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Preview: Wolves at Kings

Star-divide

THE OPPONENT

Despite a record worse than Stevie Wonder's baseball career, Minnesota isn't as bad as they look. Mind you, they look really, really bad. Being "not as bad" as that isn't saying a whole lot. Mikki Moore is a better rebounder than Andrea Bargnani, you know? The Wolves are still 1-5 in December. But only one of those losses (last night's visit to the Lakers) have been by a 10-point or greater margin. Progress!

Seriously, though, Kevin Love's return has meant a lot. Love's been back five games, and he's shoved Al Jefferson back to center and Ryan Hollins down in the rotation. (Blessed Earth!) Hollins is basically Moore, but younger and less endearing. As we know from experience, you cannot boast a starter as bad at rebounding for his position as Hollins and survive defensively. Of course, the Jefferson/Love frontline -- while beastly on the boards -- hasn't proven to be a defensive wall. No matter. Love is a big boost from all angles.

Love should make the Kings work on Sacramento's own defensive glass. That's actually an optimistic way of saying that Love could very well end up with 10 offensive rebounds. The Kings still have problems there, problems the team may soon need to accept, supposing Jason Thompson and Spencer Hawes are the frontcourt of now and tomorrow. Tyreke Evans and Andres Nocioni are rebounding defensively as well as you could reasonably ask for ... and the team is still 20th in the league in this category.

Luckily, the Wolves are phenomenally bad on offense: 28th in shooting, 29th in turnovers and 29th in foul drawing. Sacramento's weakness is defense; Minnesota should have trouble exploiting that. The Wolves have scored 100 points all of five times this season. Sacramento might be a good opportunity for No. 6, but it's always a struggle with the Wolves.


FG 3PT FT Rebounds Misc
G M M A Pct M A Pct M A Pct Off Def Tot Ast TO Stl Blk PF PPG
Al Jefferson 21 32.9 6.8 15.0 45.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.4 3.4 71.8 2.5 6.4 9.0 2.0 1.6 1.2 1.0 2.3 16.0
Jonny Flynn 23 29.4 5.0 11.6 43.4 0.9 2.7 32.8 3.0 3.7 80.0 0.3 2.1 2.5 4.3 3.2 1.2 0.1 1.4 13.9
Kevin Love 5 28.4 4.6 9.8 46.9 1.2 2.0 60.0 2.8 3.4 82.4 4.0 7.6 11.6 1.8 2.4 1.4 0.8 2.8 13.2
Ryan Gomes 23 30.5 5.2 10.9 47.8 0.9 2.0 42.6 1.1 1.4 75.8 1.4 4.0 5.4 1.6 1.5 1.0 0.2 2.6 12.4
Corey Brewer 23 30.2 4.3 11.1 38.7 0.3 1.5 17.1 1.7 2.7 60.3 1.0 3.2 4.2 2.2 2.1 1.8 0.6 2.7 10.5
Ramon Sessions 23 22.1 3.5 6.7 52.3 0.0 0.3 14.3 1.3 2.1 63.3 0.8 2.3 3.0 3.3 1.7 0.7 0.0 2.0 8.3
Oleksiy Pecherov 20 14.2 2.8 6.3 43.7 0.4 1.8 22.9 0.7 0.7 92.9 1.0 3.1 4.1 0.4 0.9 0.3 0.4 2.0 6.6
Ryan Hollins 23 19.3 2.6 4.8 53.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 1.9 65.9 0.9 2.0 3.0 0.9 1.4 0.3 0.5 2.8 6.4
Wayne Ellington 21 16.8 2.0 5.5 37.1 0.4 1.9 20.5 0.6 0.9 72.2 0.6 1.6 2.1 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.7 5.1
Damien Wilkins 22 15.7 1.7 4.1 40.7 0.1 0.7 20.0 1.1 1.3 82.8 1.3 2.2 3.5 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.1 1.5 4.6
Sasha Pavlovic 22 15.2 1.9 5.4 35.3 0.6 2.1 28.3 0.2 0.5 40.0 0.4 2.3 2.6 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.1 1.4 4.6
Nathan Jawai 17 11.8 1.5 3.2 47.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1 1.4 82.6 1.4 1.6 3.1 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.6 4.2
Brian Cardinal 14 9.7 0.6 1.6 36.4 0.1 0.4 16.7 0.3 0.3 100.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.8 1.5
Jason Hart 1 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

