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Around SBN: FSU To Big 12 'Inevitable,' According To Report

The Other Ways

Wednesday night's game in Houston featured Sacramento's best possible rebounding rotation among the bigs: Spencer Hawes and Jason Thompson starting, Shelden Williams and Kenny Thomas off the bench. Meanwhile, the Kings played almost even with the Rockets when it came to shooting (50 eFG% for Houston, 49% for Sacto), turnovers (19 for Houston, 20 for Sac) and free throws (17/20 for Houston, 15/21 for Sacto). If rebounding had ended up even between the teams, Houston would have had something like a three-point lead in the closing moments. That's different than a 12-point lead.

But -- despite our best possible rebounding line-up -- Houston killed Sacramento on the boards. The Rockets grabbed 14 offensive rebounds in 38 opportunities (37%; on the season, Portland is No. 1 in the league with ... 33%). At the other end, Houston grabbed 28 of 33 defensive rebound opportunities (85%; on the season, on the season, San Antonio is No. 1 in the league with ... 78%).

Our best possible rebounding rotation, and we got killed on the glass. Houston is usually league average in offensive rebounding and No. 4 in defensive rebounding. Sacramento is No. 25 and No. 29, respectively. THIS IS A PROBLEM, and we can't blame Brad Miller, or Mikki Moore, or Beno Udrih, or Reggie Theus. Our starting frontcourt is the BIG FUTURE -- the hope for our franchise. In 65 combined minutes, they had 10 total defensive rebounds. In 67 combined minutes for Houston's starting frontcourt, the Rockets pair had 20 total defensive rebounds. The Kings BIG FUTURE had one total offensive rebound. The Rockets duo had nine.

Yao Ming and Luis Scola are great rebounders -- No. 11 and 14 in the league in rebound rate, respectively. But Jason Thompson's a great rebounder! (He's No. 18 in the league.) Blame a lack of familiarity with Yao, or the end of a road trip, or foul trouble. But next November, the excuses stop working. This frontcourt, if it is to be the frontcourt of the future, needs to figure out how to rebound. (This team also needs a three who can rebound -- most of the league's two-guards rebound better than John Salmons. (Well, except Sacramento's two-guards. Bobby Jackson -- 35 years old, 6'1 -- is actually the team's best non-center/power forward rebounder.)

The point of all this: this team will probably get killed on the glass regularly, even with the future core playing most of the minutes. We wanted Shock & Hawes, we got Shock & Hawes. Shock & Hawes got destroyed (destroyed!) on the glass by a team that's somewhere between fair and good by league rebounding standards. If that's going to be the case, the team will have to find a facet in which to triumph to have a chance against decent teams. Will it be efficient shooting? (Hawes has huge strides to make there.) Will it be unflappable ball-handling? (EVERYONE has huge strides to make there.) Unpenetrable defense? (Ummmm...)

I'm all aboard on the Happy Thoughts Train. But my faith isn't paying off.

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You're right

A new coach will be able to provide some brilliant, earth-shattering new insight into how to jump, box out and anticipate where the ball is going.

by thelettere on Feb 12, 2009 9:16 AM PST up reply actions   1 recs

So coaching doesn't matter?

Isn’t Natt supposed to be evaluated during this period as well as the roster?

Not that you aren’t correct, but that’s not exactly an endorsement of his coaching prowess.

Mambo King

by otis29 on Feb 12, 2009 9:52 AM PST up reply actions  

The answer isn't earth-shattering

The answer to more rebounds is not putting 2 PG’s, 2 SG’s, and 1 PF on the floor at the same time.
It’s not expecting 5 guys to go after rebounds, and still not give up fast break pts.

A coach certainly isn’t going to teach JT to jump highter, but he could teach him to block out better. Or, come up with an offensive scheme that doesn’t have both our bigs playing 20 ft from the basket.

"If you don't have anything good to say, LIE" - Mom

by HighTops on Feb 12, 2009 2:14 PM PST up reply actions  

That's right, lettere.

I don’t care if we had Red Auerbach, Pat Riley, Larry Brown and Phil Jackson all drawing up plays on the Sacramento bench, this team still couldn’t win more than 25 games.

You gotta feel sorry for Natt, since anybody they throw at there as coach right now is going to look horrible because this roster just doesn’t have very much talent. That’s the long and short of it.

After we get a Top 2 or 3 pick in the 2009 draft (plus another 1st rounder) and we sign an important free agent, then we can get somebody who can coach them to the next level. Right now, it doesn’t matter.

"When the going gets Weird, the Weird turn professional."
(Hunter Thompson)

by Mucho Moss on Feb 13, 2009 12:01 AM PST up reply actions  

Like Avery Johnson

I’m getting colder on Eddie Jordan.

BOOK IT!

by kingme18 on Feb 12, 2009 9:38 AM PST up reply actions  

I'm in your camp

Although he has already turned down one head coaching job recently. Would he really be interested in Sactown

by nothingbutnet on Feb 12, 2009 2:28 PM PST up reply actions  

I'm warming to that idea

So imitate the action of the tiger!
Stiffen the sinews, summon up the blood,
Disguise fair nature with hard-favoured rage.
- lend the eye a terrible aspect,

Now set the teeth....and teach them how to war.
Henry V iii

by lietothegirls on Feb 13, 2009 12:19 AM PST up reply actions  

you know who doesn't get talked about much these days...

but would be a nice fit for a young team on the rise (when we are back on the rise, that is)?

Mario Elie.

He’s very, very smart and a winner. He insists his guys learn how to play real NBA defense. He’s a players coach, but it’s based on mutual respect.

