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Don't Call it a Mock Draft

This isn't a mock draft.  Aside from only covering the first 4 picks, this is a rambling flow of ideas around each team's pick.  Mock drafts are guesswork, and fail to allow the necessary wiggle room in draft analysis.  This will have more wiggle than J-Lo's rump.  Also, 1999 called, apparently it would like me to return my J-Lo reference.

1. Los Angeles Clippers

Forecast of Blake Griffin with a chance of did-you-honestly-think-they'd-take-anyone-else?  Honestly I think Donald Sterling wants to trade away this pick, I just don't get the impression anyone is willing to sell the farm in order to get Griffin.  And honestly, I think the Clips are just too lazy and cheap to do any level of serious player analysis.  Side note: Can you imagine if that was your job?  How terrible would that be in a bar?  Chick: "So what do you do?"  Scout: "I'm an NBA Scout"  Chick (excited): "For the Lakers?!"  Scout: "No, for the, uh, Clippers."  Chick: "Well, it was nice meeting you, I'm going to go order a Lemon Drop."

What will be really interested to watch with L.A.'s B-Team is what they do with the logjam down low.  It seems that at least one, possibly two bigs out of Marcus Camby, Chris Kaman, and Zach Randolph could be traded.  I'd expect one, and I'd expect Camby.  I can't imagine who would be willing to take Randolph, and I think the Clips would be reluctant to trade Kaman just yet.  Camby's pricey, and a bit of a malcontent when put in a bad situation, but you're telling me he wouldn't thrive on a competitive team like the Heat?

2. Memphis Grizzlies

Bleak with a chance of fans hating their lives.  Blake Griffin should be off the board.  You made all of Spain's players hate you after the experiences of the Gasol brothers and Juan Carlos Navarro, so Ricky Rubio would rather play in Europe.  That being said, I still wouldn't be shocked if Memphis drafted Rubio.  You're obviously not in a great bargaining position, but someone will probably trade you something of value.  Rubio is a commodity, and I honestly still struggle to believe that Memphis will pass.  The flipside to that is whether or not Memphis uses the pick if they don't have a deal already worked out.  I think not.  I suspect a behind-the-scenes deal of "Draft Rubio and trade him to us for Player X".  If it's not a deal like that, it's too big a risk.  And if it's not Rubio, I could see Thabeet going here.  There are rumors abound as to who else Memphis might like, but Thabeet's complete lack of workouts indicate that someone had made a promise.  I'd put my money on it being Memphis. 

(I get a bit longwinded about the Thunder and the Kings, so they're after the jump.  -Ex G)

Star-divide

3. Oklahoma City Thunder

If Hasheem Thabeet is still on the board, I think the Thunder take him and immediately nickname him "Thunder" Thabeet.  Too awesome.  Seriously though, despite the bust potential, this could be a really good fit for Thabeet.  He wouldn't be considered the guy who is supposed to save the franchise.  Durant is in that role, and Russell Westbrook is his sidekick.  Thabeet would just need to be another pieceof the puzzle.  Despite all my criticisms, I think he could fill that kind of role.  If Rubio is on the board, I think they'll take him.  I don't like the idea of Rubio on another team, but I slip into a semi-comatose state of basketball joy when I think about what Rubio could do with Kevin Durant

If it's not Rubio or Thabeet, then I honestly have no idea.  But since it is a likely scenario (based on all the recent chatter), I'll go with Harden.  I've heard Stephen Curry thrown in the discussion here, and it honestly would be a good pick in my mind.  You pair Westbrook and Curry as lethal combo guards who both can handle and shoot, and they spread defenses away from Durant.  Harden could do the same thing.  Neither Harden nor Curry address OKC's weaknesses down low, but either pick makes their offense absolutely frightening. 

A lot of folks have stated that the Kings' pick at 4 will shape the rest of the draft, but I think the Thunder are actually the key player.  They can go a variety of directions and improve an already strong, young, up-and-coming team.  Their pick shapes a lot of the rest of the draft, but it would be hard for them to screw up this pick.  By the way, pookey, can you be on the lookout to be sure that this paragraph doesn't result in an outbreak of SuperSonic fan suicides?  Thanks.