 

THE KEY BATTLE

Jason Thompson vs. Kevin Love. As stated, keeping Love off the offensive glass as much as possible will be a key. But further, Thompson needs to exploit his (massive) size advantage here. Love nor Jefferson block shots with any regularity, so the Kings -- led by Thompson in the post -- should attack attack attack. On the other end, Love is most dangerous cleaning up at the rim. Thompson has done better defending the rim, but again (broken record): it comes down to boxing him out and securing those plentiful Wolves misses.

INTERESTING SIDESHOW

I didn't make Evans vs. Jonny Flynn the key battle because, well, Flynn's going to need a bunch of help to slow Evans. But remember how high Sacramento's front office had been on Flynn. If Evans had gone #2 or 3, there's a real chance the Kings could have spent the 4th pick on Flynn. In that sense, seeing how far Flynn how to grow while Evans excels (at a younger age, no less) is striking. And will be striking.

BOLD PROCLAMATION

Corey Brewer will have more steals than Mario Elie.

NUMERIC PREDICTION

Kings by 12.

DETAILS

7PM Pacific on Comcast SportsNet and KHTK 1140AM.

0 recs  |  Comment 39 comments |

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Comments

Display:

Time to start a new winning streak.

In Frank Wren I trust.

by mvhsbball on Dec 12, 2009 1:07 PM PST via mobile reply actions  

It's Brockman Time

Although our favorite bruiser has been bench-bound recently, I think that was more about the matchups as well as getting more PT for Omri and Donte in small ball lineups.

I think Brockman is a good matchup for Kevin Love and expect him to play at least 15 minutes tonight as the first and maybe only big off the bench. That will enable the tandem of Spencer and JT to focus a little more on Jefferson. If they aren’t up to the task or get into foul trouble, Westphal might call on K9.

"The basis for winning an NBA title is having a superstar in his prime. Not an all-star, or a bunch of all-stars, but a superstar."

by coolcatreportdotcom on Dec 12, 2009 1:07 PM PST reply actions  

Bought these tix from Section

Can’t wait to boo/heckle Theus.

Father of the "Natt this!" movement and Grandmaster of the "Never let AnotherStupidSN forget what a Sham-Wow is" Order.

by Aykis16 on Dec 12, 2009 1:22 PM PST via mobile reply actions  

Caption contest!

Hey Jason! Next time you shoot a jumper, you’re getting the Shocker.

by Carl on Dec 12, 2009 1:31 PM PST reply actions  

Minnesota Timberwolves coach Kurt Rambis shows reporters how many games he’s won this season.

Father of the "Natt this!" movement and Grandmaster of the "Never let AnotherStupidSN forget what a Sham-Wow is" Order.

by Aykis16 on Dec 12, 2009 1:40 PM PST via mobile up reply actions   2 recs

I'll play

Left, Minnesotta Timberwolves coach Kurt Rambis discusses the state of the team with assistant Reggie Theus
Rambis: “This head coaching thing is rad dude, but I think my style is too much for this small town. Time to go back to LA”
Theus: “Sure Kurt. Let me see if I can hitch a ride”

Godfather of the "nice ass" movement.... the future begins now...

by edm7 on Dec 12, 2009 1:42 PM PST up reply actions  

Actually it's more like the Reverse Shocker

and whats up with Rambis pinky?

www.mancancook.net

by vfettke on Dec 12, 2009 2:57 PM PST up reply actions  

A string tied around it to remind him?

Rambis: “I know this is to remind me what Phil said, but what was it? Oh, yeah. Never run the triangle unless you have the best player in the league. Damn, wished I’d remembered that earlier.”

Ball movement ... is like jogging for most people: They do it occasionally, and it makes them happy. Then they go back to not doing it. - Henry Abbott

by Kfan in Korea on Dec 12, 2009 5:56 PM PST up reply actions  

Two fingers... too tight... something had to give...