Elie’s just an exceptional person who’s gotta get a head coaching gig one of these days.

"When the going gets Weird, the Weird turn professional."
(Hunter Thompson)

by Mucho Moss on Feb 13, 2009 12:45 AM PST up reply actions  

I like Elie

But do you think the Kings would go with another first time head coach?

SACTOWN ROYALTY - Try our thick creamy shakes!

by section214 on Feb 13, 2009 7:16 AM PST up reply actions  

I doubt it

They’ll probably go for a Vet this time. They tried to last time with Stan too.

by Aykis16 on Feb 13, 2009 7:17 AM PST up reply actions  

but deniro no longer mucho

you think they owners will halve their video crew, cancel their Fan mag AND spend millions more on an established coach.

me no think so

by betweentheeyes on Feb 13, 2009 4:46 PM PST up reply actions  

Nicely broken down, Z

I watch the team and think, “rebound bad.” Even I can realize that, but you and the other admins and contributors on here put it into numbers that explain the point, and show trends. I’m smarter about the game in general for reading the site, even while most of the internet is making me stupider.

That reminds me, I have a blog to write.

Rocks are free, and slingshots easily stolen.

by andy sims on Feb 12, 2009 8:38 AM PST reply actions  

I agree that last night is disconcerting

I also think the problem last night is that the team doesn’t have an answer for Yao Ming. Spencer’s rebound rate was never super high; it’s a problem when you’re talking about Jason Thompson being on the court for only 24 mins. Especially when he was in foul trouble. This is the good thing about Brad Miller being out right now. It’s exposing Shock & Hawes as much as it can. But that’s a good thing. It’s not a bad thing. In a season that hasn’t worked very well it’s difficult for me to imagine anything but this type of result.

I’m not looking for silver linings with either of these 2. I think Shock is an All-Star caliber player when he figures it out. I don’t think he’s quite figured it out. Each passing game is convincing me that Natt is over matched coaching, which is quite a problem when you also factor in the current state of the roster. I think Shawes is going to be a very good player. The question is how quickly it takes for him to get there.

It was ugly when the Hawks started their process in 2004. Very very ugly even. It eventually improves as players grow up and become accustomed to the league. It’s almost as if we expected some of these steps to skip because that’s what we’re used to. This is going to be a very painful process moving forward.

I think one reason we got killed on the boards last night was that the lineup’s were not matched. I would be interested to see how Ming & Scola got their boards (nobody else grabbed 3 last night), and who was defending them when they got them. Sounds like a job for me. Maybe this weekend. (Unless you have a place that would find this info.)

No mistakes in the tango, darling. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

I am the stone that builder refused..I am the visual...The inspiration..That made lady sing the blues....I'm the spark that makes your idea bright.....The same spark that lights the dark....So that you can know your left from your right...I am the ballot in your box....The bullet in your gun...The inner glow that lets you know...To call your brother son....The story that just begun...The promise of what's to come...And I'm 'a remain a soldier till the war is won....

by pookeyguru on Feb 12, 2009 8:52 AM PST reply actions  

I would like to add some background to my theory

I think Shock & Hawes as a rebounding tandem are fine. The problem is they can’t stay on the court long enough together to make those rebounding numbers not skew towards super ugly. When you take them off the court the other players aren’t good enough (Shelden for instance) doesn’t have the size to stop Yao inside, and isn’t quick enough to keep Scola from beating him to the punch to grab that o-board. Kenny Thomas ditto. And those were your 4 bigs in the game. With this team it’s always picking it’s poison. This group doesn’t have enough talent to lose concentration as often as it does. They have the ability to play with teams. What they don’t have the ability is to sustain it. I think Shelden still has a future as a limited role player with this team. Sign him to a 2 year minimum contract or something like that. But if you’re paying him nearly 4 million dollars and he can’t rebound well enough to make up a margin without Shock & Hawes in the game? He isn’t earning his keep.

No mistakes in the tango, darling. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

I am the stone that builder refused..I am the visual...The inspiration..That made lady sing the blues....I'm the spark that makes your idea bright.....The same spark that lights the dark....So that you can know your left from your right...I am the ballot in your box....The bullet in your gun...The inner glow that lets you know...To call your brother son....The story that just begun...The promise of what's to come...And I'm 'a remain a soldier till the war is won....

by pookeyguru on Feb 12, 2009 9:08 AM PST up reply actions  

In 12 mins for Shelden he grabs 2 boards

In 4 mins for Kenny he grabs 1 board. Kenny I can give a pass to. Shelden?

No mistakes in the tango, darling. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

I am the stone that builder refused..I am the visual...The inspiration..That made lady sing the blues....I'm the spark that makes your idea bright.....The same spark that lights the dark....So that you can know your left from your right...I am the ballot in your box....The bullet in your gun...The inner glow that lets you know...To call your brother son....The story that just begun...The promise of what's to come...And I'm 'a remain a soldier till the war is won....

by pookeyguru on Feb 12, 2009 9:10 AM PST up reply actions  

Tues Night

I got to see the Kings play for the first time in two years against the Mavs (not counting the Nuggets game that was nationally broadcast that I had to turn off quickly). All my information I’ve gathered about this team comes from StR, recaps, and highlights.

The team just looked sad. Salmons looked like his puppy was being held ransom by Cuban. Jason Kidd looked like an all league defender when he got switched onto Martin. Every King was posted up. All of them.

We had an unbelievable first half (offensively), but it was pretty clear that the game was going to get out of hand once all the 3’s stopped falling.