4. Sacramento Kings

Obviously the Kings pick is very dependent on the first three picks.  Hence the need for some wiggle in this breakdown.  If Rubio is on the board, it would be stunning if he wasn't the pick.  If he's off the board, which I actually think will end up being the case, it gets more intriguing.  I believe that the Kings would select Brandon Jennings,  Tyreke Evans, or Jrue Holliday.  I put those in the order I believe they would draft the players, but it's all pure speculation.  I also do not think that they would draft Thabeet, even if he is still on the board.  Thabeet has not done any workouts thus far, and I can't imagine Petrie taking a guy who wasn't willing to do a workout.  Of course, Rubio has yet to do a workout either.

A little more on why I place these guys in the order that I did.  I think Jennings blew away a lot of spectators in the recent workout with Holliday and Jonny Flynn.  The Kings gossip mill churned out some info that Flynn was impressive, but I feel like that was a combination of smokescreen and truth.  I think Flynn impressed them, but I don't think the Kings are ready to use the number 4 pick on him.  If he's there at 23 by some miracle, absolutely.  Or if there's an opportunity to trade up.  Geoff Petrie doesn't follow consensus on where guys are "supposed" to be drafted, but he also knows the value of a pick. 

Evans and Holliday are interesting.  I keep flip-flopping on both of them.  Evans has a lot of physical skills, but as Chad Ford mentioned recently (insider), I can't imagine the Kings were impressed with his refusal to workout against Terrence Williams. I've stated before that I don't trust Ford as a prognosticator, but as a guy who can get a whisper from the inside he might be on to something here.  From everything I've read, it also sounds like Holliday disappeared in the three-man workout, and was really overshadowed by Flynn's leadership.  Long story short, I say they would go with Jennings.

 

To wrap this up, this is not meant as a mock draft.  It's more of a conglomeration of my thoughts on each pick.  You see, the thing I love most about the draft is the uncertainty.  A mock draft assumes a knowledge of what will happen.  Clearly, I have no idea what will happen on draft night.  But I have a lot of ideas, as do all of you.  But the one idea we can all share is the hope that we'll find on draft night.  Nothing is more exciting than potential.  And we get to see three young players added to the team.  In times like this, I'm just glad I'm not Geoff Petrie.

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Comments

Display:

By the way, pookey, can you be on the lookout to be sure that this paragraph doesn’t result in an outbreak of SuperSonic fan suicides? Thanks.

Can’t promise anything. Most people around here don’t complain the Sonics are gone from what I’ve noticed.

Evil Cowtown Inc: Screwin' Suckaz over since Nineteen Eighty-Five.....

No mistakes in the tango, darling. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

by pookeyguru on Jun 15, 2009 5:34 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Or spending that money on the Sounders instead

Evil Cowtown Inc: Screwin' Suckaz over since Nineteen Eighty-Five.....

No mistakes in the tango, darling. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

by pookeyguru on Jun 15, 2009 6:15 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree with this:
The Kings gossip mill churned out some info that Flynn was impressive, but I feel like that was a combination of smokescreen and truth

Especially since the media on hand said Jennings was most impressive, and the FO seems intent on disguising its motives.

by nbrans on Jun 15, 2009 5:40 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

The media also doesn't care about shot selection

Jennings was more exciting, but part of that is because he was taking every shot. Jennings is talented, but he’s full of crap if he thinks he’s a pass-first PG. Flynn IS a pass-first PG, a leader, and a clutch player. I’d honestly rather have Flynn, even if we stay at 4. I’d also rather have Holiday than Jennings; at least Holiday is a shutdown defender.

"A's baseball...it's almost better than a stick in the eye" ~ alox

Formerly Gallagher's Watermelons

by Jones-Drew32 on Jun 15, 2009 10:31 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I too think the Clips actually want to trade Griffin

But – because they’re going to have a very hard time trading any of thier big men. I still think He could be had after the draft for a PG + not much filler.

I hope its to us.

So imitate the action of the tiger!.
Lend the eye a terrible aspect
- and teach them how to war!
Henry V iii

by lietothegirls on Jun 15, 2009 6:04 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Oh - and because they're the Clippers!

So imitate the action of the tiger!.
Lend the eye a terrible aspect
- and teach them how to war!
Henry V iii

by lietothegirls on Jun 15, 2009 6:04 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I heard a rumor

That they were looking to move Griffin for the ghost of Olowokandi and a case of Slimfast for Baron Davis… or was it Jenny Craig vouchers?

by misterbrister on Jun 15, 2009 6:10 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

LOL mister

Evil Cowtown Inc: Screwin' Suckaz over since Nineteen Eighty-Five.....

