Hollinger's Playoff Odds (No Insider Needed)

Things about the Kings from this link:

Projected Win-Loss: 36-46
Best Case Record: 52-30
Worst Case Record: 20-62
Odds of Making Playoffs: 15.7%

about 2 years ago Exhibit G 24 comments 0 recs |

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Couple other things I learned

Jersey has Dallas’ first round pick and the Zombies have Phoenix’s first rounder.

Godfather of the "nice ass" movement.... the future begins now...

by edm7 on Dec 8, 2009 12:57 PM PST reply actions

makes me think the Kings need to get another pick

Especially to keep up with the progression of OKC. We all know what wonders Petrie can do with middle to low picks. If K9, Noc, Beno, or Cisco get moved, it better be include either a pick this season or the next.

Another flaw in the human character is that everybody wants to build and nobody wants to do maintenance. Vonnegut

by Ice_9ine on Dec 8, 2009 1:04 PM PST via mobile up reply actions 1 recs

On the Kings

I think 36 wins is a lot, but I guess not impossible. We would have to go 27-36 the rest of the way which is pretty ambitious.

I started the season predicting 27 wins and I will wait until the end of the calendar year to see if I move up to the 30-32 range. That’s me

Godfather of the "nice ass" movement.... the future begins now...

by edm7 on Dec 8, 2009 12:59 PM PST reply actions

I'll have to wait

Until we see how potent we are with KM back.
If he gets back before the end of the year and it goes well, I can imagine something close to a .500 record the rest of the way.

So imitate the action of the tiger!.
Lend the eye a terrible aspect
- and teach them how to war!
Henry V iii

by lietothegirls on Dec 8, 2009 1:08 PM PST up reply actions

36 seems kind of crazy

I said 24 before the season, and I’ll stick with it, even if I’d not be shocked to see them win as many as 28. Still, I may try to convince you that we can win 36, and you can stop by my place to talk about it and drink Kool-aid.

Jim Jones is my director of scouting, in case anyone was wondering.

Rocks are free, and slingshots easily stolen.

by andy sims on Dec 8, 2009 1:51 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs

Guyana thanks you

I had the Kings at 23 (revised from 24) because I felt that increasing the road total by 3 and the home record by 3 was a reasonable goal. Since then, reason has fallen by the wayside.

my Kool-aid has turned from purple Jones to a more relaxed variety with a bit more punch these young Kings have moxie

I now expect the home cooking to continue but not at the rate just seen. Increase the home record to 19-23 leave the road record in the shambles it now displays (8 wins by account, though I have to say, Tyreke will be more of a force down the road, so add 1 to make it 9-32) and the Kings records rises to 28. If it doesn’t happen, call me Leo Ryan and be done with it.

by betweentheeyes on Dec 8, 2009 2:19 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs

Before the season, I (honestly) thought that 30 wins was possible.

So, I came into the season figuring that if the Kings get 30 wins, I’ll be happy.

Now, I honestly think (and this is bold prediction territory) that the KINGS WILL HAVE at least 35 wins on the season. It’s not a stretch at all.

The reason for optimism was this (these were my thoughts BEFORE the season started): last season the Kings played as poorly as they possibly could have…it was bound to better by at least a game or two (19 W’s); added PW, good for 3-5 W’s (21-24 W’s); added Tyreke, good for 5 W’s (26-29 W’s); Kevin Martin certainly will not have ANOTHER injurious season, good for at least another 5 W’s (31-34 W’s); Hawes and Thompson will have developed and refined their game, good for another 3-5 W’s (34-39 W’s); Kings will trade K9 at deadline for valuable piece, good for 2-5 W’s (36-44 W’s); adjust best case scenario for inherent “fan bias” by deducting approximately 25% of total W’s (33 W’s); subtract another 3 wins in order to purposefully temper expectations (30 W’s). Viola!

It’s more than doable.

That’s what she said.