Anyways, just wanted to say thanks to TZ and all the StR commenters for keeping positive thoughts these last few years. Even if they might be for naught.

by Mlob on Feb 12, 2009 9:21 AM PST reply actions  

'Scuze me TZ

would it be possible to get a link to the site you’re getting your stats from. I’m not doubting you at all, would like to see where our guys fit in.

I went to Hollinger’s stat site: http://insider.espn.go.com/nba/hollinger/statistics?sort=reb&qual=true&pos=all&seasonType=2 and the ESPN player profiles: http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=3462 and if you graphed JT’s rebounds it would be a straight line down, maybe not that bad but the trend is clearly going down. In the last 5 games JT has had 8,7,6,4,4 rebounds and for the season is averaging 6.8 boards per game.

Among all players, JT has a rebound rate that places him 52nd in the league while Spence is ranked 76th. Just for comparison, Brad is ranked 57th. I know rebound rate is not the same as rebounds but it is at least a relative stat. I agree with Pook that JT’s decline has been somewhat influenced by his early foul trouble but obviously that’s not the whole story. When Spence is not replacing Miller I am unclear how Natt is using him exactly but he rarely stays in for extended minutes.

I’m not defending the fellas, clearly ball don’t lie and they are not getting the job done right now but I think long term we are going to be alright, both guys have showed that they can rebound at a double figure rate when they focus on it. Last night we had no answers for Yao.

Looking at the draft, the two players I’ve seen multiple times are Griffin (who I prefer) and Thabeeeeeeeet who in college does some of the things Yao did to us last night. Although I don’t think it’s going to happen, I like the Chandler trade. I don’t have any answers, but once the trade deadline passes at least Natt is going to have a roster he can focus on for the rest of the season.

"We are in the business of kicking butt and business is very, very good." - Charles Barkley

by Bluejohn on Feb 12, 2009 9:47 AM PST reply actions   1 recs

thanks

"We are in the business of kicking butt and business is very, very good." - Charles Barkley

by Bluejohn on Feb 12, 2009 10:47 AM PST up reply actions  

I agree

This team also needs a three who can rebound — most of the league’s two-guards rebound better than John Salmons.

Very good point, and it looks like there may be some guys around the Rockets draft pick this year that can address that need (maybe Terrence Williams or Sam Young?). The team should continue to build with pieces that compliment each other; right now, athleticism and defense are clearly lacking and need to be addressed.

by kingsfan300 on Feb 12, 2009 9:50 AM PST reply actions  

Yet in this game

Salmons out rebounded Artest 5 to 3. (Shane Battier only got 3 too.)

No mistakes in the tango, darling. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

I am the stone that builder refused..I am the visual...The inspiration..That made lady sing the blues....I'm the spark that makes your idea bright.....The same spark that lights the dark....So that you can know your left from your right...I am the ballot in your box....The bullet in your gun...The inner glow that lets you know...To call your brother son....The story that just begun...The promise of what's to come...And I'm 'a remain a soldier till the war is won....

by pookeyguru on Feb 12, 2009 9:55 AM PST up reply actions  

yeah

but that’s an exception more so than the usual

by kingsfan300 on Feb 12, 2009 8:12 PM PST up reply actions  

If your 4 and 5 have the same number of rebounds as the entire Kings team

Scola and Yao = 29. The same problems, still no answers.

Rebounds are possessions, which is defense. Keeping the other team from rebounding is defense. Having to pick up the cutter or the slasher and leaving your man, means you can’t box out – defense.

The lows keep getting lower, and the Kings are playing like an expansion team. Like an expansion team, it will take time to gather the talent to move forward. Patience and coaching are all I see as the current remedy.

by betweentheeyes on Feb 12, 2009 11:35 PM PST up reply actions  

Hmm
athleticism and defense are clearly lacking and need to be addressed

That could describe our good teams from early in the decade too. Is it a Petrie thing?

Ball movement ... is like jogging for most people: They do it occasionally, and it makes them happy. Then they go back to not doing it. - Henry Abbott

by Kfan in Korea on Feb 12, 2009 3:23 PM PST up reply actions  

At least

Webber and Vlade both averaged more than a block a game to keep opponents somewhat honest. Then you have to add 4-5 flops a game for Vlade, decent rebounding ability for both and dynamite passing. Oh, yeah, they could shoot, too.

"The basis for winning an NBA title is having a superstar in his prime. Not an all-star, or a bunch of all-stars, but a superstar."

by coolcatreportdotcom on Feb 12, 2009 7:14 PM PST up reply actions  

I agree

Those teams had the basketball IQ and the experience to overcome their weaknesses; our current team does not have any of that, which is why I hope that the need to address athleticism and defense is more apparent to GP this year than it was with those past teams.

by kingsfan300 on Feb 12, 2009 8:25 PM PST up reply actions  

Every team has weaknesses

Even great ones.

The Celtics lead the league in Turnovers.

So imitate the action of the tiger!
Stiffen the sinews, summon up the blood,
Disguise fair nature with hard-favoured rage.
- lend the eye a terrible aspect,

Now set the teeth....and teach them how to war.
Henry V iii

by lietothegirls on Feb 13, 2009 12:21 AM PST up reply actions  

I disagree

Chris Webber was an exceptional athlete. Waaay more athletic than anyone currently on the Kings. He was very quick, very mobile, graceful and a good leaper.

Vlade was a solid defender and a good athlete until he got near the end of his career

Doug Christie was extremely athletic (like probably in the 90th percentile of NBA players) and a of course was one of the best defenders in recent NBA history.

"When the going gets Weird, the Weird turn professional."
(Hunter Thompson)

by Mucho Moss on Feb 13, 2009 12:21 AM PST up reply actions  

yep

Its just the fact that they pushed up and down so much led to a lot of stat sheet stuff for both them – and opponents. Most of whom they beat.