Hard work beats talent when talent is hardly working...

by kromeace on Dec 12, 2009 6:16 PM PST up reply actions  

Should be a good game

The Wolves are not as bad as they seem but it should still be a W. Kevin Love has been a rebounding machine since he got back and Sessions is finally showing life off the bench.

Go Kings!

by Hilton on Dec 12, 2009 1:35 PM PST reply actions  

Bold prediction

Grant Napear and Reggie Theus will share a warm embrace. Sam Amick and Reggie, not so much.

SACTOWN ROYALTY - Try our thick creamy shakes!

by section214 on Dec 12, 2009 1:48 PM PST reply actions  

Reggie had some interesting stuff to say to Sam though

If you read the Bee.

No mistakes in the tango, darling. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

Oh, hes in the laegue two and Jayson Thomson and that Boggins dude on Milwokee, and Occur for the Jizz. Its a talented laegue.--Kfan in Korea

by pookeyguru on Dec 12, 2009 5:44 PM PST up reply actions  

Interesting maybe

But I was not impressed. I read everything he said as: “Not my fault.”

“He’s done an incredible job,” Rambis said.

Define “incredible.” The team is 3-and-21, for Krishna’s sake. Damn am I glad to be rid of that guy.

(P.S. Not hating on you, Pook. Just Reg.)

From the people who brought you Reggie Musselnatt.

by My Losing Season on Dec 13, 2009 8:54 PM PST up reply actions  

Dominance at Home should continue

Disclaimer: I wrote this before yesterdays Lakers game. But, other then Love’s FG% coming back to earth (4-14 field) & his 19 rebs, not much has changed. One note Love had a total of 7pts on 8 offensive rebounds and 0 FT attempts. Love had been coming off the bench in the first 4 games, but started in place of Wilken against the Lakers.

The Twolfs have been playing better since the return of K. Love (4 games), but of their 3 wins out of 22 games, only 1 has been on the road where they are 1 & 9. Their win against NJN wasn’t a shocker, but wins against Utah & Denver were. The Twolfs have only scored more than 100pts in 5 games this season, and 2 of them were in the Utah & Denver wins.

Minni rebounds exceptionally well (9th in NBA) considering their size, Hollins is a thin 7 footer, while Love & Jefferson are 6’10" & 260, and Gomes weights in at 6’7" and 245. Since Loves return everyone seems to have upped their game, especially Love himself. Kevin is averaging 57% from the field, 63% from 3’s, 9.8 rpg, 2 stls, 1 blk, and 15ppg.

In the last 5 games, Flynn has shot 44% field, 44% 3’s, 6.8apg, and 13ppg. Ryan Gomes is shooting 57% field, 46% 3’s, 92% FT’s, with 5 rpg & 19ppg. And, Jefferson has been pretty consistent the entire season with 16pts & 9rb for the season, but 15 & 12 over the last 5 games.

The Twolfs aren’t a high scoring team averaging 92 pts for the season, and some of this is due to their shooting only 28% from the 3pt line. They only have 3 players shooting better than 33% from 3’s, Love 57%(small sample size 4 games), Gomes 44%, and Flynn at 33%. But, they can beat you scoring less than 100pts, as the Hornets almost found out, if not for a last second play by CP3.

The Twolfs are mostly a jump shooting team. Love shots jumpers on 57% of his shots, Jefferson is 63%, Gomes is 76%, Hollins 58%. That’s a lot of outside shooting from a frontline. But, they are good passers. And know how to pass to start fast breaks after defensive rebounds. While Flynn & Hollins know how to finish them. In fact, most of Hollins points come from dunks ending fast breaks or alley oops from Flynn.

Tyreke shouldn’t have any trouble with Flynn especially after 2 days rest, and the Twolfs on the second game of a back to back. They play the Lakers on Friday. I expect PW to start Donte at the 2 again. Even though Brewer isn’t much of a scorer (38%, 17% from 3, and 6ppg), I expect his 6’9" 188lb frame might be too much for Beno. And, starting Donte will force the 6’ Flynn to defend Tyreke, which is the mismatch we want. Wilkens isn’t much better as an offensive threat, so I expect PW to start Noc. But, don’t be surprised if Westphal has a quick hook similar to the Spurs game, if Noc doesn’t come out of his shooting slump and continues to put up blanks every time he touches leather.