No mistakes in the tango, darling. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

by pookeyguru on Jun 15, 2009 6:16 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Aside from the 8 year run in the early part of the decade

You can say that about the Kings as well.

BOOK IT!

by kingme18 on Jun 15, 2009 6:47 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Say what you will

I still think we have a much better draft/ contract history than the Clips. How many years in a row were they in the lottery? And how many of those guys did they lose after three years?

by misterbrister on Jun 15, 2009 7:28 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

An 8 year run

In one decade isn’t a fluke. It’s a trend. It’s the down years that are the exception now.

The draft lottery has reinforced my belief that there are not enough bad words in the English language.

by LeaguePassAddict on Jun 15, 2009 9:00 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'd deal Kevin for Blake

Keep the 4th pick and hope for either Rubio or Harden.

BOOK IT!

by kingme18 on Jun 15, 2009 6:46 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

No thanks

I’d prefer 1 gamble and 1 almost-All-Star over 2 gambles.

Never forget: I am a complete idiot

by Exhibit G on Jun 15, 2009 6:51 PM PDT up reply actions   2 recs

I'd do it, too

I hope I dont get my fandom revoked

by DustyG on Jun 16, 2009 9:15 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

If I was picking for the Clippers...

I would call OKC and suggest a trade to acquire Green and their #3 and their #25 for the #1/Griffin and Al Thornton plus filler (e.g. Mardy Collins). OKC lands their home state guy Griffin who they wanted all along. In this scenario Green doesn’t fit there anyway unless they would move Durant back to SG which failed. They get a capable but clear backup to Durant in Thornton. The Clippers get an upgrade at SF (reportedly Dunleavy was thinking about playing Griffin there, and that’s just wrong) who is also three years younger than who they had, and can pick the best player left at #3, preferably a PG. If that’s Rubio, he gets to one of the cities he wants to, can learn for a while behind Davis, and Davis is much easier to move than their PF/C conundrum. Then they can rebuild around three great young players. And still address another need at 25.

http://games.espn.go.com/nba/tradeMachine?tradeId=m7b235

by Norsktroll on Jun 15, 2009 7:07 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I like that trade

Unfortunately, the Clips haven’t figured out that there’s only one ball, and not everyone can be a scorer all the time. A guy like Green who plays D and makes plays for others is a need for them.

Unfortunately (there’s a theme here) even if the Clips do figure that out, I don’t know if they get enough back in the deal to make up with the fan protests over letting Blake get away.

by misterbrister on Jun 15, 2009 7:31 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

What!? The Clippers have fans?

by KingsAs49erSharks on Jun 15, 2009 7:54 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yes.

Bill Simmons.

Evil Cowtown Inc: Screwin' Suckaz over since Nineteen Eighty-Five.....

No mistakes in the tango, darling. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

by pookeyguru on Jun 15, 2009 7:55 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not a fan

Just a season ticket holder.

Just sayin’

Wait....Why is everybody clapping? Everyone around me is clapping.... I guess I should be clapping too... GO LAKERS!!! I hate living in So Cal

by 27freethrows on Jun 15, 2009 8:10 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I know this

It was a joke. Jes sayin…

Evil Cowtown Inc: Screwin' Suckaz over since Nineteen Eighty-Five.....

No mistakes in the tango, darling. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

by pookeyguru on Jun 15, 2009 8:54 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Billy Crystal

Counts for about three fans… So yeah, they have at least five fans.

by misterbrister on Jun 16, 2009 5:43 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think

Jennings is going to be the best player of this draft.

He struggled in Europe but just the way everyone keeps bashing him seems like smokescreens.

Seems to me like all those GMs of picks lower than ours want us to pass on him. You dont lose talent in one year.

Oakland Raider fan till I DIE!!!

by Robby1987 on Jun 15, 2009 7:22 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

This place is always good for a laugh

You dont think the Kings would take Evans because of his refusal to work out against Terrence Willams? Hmmmmmm. If the Kings make picks based on this kind of reasoning instead of player ability, then we deserve to SUCK badly.