So imitate the action of the tiger!
Stiffen the sinews, summon up the blood,
Disguise fair nature with hard-favoured rage.
- lend the eye a terrible aspect,

Now set the teeth....and teach them how to war.
Henry V iii

by lietothegirls on Feb 13, 2009 12:23 AM PST up reply actions  

right

there offense was so blazing fast and fun to watch that you could miss the fact that they could often shut opponents down in the crunch.

I already related my story here once about watching a game at Arco and seeing Jordan trying to juke Christie and drive past him, but instead Doug stuck one of those long arms out there, stripped MJ of the ball and took it the other way for a dunk.

Ah, memories…

"When the going gets Weird, the Weird turn professional."
(Hunter Thompson)

by Mucho Moss on Feb 13, 2009 12:32 AM PST up reply actions  

Vlade said we need to box out:

on tv w/ P®eaches & Jerry. He said that’s why you can tell we’re a young team right now. This was in response to what the thought of the young bigs. So then it comes down to foot work. I’d be willing to bet that both shock and hawes become better rebounders when playing alongside Miller or Moore, just because the vets box out a little better enabling them to go after the ball. With the two young guns on the floor at once they’re skipping the little things and looking up at the ball, when they really need work on their footwork.

If yr not happy with the results, lower yr expectations.

by tokyo on Feb 12, 2009 10:14 AM PST reply actions  

Nice

I missed that Vlade comment.

by Tom Ziller on Feb 12, 2009 10:28 AM PST up reply actions  

That's so true.

Look at the offensive boards these guys are surrendering. It’s atrocious! Never mind Yao. Guys like Joakim Noah are getting 5 or six offensive boards a night against the Kings.

Hawes is out of position a lot (which is true of a lot of young players) but worse, he’s getting out-quicked to the backboard consistently.

"When the going gets Weird, the Weird turn professional."
(Hunter Thompson)

by Mucho Moss on Feb 13, 2009 12:24 AM PST up reply actions  

I'm just not sure about that tandem

I know Hawes is still very young, but I’m not convinced that his game will ever develop into that of a great rebounder.

The more I watch the more I see him as that third bigman option off the bench who keeps you in the game by scoring while he’s in. A better scorer than BMiller – but a similar player role-wise, more suited to playing beside a dominant rebounder or coming off the bench and being a shifty bastard. As TZ says, Hawes might be able to start on a team where the 4 and 3 are exceptional rebounders (or the 5 if he becomes a 4, something I still think is a possibility)

JT will be a better rebounder if he dedicates himself to getting stronger – dedicates himself and learns to defend without fouling. He does not use his fouls well, many are touch fouls at odd moments. He’s a rookie, I get it.

Part of the rebounding problem has been a cycle of pain. We’re not getting rebounds so the staff says “Everybody get a rebound!”, for a while that works, then because of a lack of pue rebounding talent and a lack of rebounding as a team, (bigs not blocking out for each other, or for guards, guards can do the same. BLOCK OUT!) it disintegrates.

This team is lost right now, the players just don’t know how to play with each other. This is trust – or lack of confidence as a team. There’s been reason to doubt this year. The Kings constantly fail to make the key shot at that crucial moment, fail to get that key rebound, fail to make that key stop. Sure, there have been some exceptions here or there but……

I think we need to add another big to the mix, one way or another, if this is the future it can’t be the whole picture up on the front line.

So imitate the action of the tiger!
Stiffen the sinews, summon up the blood,
Disguise fair nature with hard-favoured rage.
- lend the eye a terrible aspect,

Now set the teeth....and teach them how to war.
Henry V iii

by lietothegirls on Feb 12, 2009 10:28 AM PST reply actions  

FYI - in my opinion

Thabeet should get credit for more rebounds than he does as he consistantly leans on and blocks opponents so his 6’7" PF pulls down 13 a game…..

No, his game is not flashy, but the fundamentals are there big-time.

So imitate the action of the tiger!
Stiffen the sinews, summon up the blood,
Disguise fair nature with hard-favoured rage.
- lend the eye a terrible aspect,

Now set the teeth....and teach them how to war.
Henry V iii

by lietothegirls on Feb 12, 2009 10:32 AM PST up reply actions  

I second this comment.

Hawes is not a very good athlete. He’ll be a nice player on offense and could be a solid NBA player, but he’ll always be a liability on defense against quicker, more athletic players .

"When the going gets Weird, the Weird turn professional."
(Hunter Thompson)

by Mucho Moss on Feb 13, 2009 12:27 AM PST up reply actions  

I'd also note that Hawes is probably three years from reaching his potential

-Whatever that is.

KM will be nearly 30 by then.

So imitate the action of the tiger!
Stiffen the sinews, summon up the blood,
Disguise fair nature with hard-favoured rage.
- lend the eye a terrible aspect,

Now set the teeth....and teach them how to war.
Henry V iii

by lietothegirls on Feb 12, 2009 10:36 AM PST reply actions  

I'm gonna get flamed...

I like both Thompson and Hawes. Jason’s energy and tenaciousness are one of very few bright spots this season. Spencer’s age to skill ratio is sky-high. But after watching them, I don’t think either player has multiple All Star games in his future.

I see Jason a Kurt Thomas or Brian Grant-type player. Physical, hard nosed, not afraid to bang, good but not great rebounder, good jump shot, good defender. Doesn’t block shots and not a good enough athlete to be an elite rebounder. Maybe he can be better than those guys, but I’m not sure. Jason is going to be successful based primarily on strength, not athleticism, so hitting the weight room is absolutely critical.