It always comes down to the bigs. In Rebounding the Twolfs are slightly better than the Kings. They’re 9th among NBA teams while the Kings are 11th. But, the lack of height for Minni (only one player over 6’10’ and a 6’7" starting PF), opens the door for more playing time for Brockman & Thomas. Plus the Twolfs are last in blocked shots, so I expect to see a lot of lay-ups & pts in the paint for the Kings. I also expect Tyreke to start his next 20 ppg-scoring streak.

Although the Twolfs have upped their game since the return of Love, I think if we defend Love & Gomes beyond the arc, and stay even on the boards, this is as close to a sure win, as we’ll see all season. The Twolfs can score points in the paint off offensive rebounds, and can get out on the fast break if you don’t get back, but are basically a jump shooting team and when their off it’s no contest. They’re also the 2nd worst team in the NBA when it comes to TO’s. So, I expect the Kings to get more FGA’s & more made 3’s.

I’m not too worried about JT getting into foul trouble since the Twolfs PF’s don’t post up too often. And, because Brockman & Thomas should be able to rebound & defend against the Twolfs bigs.

Even though we have two more days rest before we have to travel to Portland, I expect a lot of people to get some PT especially if we get a big lead going into the 4th quarter. I think the Kings win by at least 10 pts, something like 105-95. GO KINGS

"If you don't have anything good to say, LIE" - Mom

by HighTops on Dec 12, 2009 2:25 PM PST reply actions   2 recs

What's Love got to do with it?

Sorry, Tina.

The boards will be an issue: if the Kings can’t control the boards (see, vs. Pacers) this game will be close.
I look for Donté to have a big opportunity if he starts at SG and takes turns with Tyreke driving the basketball. If the TWolves lose either Jefferson or Love to fouls, Havoc will ensue.

Bold Prediction: Tyreke will meet his averages: 20/5/5. One of my favorite parts of the summer prior to draft night 2009: pointguardapalooza and the infamous “Man among boys” – Jonny Flynn was one of the boys. I also see Flynn trying to do to much as he has to have hope that RoY is about one of the only possible highlights to his rookie campaign with Rambis, Wolves and Co.

by betweentheeyes on Dec 12, 2009 2:32 PM PST reply actions  

i only saw the ending

of our last game, Did greene start at the 2? And i would love for Brockness to get 20 min of playing time his only mission: Keep Love off the boards….that would be great!!!

by shadowchicken on Dec 12, 2009 2:38 PM PST reply actions  

You really need to either get a DVR

or start watching the games.

Father of the "Natt this!" movement and Grandmaster of the "Never let AnotherStupidSN forget what a Sham-Wow is" Order.

by Aykis16 on Dec 12, 2009 4:13 PM PST up reply actions  

or look at the

boxscore

Ball movement ... is like jogging for most people: They do it occasionally, and it makes them happy. Then they go back to not doing it. - Henry Abbott

by Kfan in Korea on Dec 12, 2009 5:58 PM PST up reply actions  

The rain has been messing with my DTV reception

On the game – what those two guys just said.

So imitate the action of the tiger!.
Lend the eye a terrible aspect
- and teach them how to war!
Henry V iii

by lietothegirls on Dec 12, 2009 2:39 PM PST reply actions  

Doesn't look like it

I tried to parlay my Denver tix to tonight but it was too late to trade

So imitate the action of the tiger!.
Lend the eye a terrible aspect
- and teach them how to war!
Henry V iii

by lietothegirls on Dec 12, 2009 3:16 PM PST up reply actions  

Actually

I just picked up couple seats

Where are you again? 102 A or something?