Jennings is a flashy hot shot who showed very little in Europe.
Why take him over Evans—easily the BEST player among those you mentioned and far more athletic and talented than Rubio with the exception of court vision and passing.

by VirginiaBlue on Jun 15, 2009 7:31 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Jennings

WIll be better than Evans.

Oakland Raider fan till I DIE!!!

by Robby1987 on Jun 15, 2009 7:34 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

IMO

sorry i forgot to add that at the end

Oakland Raider fan till I DIE!!!

by Robby1987 on Jun 15, 2009 7:34 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Evans

From Ford’s article that I linked above:


Evans struggled with his shot and may have shot himself in the foot in an interview when he complained about not being able to work out against other players, but then subsequently balked when the Kings offered to put Terrence Williams in a workout against him.

Do you really feel like that won’t be considered when they are looking at talent?

Also, we don’t know what he showed in Europe. Unless you watched all of his games, then you and I are equally unqualified to discuss his abilities. At least I have the common courtesy to acknowledge the things I do not know. Give it the ol’ college try, it’s fun for the whole family.

Never forget: I am a complete idiot

by Exhibit G on Jun 15, 2009 8:02 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Um...
far more athletic and talented than Rubio with the exception of court vision and passing.

Aren’t those things, like, REALLY important in a point guard?

I’d rather have a pass-first point guard with superior court vision and basketball IQ than an athletic isolation-oriented shooting combo guard any day.

And rather than saying snide and condescending things like"This place is always good for a laugh,’ try contributing in a meaningful way. All that little header does is make you sound like a jerk who I can feel free to ignore.

The draft lottery has reinforced my belief that there are not enough bad words in the English language.

by LeaguePassAddict on Jun 15, 2009 9:12 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

LPA laying down the law

I like it and agree with it

by eduardo_m7 on Jun 15, 2009 10:07 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

She's going to be doing that alot

Evil Cowtown Inc: Screwin' Suckaz over since Nineteen Eighty-Five.....

No mistakes in the tango, darling. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

by pookeyguru on Jun 15, 2009 10:43 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Evans is not very athletic

Just super long.

"Because they don't have four pointers."
- Antoine Walker, on why he shoots so many three pointers

by Ellimist on Jun 16, 2009 6:51 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Based on all the bits and pieces of info I have put together, and my gut instinct, this is my forecast as of the moment:

(1) Griffin
(2) Harden
(3) Thabeet
(4) Rubio

Not saying this will happen, or wishful thinking, just see this as most likely.

by bench_blob on Jun 15, 2009 7:40 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I'd swap 2 and 3

I cannot for the life of me see Memphis passing on Thabeet. Last mock I put together was Griffin, Thabeet, Evans, Rubio.

"A's baseball...it's almost better than a stick in the eye" ~ alox

Formerly Gallagher's Watermelons

by Jones-Drew32 on Jun 15, 2009 10:33 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Rubio or Flynn

If Rubio is gone it will be Tyreke Evans or Jonny Flynn which is interesting because of GP’s history of taking guys who can shoot the ball. That is none of these guys area of strength but they are just players and can develop a jumper. They all have abilities that you don’t develop once you get to the NBA…. you have them or you don’t….. That is what Geoff told me anyway.

by KingsFanNoMatterWhat on Jun 15, 2009 8:49 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Interesting point

None of these PGs we keep talking about is a good shooter, a quality we know Petrie highly values. The only guy that I could come up with is obviously Curry but he’s not even working out for the Kings so GP is probably looking for something else this time around.

by eduardo_m7 on Jun 15, 2009 10:09 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Don't forget

Rubio shot 42% from 3 in the ACB , taking 2.4 a game. He is a good spot-up shooter. He can’t pull up to save his life, but its not like he is a terrible shooter like everyone is making him out to be. If anyone has wathced him over the last 2 years, his shot is slowly getting fixed, looking much more smooth than it did even 1 year ago.

"Because they don't have four pointers."
- Antoine Walker, on why he shoots so many three pointers

by Ellimist on Jun 16, 2009 6:49 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Does anyone else...

think Blage Griffin is the reincarnated Shawn Kemp? I was watching Kemp highlights yesterday, because I can, and man … I think Blake is one of Kemp’s 8 kids!

by Sammyp831 on Jun 16, 2009 9:20 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

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