Hawes could go one of two ways: One is early Raef Lafrentz – 13 points 8 rebounds, jump shooting, perimeter-oriented forward who occasionally slides to the “big” positions. Hawes has a tendency to play this kind of game. The other is a Vlade Divac-type player – 14 points, 9 rebounds, a 1.5 steals and 1.5 blocks per game, along with being a facilitator and leader. I would certainly hope for the latter. Spencer is going to rely on skill more than strength, but he needs to get stronger to avoid getting pushed around in the post, assuming that’s where he’s going to play.

This is why I would give up either player to get a superstar. I think they’re both going to be good players, but I don’t see either guy reaching the superstar level. Then again, I could be completely wrong on both of them.

Shut up and Coach

by Carl on Feb 12, 2009 10:46 AM PST reply actions  

With

I like ’em both, but can there be anyone on an 11-43 club that is untouchable? Martin may be untradeable due to his BYC (Garcia, too), but untradeable and untouchable are two different things.

Richmond wasn’t untradeable, and he was the franchise. I wouldn’t want to short sell JT or Hawes, but if an all star caliber player were part of the deal, I would consider it heavily.

SACTOWN ROYALTY - Try our thick creamy shakes!

by section214 on Feb 12, 2009 10:56 AM PST up reply actions  

I agree with your point

Just not for Amare.

No mistakes in the tango, darling. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

I am the stone that builder refused..I am the visual...The inspiration..That made lady sing the blues....I'm the spark that makes your idea bright.....The same spark that lights the dark....So that you can know your left from your right...I am the ballot in your box....The bullet in your gun...The inner glow that lets you know...To call your brother son....The story that just begun...The promise of what's to come...And I'm 'a remain a soldier till the war is won....

by pookeyguru on Feb 12, 2009 10:59 AM PST up reply actions  

Amare

You feel about Amare the way I felt about Artest. I don’t completely understand, but then there were a lot of people who didn’t get why I wanted Artest gone so bad.

The upside is that the trades that we’ve seen thrown around (Bayless, Aldridge for Amare, or Gay, Conley for Amare) simply can’t be matched by the Kings. If those type of trades are the going rate, we don’t have a chance.

Shut up and Coach

by Carl on Feb 12, 2009 11:07 AM PST up reply actions  

Portland won't do LMA and Bayless IMO

thats just what Phx asked for.

So imitate the action of the tiger!
Stiffen the sinews, summon up the blood,
Disguise fair nature with hard-favoured rage.
- lend the eye a terrible aspect,

Now set the teeth....and teach them how to war.
Henry V iii

by lietothegirls on Feb 12, 2009 11:50 AM PST up reply actions  

wait...

Just a couple of weeks ago you said Hawes, Thompson and Greene were all “untouchable”.

"When the going gets Weird, the Weird turn professional."
(Hunter Thompson)

by Mucho Moss on Feb 13, 2009 12:33 AM PST up reply actions  

To get something

you gotta give something

I’m not on the ’let’s give everything away for nothing’ wagon though.
(though I know you weren’t referring to me)

So imitate the action of the tiger!
Stiffen the sinews, summon up the blood,
Disguise fair nature with hard-favoured rage.
- lend the eye a terrible aspect,

Now set the teeth - and teach them how to war!
Henry V iii

by lietothegirls on Feb 13, 2009 2:12 PM PST up reply actions  

That's right.

 And frankly, lie, we don’t have that much to give.

I just think it’s pretty ridiculous and presumptuous to think that a team that is arguably one of the worst in recent NBA history has “untouchable” assets.

hell, the best asset we currently have (our 2009 #1 pick) isn’t even a player on the roster!

We also have some expiring contracts, which are valuable but which we also want to hang onto if at all possible.

After that there’s KMart, who’s a real good player but should absolutely be considered tradable if the right deal were offered. I like Cisco but he’s certainly not “untouchable”

I’d say Shock should be held onto unless it turned out he was a piece in a deal that brought the Kings something great.

Hawes? It’s pretty well known that I’m not super enthused about the kid. He’s got some talent and he’s what we’ve got, but if the Kings seriously want to contend then Spencer either has to get a helluva lot better on defense than he’s so far shown to be capable, or we’ll have to upgrade.

Donté? He could turn out to be a good player but there’s just as good chance that he won’t even be in the NBA in four years. I doubt Petrie is fending off a lot of requests for Greene so we might as well hang on to him and see what kind of upside he’s got.

"When the going gets Weird, the Weird turn professional."
(Hunter Thompson)

by Mucho Moss on Feb 13, 2009 7:32 PM PST up reply actions  

No flames from me

I agree totally about JT. He’s not a great leaper, and it shows by the fact that he tips more rebounds than he grabs. If he gets stronger and learns to box out, so that he can grab & control the rebound, and then go back up strong for the dunk, I might change my opinion.

Hawes has multiple skills in less than 1 1/2 seasons. He’s young but motivated to win, and shows great desire. He’ll be more valuable as a center, and in a different offense he’d get more rebounds. Right now, he not getting enough touches down low. With a PG that could get the ball to him where he wants it in the low post, he’d get more pts. And, in a different offense that didn’t have him outside the 3 pt line so often he’d get more offensive rebound.

I cant really guess how high their potential will take them, but even an average center with the type of numbers you outlined, is worth keeping. Until JT show the ability to dominate the boards, I’d have to think he’s move expendable.

"If you don't have anything good to say, LIE" - Mom

by HighTops on Feb 12, 2009 2:45 PM PST up reply actions  

It would be interesting to see how much better players get as rebounders as they get older.

