numbers JT has put up to start this season, I think we've sold JT short a little bit (or at least I have) as a playmaker.  We are starting to see the emergence of a post player you can throw the ball in to, and count on them to make a good decision that leads to a good chance for points.  We have not given Jason his due to date for amazing development from last year to what we've seen this year.

(This is a FanPost from a member of the Sactown Royalty community. The views expressed come from the member, and not Sactown Royalty staff.)

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Nice 4-3

I agree that people are under-estimating the value JT has as a passer, and the reason is that sometimes forget that JT is a plus ball handler for his position.

In a few years, JT might even be recognized as a better ball handler than Anthony Randolph is. (Which may not happen if Randolph handles the ball more.)

No mistakes in the tango, darling. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

by pookeyguru on Nov 8, 2009 10:01 AM PST reply actions  

or as is also possible that AR will be the best player in the California Penal System

after he blows up and kills Nellie because Nellie won’t play him and keeps messing with his mind.

"I make love to pressure" - Stephen Jackson

by Bluejohn on Nov 8, 2009 3:28 PM PST up reply actions  

Agreed

I do like JT taking one or two hard dribbles after getting a rebound, a la Anthony Randolph, as we will see tonight, if he can not immediately find the outlet man. It can trigger an up tempo game when the opposing big men can’t keep up. When JT had the ball in the low post last year, he was committing dumb offensive fouls, losing possession, forcing shots. He has improved on that 100%, hence the assists per game from 1 to 4.

Now he needs to improve scoring from 11 PPG @ 41% to around 15 PPG and over 50% shooting. He is rushing still and missing the easy chippies around the rim.

by bench_blob on Nov 8, 2009 10:12 AM PST reply actions  

Agree to a point

Some of the shots that he’s missing at the rim are with his left hand, which is new this year. Work in progress.

SACTOWN ROYALTY - Try our thick creamy shakes!

by section214 on Nov 8, 2009 10:26 AM PST up reply actions  

Jt's passing is All-Star level

It’s everything else that needs to catch up.

No mistakes in the tango, darling. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

by pookeyguru on Nov 8, 2009 10:43 AM PST up reply actions  

Agree

His misses are also (in addition to the left hand) more from new moves that I have not seen him use before. His posting up and spinning into the lane is really good to see. That left hand is coming along well enough and he will get better at it. He looks to be very coach-able. I see him making a lot of strides and taking on new moves. Really great to see that development.

I think a lot of people forget that he used to play PG before he got so big. He still has those skills… Interesting as I used to think that Hawes would be the Vladesque big that could pass so well, but that seems to be more and more JT.

by MustangMBS on Nov 8, 2009 10:50 AM PST up reply actions  

Agree about a lot of people forget that he played PG before becoming a big

That’s because he had a growth spurt after his freshman year. This is his 5th year playing as a big. It’s fun to watch, even though I don’t think he’s going to be an All-Star, because JT’s leadership, intense play, and his interaction with teammates make him such a valuable player at such a young age. He is one of those guys who “get” it.

No mistakes in the tango, darling. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

by pookeyguru on Nov 8, 2009 12:07 PM PST up reply actions  

it's great to see him grow and get a pay off for all the hard work he put in this summer.

He really wants to get better and at least at this point in his career is probably looking for more coaching to help him achieve his goals. He looks so much more comfortable out there than he did last season. In the Memphis game he took what he was given, followed through on the put backs and had a great game not having to work very hard for his points. I love his hustle but he has to work hard in those times when he gets 2 or 3 O boards before he gets the put back.

"I make love to pressure" - Stephen Jackson

by Bluejohn on Nov 8, 2009 3:37 PM PST up reply actions  

Good piece

I think in looking at the different types of offenses it shows that Westphal is using the players within their abilities. It seems that he is out there running plays that rely on the strengths of the players. Nice to see a coach that is looking to match plays to talent.

by MustangMBS on Nov 8, 2009 10:54 AM PST reply actions  

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