So imitate the action of the tiger!.
Lend the eye a terrible aspect
- and teach them how to war!
Henry V iii

by lietothegirls on Dec 12, 2009 3:26 PM PST up reply actions  

I left you a message on your cell

So imitate the action of the tiger!.
Lend the eye a terrible aspect
- and teach them how to war!
Henry V iii

by lietothegirls on Dec 12, 2009 3:54 PM PST up reply actions  

having a little trouble posting an image (first time), please help:

[IMG]http://i936.photobucket.com/albums/ad210/jefef/calibos_theus.jpg[/IMG]

put me in, Coach

by LaBradford on Dec 12, 2009 3:20 PM PST reply actions  

Press the picture of the tree, copy the adress, post

GREENE! You’ve been superfluously apostrophe’d! - andy sims

by iashwash on Dec 12, 2009 3:41 PM PST up reply actions  

thanks iashwash

when i tried it last time, i only got the address to show. it wouldn’t display the picture. sorry for being naive about this.

put me in, Coach

by LaBradford on Dec 12, 2009 3:45 PM PST up reply actions  

Takes some time to figure out the same Lab

No mistakes in the tango, darling. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

Oh, hes in the laegue two and Jayson Thomson and that Boggins dude on Milwokee, and Occur for the Jizz. Its a talented laegue.--Kfan in Korea

by pookeyguru on Dec 12, 2009 5:45 PM PST up reply actions  

The system^

No mistakes in the tango, darling. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

Oh, hes in the laegue two and Jayson Thomson and that Boggins dude on Milwokee, and Occur for the Jizz. Its a talented laegue.--Kfan in Korea

by pookeyguru on Dec 12, 2009 5:45 PM PST up reply actions  

ah, okay got it. Thanks, Iashwash!

put me in, Coach

by LaBradford on Dec 12, 2009 3:48 PM PST reply actions   4 recs

Haha, you're welcome

As long as you’re willing to put in the effort to learn, I’m happy to teach.

GREENE! You’ve been superfluously apostrophe’d! - andy sims

by iashwash on Dec 12, 2009 3:50 PM PST up reply actions  

I remember this blog during the coaching hire

There were a lot of people in favor of Kurt Rambis. I was never really a Rambis guy. Too much in the Scott Skiles mold, too argumentative, too intense for my style.

I didn’t want to reference the Rambis comments because it’s too early to tell what will happen and there was nothing wrong with supporting him. What I found interesting about the past Rambis comments was how they showed an under appreciation for a guy like Westphal and his style. I think people have come around to appreciate Westphal’s more laid back. causal approach to team building and his players. I got the impression those supporting Rambis felt the team needed a huge kick in the ass, which was Rambis’s presumed style.

Reke continuing his summer workout butt kicking of Flynn should be interesting too.

Also, what is is the over/under on Ricky Rubio references tonight?

by bignerd on Dec 12, 2009 3:49 PM PST reply actions  

This is probably what his message is tonight

I am not so versed in the fine arts of graphic maligning and don’t own photoshop, but this is likely what he would like to say to Sac Kings tonight.

by MustangMBS on Dec 12, 2009 4:57 PM PST reply actions  

ouch!

i think that’s what he said to the Maloofs when they offered the job to him.

haha, nice work. : )

put me in, Coach

by LaBradford on Dec 12, 2009 5:08 PM PST reply actions  

LOL

Yeah, good point!

I was think he probably was hoping that they Maloof’s and GP hired some lame coach and regretting not getting him. Instead we got PW and he is looking golden. I wouldn’t trade PW for Ramdis any day.

by MustangMBS on Dec 12, 2009 5:44 PM PST up reply actions  

type too damn fast...

Hate that.. …think… …were…

by MustangMBS on Dec 12, 2009 5:45 PM PST reply actions  

If you can't have typos at StR

You might as well not post.

No mistakes in the tango, darling. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

Oh, hes in the laegue two and Jayson Thomson and that Boggins dude on Milwokee, and Occur for the Jizz. Its a talented laegue.--Kfan in Korea

by pookeyguru on Dec 12, 2009 5:46 PM PST up reply actions  

Theus

Seems like a strange gig for him to be in. I thought another college job was a possibility, but I guess not for now. He’s got his work cut out for him.

"The basis for winning an NBA title is having a superstar in his prime. Not an all-star, or a bunch of all-stars, but a superstar."

by coolcatreportdotcom on Dec 12, 2009 5:51 PM PST reply actions  

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