Can we reasonably expect Shock & Hawes to get significantly better as they physically mature, learn the league, learn to box out, etc?

I guess I’m not totally disappointed with Hawes, as I have a difficult time being too hard on a 20yr old competing with 25-35yr olds. I’m not sure if that’s me being a complete homer or not though. I wonder what other 20yr old 7fters did for rebounding numbers in their NBA minutes.

For Shock, it seems pretty evident he’s going to be a good rebounder. The low end of his projection has to be 8rpg in starter’s minutes right? I’m not sold he’s going to be a 12rpg guy someday in starters’ minutes but I don’t think that possibility can be completely ruled out.

One other factor is our atrocious defense. There aren’t a ton of defensive rebounds available given the number of perimeter guys are running free to the basket any given night or opposing post players catching the ball within 5ft of the hoop. Being more solid on D leads to less rotations, which means less big guys leaving their man to influence shots, etc. How often do you see the Kings force an opponent to take a shot without total chaos on defense where each guy can just turn, block out their guy and go get the board? Good defensive teams it happens at least fairly regularly, its a rarity for our guys right now, but there’s some hope it will get better.

I guess I don’t think rebounding for Shock & Hawes is hopeless, I will say its a little disappointing right now though. And the defensive presence Spencer had the first couple of weeks isn’t there anymore, which I hope returns.

by ForThree on Feb 12, 2009 12:23 PM PST reply actions  

JT has the problem of

always having been the biggest dude where ever he played – he’s never been a weight room guy. because he didn’t need to be.

Can he become one of those guys? At this level he needs it.

So imitate the action of the tiger!
Stiffen the sinews, summon up the blood,
Disguise fair nature with hard-favoured rage.
- lend the eye a terrible aspect,

Now set the teeth....and teach them how to war.
Henry V iii

by lietothegirls on Feb 12, 2009 1:00 PM PST up reply actions  

Hawes may be one of those guys

who don’t develop physically until thier mid-twenties. Some fill out earlier, some don’t. As an athlete myself who never was able to put on much until 22-23 dispite being a very very hard worker in the weight room, thats my guess anyway looking at him.

of course I was an amatuer really and didn’t have the facilities he does – but its a matter of what the body is ready for.

So imitate the action of the tiger!
Stiffen the sinews, summon up the blood,
Disguise fair nature with hard-favoured rage.
- lend the eye a terrible aspect,

Now set the teeth....and teach them how to war.
Henry V iii

by lietothegirls on Feb 12, 2009 1:05 PM PST up reply actions  

He'll probably get bigger

but he won’t get any quicker and his hops will always be mediocre at best.

"When the going gets Weird, the Weird turn professional."
(Hunter Thompson)

by Mucho Moss on Feb 13, 2009 12:35 AM PST up reply actions  

I totally agree

If we see the physical development for JT that Spencer had from last year to this, he’s going to be tons better next year. He needs an NBA offseason, and if he puts in the work, I’m pretty optomistic.

by ForThree on Feb 12, 2009 1:06 PM PST up reply actions  

Unforunately I didn't see a big improvement in Spencers physical prowess

from last year to this year. Can we expect him to change this off season??

by nothingbutnet on Feb 12, 2009 2:35 PM PST up reply actions  

Well, I guess his physical changes are pretty obvious to me

He’s in tons better shape, and clearly is stronger than he was.

Remember he’s 20, he may not get taller, but its very likely he’ll get bigger; if he keeps working at it he’ll get a lot stronger. Let’s put it this way, of Hawes or JT, the guy I see not being easily backed down by Yao or Dwight Howard in 3 years is Hawes.

by ForThree on Feb 12, 2009 3:02 PM PST up reply actions  

whoa

Don’t think I agree on that

So imitate the action of the tiger!
Stiffen the sinews, summon up the blood,
Disguise fair nature with hard-favoured rage.
- lend the eye a terrible aspect,

Now set the teeth....and teach them how to war.
Henry V iii

by lietothegirls on Feb 12, 2009 3:04 PM PST up reply actions  

interesting lttg

Hawes seems so much bigger to me.

I’m not dogging JT in this btw, for example, I see JT once he learns some self-control and gets in better shape being the guy to defend LMA or chase around Nowitski.

by ForThree on Feb 12, 2009 3:07 PM PST up reply actions  

If they Both hit the weights

It looks to me like JT would be bigger

(not what WILL they do)

Thats all.

They both really need to hit’em….

So imitate the action of the tiger!
Stiffen the sinews, summon up the blood,
Disguise fair nature with hard-favoured rage.
- lend the eye a terrible aspect,

Now set the teeth....and teach them how to war.
Henry V iii

by lietothegirls on Feb 12, 2009 3:16 PM PST up reply actions  

I thought he was noticeably bigger

At least he seemed to have more muscular definition when the season started.

Mambo King

by otis29 on Feb 12, 2009 3:22 PM PST up reply actions  

Yeah, more cut

not so much more bulk, but definitely in better shape. And Hawes is only 20 your body doesn’t start filling out until around that time.

Just for fun here’s a pic of a young Vlade(no clue how old, but he has a beard)

Ball movement ... is like jogging for most people: They do it occasionally, and it makes them happy. Then they go back to not doing it. - Henry Abbott

by Kfan in Korea on Feb 12, 2009 3:33 PM PST up reply actions  

Jesus H Christ

You musta went digging deep in that archive to find that sucker…..