"If you told him to head-butt the wall, he would do it." -- Paul Westphal re: Brockness Monster.

by PhutureKings on Dec 8, 2009 1:25 PM PST reply actions

36 wins sounds high

No mistakes in the tango, darling. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

Oh, hes in the laegue two and Jayson Thomson and that Boggins dude on Milwokee, and Occur for the Jizz. Its a talented laegue.--Kfan in Korea

by pookeyguru on Dec 8, 2009 1:25 PM PST reply actions

Well, Hollinger is known as

“If you ain’t chokin’, you ain’t smokin’” Hollinger in the hallways at the ESPN building.

"If you told him to head-butt the wall, he would do it." -- Paul Westphal re: Brockness Monster.

by PhutureKings on Dec 8, 2009 1:28 PM PST up reply actions 2 recs

So you're saying there's a chance?

"When you look at him, you say: 'Holy God.'" - Pete Carril on Tyreke Evans

by otis29 on Dec 8, 2009 1:34 PM PST reply actions

Hey, a .5% chance of being in the NBA finals!

So imitate the action of the tiger!.
Lend the eye a terrible aspect
- and teach them how to war!
Henry V iii

by lietothegirls on Dec 8, 2009 1:35 PM PST up reply actions

Thunder 83% chance of making playoffs?

I think we have as good a chance to make the playoffs as the Thunder. It may be a little early for them to start printing tickets.

"The basis for winning an NBA title is having a superstar in his prime. Not an all-star, or a bunch of all-stars, but a superstar."

by coolcatreportdotcom on Dec 8, 2009 1:38 PM PST reply actions

No we don't

The Thunder have a much more complete roster and a closer in Kevin Durant. They are about a year ahead of us in development. I’m confident we will eventually catch them and pass them up, but right now they are better than us.

by Neil Manich on Dec 8, 2009 2:16 PM PST up reply actions

They don't have the Vets we do

(if we can get healthy)

So imitate the action of the tiger!.
Lend the eye a terrible aspect
- and teach them how to war!
Henry V iii

by lietothegirls on Dec 8, 2009 4:40 PM PST up reply actions

if they

get 36 wins …. I’d be more than happy. But I’m expecting 30.

by Dub_TC on Dec 8, 2009 1:59 PM PST reply actions

I said 28 before the season

But now I think it will be in the lower 30s.

Father of the "Natt this!" movement and Grandmaster of the "Never let AnotherStupidSN forget what a Sham-Wow is" Order.

by Aykis16 on Dec 8, 2009 2:22 PM PST reply actions

What a difference six months makes

Oh wait, I already said that.

From the people who brought you Reggie Musselnatt.

by My Losing Season on Dec 8, 2009 2:26 PM PST reply actions

I said 31,

and I think that they are currently a game behind the pace that I had set for them.

SACTOWN ROYALTY - Try our thick creamy shakes!

by section214 on Dec 8, 2009 3:00 PM PST reply actions

But you said 31 with Martin

so take that for what it is.

Father of the "Natt this!" movement and Grandmaster of the "Never let AnotherStupidSN forget what a Sham-Wow is" Order.

by Aykis16 on Dec 8, 2009 3:35 PM PST up reply actions

Good point

Kenny Thomas has saved my arse. Guess I owe him an apology.

SACTOWN ROYALTY - Try our thick creamy shakes!

by section214 on Dec 8, 2009 8:46 PM PST up reply actions

You were among the more optimistic among us too

Which says something also.

No mistakes in the tango, darling. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

Oh, hes in the laegue two and Jayson Thomson and that Boggins dude on Milwokee, and Occur for the Jizz. Its a talented laegue.--Kfan in Korea

by pookeyguru on Dec 8, 2009 3:36 PM PST up reply actions

I now think we'll definately break 30

I believe I was at 26-32 with an emphasis towards the low end.

So imitate the action of the tiger!.
Lend the eye a terrible aspect
- and teach them how to war!
Henry V iii

by lietothegirls on Dec 8, 2009 4:41 PM PST up reply actions

The brown lining to the silver cloud of Hollinger's prediction

This places the Kings at the 10th worst team come 2010 draft night. Mediocrity spawns mediocrity in the NBA. I am not calling for losses but…

I would rather see this Kings season either worse or better. Playoffs or 5-6th worst record for a chance at 7th or better pick. I don’t see it happening but just putting it out there.

by betweentheeyes on Dec 9, 2009 12:33 AM PST reply actions