No mistakes in the tango, darling. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

I am the stone that builder refused..I am the visual...The inspiration..That made lady sing the blues....I'm the spark that makes your idea bright.....The same spark that lights the dark....So that you can know your left from your right...I am the ballot in your box....The bullet in your gun...The inner glow that lets you know...To call your brother son....The story that just begun...The promise of what's to come...And I'm 'a remain a soldier till the war is won....

by pookeyguru on Feb 12, 2009 3:35 PM PST up reply actions  

Cool!

Cold war photos!

SACTOWN ROYALTY - Try our thick creamy shakes!

by section214 on Feb 12, 2009 3:37 PM PST up reply actions   1 recs

Come ON! You know thats an exaggeration!

He did keeps his Reds in his left sock though – nice’n handy

So imitate the action of the tiger!
Stiffen the sinews, summon up the blood,
Disguise fair nature with hard-favoured rage.
- lend the eye a terrible aspect,

Now set the teeth....and teach them how to war.
Henry V iii

by lietothegirls on Feb 12, 2009 4:40 PM PST up reply actions  

Just for fun here’s a pic of a young Vlade(no clue how old, but he has a beard)

Vlade was 12 in that photo. And yeah, he smoked and had a beard then too.

Shut up and Coach

by Carl on Feb 12, 2009 4:06 PM PST up reply actions   1 recs

Is that a beard

or a map of Serbia?

SACTOWN ROYALTY - Try our thick creamy shakes!

by section214 on Feb 12, 2009 4:07 PM PST up reply actions   1 recs

Jokes aside

If you look at his build when he was around Spencer’s age, it’s not that different. That was really the point of the post.

Ball movement ... is like jogging for most people: They do it occasionally, and it makes them happy. Then they go back to not doing it. - Henry Abbott

by Kfan in Korea on Feb 12, 2009 4:28 PM PST up reply actions  

Vlade did get stronger

But he hung pretty well in a much more physical era than he ever got credit for.

No mistakes in the tango, darling. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

I am the stone that builder refused..I am the visual...The inspiration..That made lady sing the blues....I'm the spark that makes your idea bright.....The same spark that lights the dark....So that you can know your left from your right...I am the ballot in your box....The bullet in your gun...The inner glow that lets you know...To call your brother son....The story that just begun...The promise of what's to come...And I'm 'a remain a soldier till the war is won....

by pookeyguru on Feb 12, 2009 4:47 PM PST up reply actions  

Pretty well?

Dude missed a grand total of six games in his six year career with the Kings. Vlade was a big-time flopper, but he was also tough as nails.

Shut up and Coach

by Carl on Feb 12, 2009 6:45 PM PST up reply actions  

Masculine Understatement

Look it up Carl. :P

No mistakes in the tango, darling. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

I am the stone that builder refused..I am the visual...The inspiration..That made lady sing the blues....I'm the spark that makes your idea bright.....The same spark that lights the dark....So that you can know your left from your right...I am the ballot in your box....The bullet in your gun...The inner glow that lets you know...To call your brother son....The story that just begun...The promise of what's to come...And I'm 'a remain a soldier till the war is won....

by pookeyguru on Feb 17, 2009 6:19 AM PST up reply actions  

Jokes aside?

I guess I’m done here…

Point taken, btw.

SACTOWN ROYALTY - Try our thick creamy shakes!

by section214 on Feb 12, 2009 4:49 PM PST up reply actions  

Hawes may grow

to be as big as Vlade but he’ll never be as athletic. And he probably won’t be as strong either.

Hawes is similar in height and he does share some of the slick post moves that Vlade had when he came into the league, but beyond that it’s not a fair comparison.

Vlade Divac was one of the three or four most gifted players to ever come out of Europe. He was a truly great center.

"When the going gets Weird, the Weird turn professional."
(Hunter Thompson)

by Mucho Moss on Feb 12, 2009 11:51 PM PST up reply actions  

I wouldn't say never

he has a very similar tool-kit as has been said.

Its possible

So imitate the action of the tiger!
Stiffen the sinews, summon up the blood,
Disguise fair nature with hard-favoured rage.
- lend the eye a terrible aspect,

Now set the teeth....and teach them how to war.
Henry V iii

by lietothegirls on Feb 13, 2009 12:25 AM PST up reply actions  

That's not true lttg

He didn’t grow until he was a freshman at Rider. He was about 6’6 when he entered Rider, and then grew some more.

No mistakes in the tango, darling. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

I am the stone that builder refused..I am the visual...The inspiration..That made lady sing the blues....I'm the spark that makes your idea bright.....The same spark that lights the dark....So that you can know your left from your right...I am the ballot in your box....The bullet in your gun...The inner glow that lets you know...To call your brother son....The story that just begun...The promise of what's to come...And I'm 'a remain a soldier till the war is won....

by pookeyguru on Feb 12, 2009 2:03 PM PST up reply actions  

I see your point

but he doesn’t look like he’s a big weight room guy and I think he needs to be at this level. Hitting the weight room is a habit – can he/will he develop it?

So imitate the action of the tiger!
Stiffen the sinews, summon up the blood,
Disguise fair nature with hard-favoured rage.
- lend the eye a terrible aspect,

Now set the teeth....and teach them how to war.
Henry V iii

by lietothegirls on Feb 12, 2009 2:49 PM PST up reply actions  

It's probably going to come down to desire

If he wants to improve on the defensive end, he’s going to need to be stronger.

Mambo King

by otis29 on Feb 12, 2009 3:23 PM PST up reply actions  

Yup my point exactly

Being a big is something new for JT. Once he gets a true feel for what he needs to do I think he will get there.

No mistakes in the tango, darling. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

I am the stone that builder refused..I am the visual...The inspiration..That made lady sing the blues....I'm the spark that makes your idea bright.....The same spark that lights the dark....So that you can know your left from your right...I am the ballot in your box....The bullet in your gun...The inner glow that lets you know...To call your brother son....The story that just begun...The promise of what's to come...And I'm 'a remain a soldier till the war is won....

by pookeyguru on Feb 12, 2009 3:27 PM PST up reply actions  

Yes

If Thompson has shown anything, it’s the will to compete and get better. I’d be surprised if being a hard worker in and out of the weight room isn’t part of that.

Shut up and Coach

by Carl on Feb 12, 2009 4:08 PM PST up reply actions  

Your Brian Grant comparison sucks btw

I just want to let you know that.

No mistakes in the tango, darling. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

I am the stone that builder refused..I am the visual...The inspiration..That made lady sing the blues....I'm the spark that makes your idea bright.....The same spark that lights the dark....So that you can know your left from your right...I am the ballot in your box....The bullet in your gun...The inner glow that lets you know...To call your brother son....The story that just begun...The promise of what's to come...And I'm 'a remain a soldier till the war is won....

by pookeyguru on Feb 12, 2009 4:48 PM PST up reply actions  

Heheh

Sucks because it’s true?

Shut up and Coach

by Carl on Feb 12, 2009 6:45 PM PST up reply actions  

Few 1st or 2nd yr college prospects come into the NBA knowing how to play defense

Alot of college teams don’t play man defense. Donte only played zone. And, it takes exception physical attributes to play great man defense along with the desire to do it.

NBA coachs can teach team defense, but individual talent is still required. It’s been pointed out numerous times that our poor backcourt defenders put an exceptional challenge on our starting bigs. Leave your man to stop penetration to the basket while still defending your man is impossible. And, if your teammates don’t see it and come to help defend your man, there’s nothing to do but foul or give up an easy basket.

Few GM’s draft strickly for defensive ability especially in the 1st round. You draft for talent and hope defense comes with it.

"If you don't have anything good to say, LIE" - Mom

by HighTops on Feb 12, 2009 3:07 PM PST up reply actions  

No, he isn't

Geoff Petrie loves, loves LOVES jump shooters. How many players has Petrie acquired that either didn’t have a jump shot or were defensive specialists?

1. Scot Pollard
2. Greg Ostertag (wasn’t here long and didn’t play much).
3. ?

I guess you could put Gerald Wallace on that list, because he couldn’t shoot when he got here, but then again, he never played. Maybe you could make an argument for Doug Christie, but I don’t think so. He was a decent jump shooter and very good passer. Keon Clark had a good elbow jumper. Artest is a decent shooter most years.

I’m probably missing some people, but my point is that if you don’t have a jump shot, Petrie’s not interested. And that’s why we often have bad defensive teams. Because defense is less than afterthought in the player acquisition process for the Kings even for bench players.

Shut up and Coach

by Carl on Feb 12, 2009 4:15 PM PST up reply actions  

Aaaargh!

He’s my Pookey Amare….!

So imitate the action of the tiger!
Stiffen the sinews, summon up the blood,
Disguise fair nature with hard-favoured rage.
- lend the eye a terrible aspect,

Now set the teeth....and teach them how to war.
Henry V iii

by lietothegirls on Feb 12, 2009 4:42 PM PST up reply actions  

You mean

Marion is to you what Amare is to me? Fuck that shit. I hate Marion too.

No mistakes in the tango, darling. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

I am the stone that builder refused..I am the visual...The inspiration..That made lady sing the blues....I'm the spark that makes your idea bright.....The same spark that lights the dark....So that you can know your left from your right...I am the ballot in your box....The bullet in your gun...The inner glow that lets you know...To call your brother son....The story that just begun...The promise of what's to come...And I'm 'a remain a soldier till the war is won....

by pookeyguru on Feb 12, 2009 4:50 PM PST up reply actions  

Two more...
How many players has Petrie acquired that either didn’t have a jump shot or were defensive specialists?

Brian Skinner and Vitaly Potapenko. Skinner was purely a throw in to the Webber deal and Potapenko was acquired to dump Skinner’s contract. Just so I’m being complete.

Shut up and Coach

by Carl on Feb 12, 2009 6:48 PM PST up reply actions  

Tariq Abdul Wahad

But the fact that we can name them proves your point.

SACTOWN ROYALTY - Try our thick creamy shakes!

by section214 on Feb 12, 2009 6:50 PM PST up reply actions  

I got an Idea...

pray for the first overall pick and Blake Griffin will make us forget that rebounding was ever a problem in these parts.

by HarbirD on Feb 12, 2009 6:11 PM PST reply actions  

The Hawes Bandwagon

Seems like I was crucified not that long ago for doubting Hawes’ chances of becoming a star in this league at some point. Maybe I was just a little early in my assessment, but that sentiment seems to be becoming a bandwagon. It also may have a lot to do with JT’s development and the fact that we might have to part with one of them in a trade if we want to get better.

"The basis for winning an NBA title is having a superstar in his prime. Not an all-star, or a bunch of all-stars, but a superstar."

by coolcatreportdotcom on Feb 13, 2009 6:47 AM PST reply actions  

He might be

But I no longer think this team, these fans can wait two or three more years for him to grow up. Small markets gotta sell tickets.

So imitate the action of the tiger!
Stiffen the sinews, summon up the blood,
Disguise fair nature with hard-favoured rage.
- lend the eye a terrible aspect,

Now set the teeth - and teach them how to war!
Henry V iii

by lietothegirls on Feb 13, 2009 2:08 PM PST up reply actions  

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