What went right?
So I have been thinking quite a bit about what to expect from the Kings next season because I am very anxious after a good draft and an interesting summer league. I think, like most of you, what intrigues me is the addition of Tyreke Evans and the hard-nosed play of Omri Casspi and Jon Brockman. As I was thinking about what to expect from a team that went 17-65 last season, I started to think about what went wrong last season. I recalled the first game of the season and the close loss to Minnesota (which could have really went either way) then the rest of a horrible 4-game road trip that saw losses by 26, 18 and 34 respectively. Against Miami, the Kings gave up 41 points off of turnovers and played with little heart defensively. We were all questioning Reggie Theus and the heart of the team. The anticipation of a new season was quickly being overshadowed by a disappointing road trip. But then....
Kevin Martin came alive. Actually, Kevin Martin came alive against the Magic in Orlando where he had 31 points on November 1. He then proceeded to score 33 points vs. Memphis and followed that up with 26 and 27-point performances against Minnesota and Golden State. I know, I know, Memphis, Minnesota and Golden State are bottom-feeders and you can't base those numbers across the NBA but I think a lot of people forget the 4-game homestand where the Kings won those 3 straight and were within 1 game of a .500 record. I know that I personally look back and see a lost season where things just didn't pan out across the board. However, there are always positives to take away from it such as the progression of a young frontcourt, the hope of a future all-star through the draft and countless scenarios to get rid of Beno Udrih. But for those 3 games, which were the only 3 the Kings were able to string together consecutively, something went right. Things clicked and Kevin Martin was leading the team to victory. He was playing as efficient as a heat pump and was getting to free throw line whenever he pleased. I remember thinking that that homestand would set the tone for the rest of the season. I really thought the team would rally behind Kevin Martin as a leader and make the fans quickly forget about the road-trip that opened the season.I think we all know what happened against Golden State that night when Martin injured his ankle and was never really the same the rest of the season. I would have loved to have seen what would have happened if K-Mart were not to have had the ankle injury. Would the team have turned things around? Could Martin have become an all-star? How many more games would the team have won? These questions will forever go unanswered but its fun to think with optimism that things could have turned out much better, but we'll never know.
I hope and pray that we see Kevin Martin as close to 100% as possible this season. With the addition of Tyreke Evans in the backcourt, this could easily become one of the best one-two punches in the league. If not, a well-oiled passing machine, it is almost destined to be a well-oiled scoring machine that presents match-up problems for teams and could easily combine for 40-50+ points per game, once Evans finds his NBA groove. This being said, I think, barring anything unusual (injuries, delayed progression, etc.) this team could look for 30-35 wins this season and much more aggressive play. Thats still not playoff material in a loaded Western Conference, but its a hell of a lot better than the 17 we witnessed last year. What do you guys think?
(This is a FanPost from a member of the Sactown Royalty community. The views expressed come from the member, and not Sactown Royalty staff.)
4 recs |
31 comments
Comments
NOPE
im a season ticket holder and would be ecstatic if we won 35 games. 30 wins will be our ceiling. I believe at some point the realization will kick in that tyreke is a stud 2 guard and not a point guard. Kmart will be gone at the trading deadline in feb. and we will finish our season with our backcourt of the future. sergio and tyreke. Mark my words scro.
by sacman on Jul 28, 2009 8:16 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
KM traded?
Hmm i don’t see that happening, but what do you think we’ll get in return? any predictions there?
by Slaaam on Jul 28, 2009 9:48 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I can see 30-35 wins...
Put it down. Heckle all you want.
I like what I see so far from Westfall, and I get an Adleman vibe from him when he talks and how he approaches the game.
With a little coaching structure on both offense and defense, and I think this squad will win quite a few more games. We lost so many close games last year, and executed so poorly at the end of the game/quater/half, that I believe good coaching will result in several more wins.
That and having someone who can create off the dribble at the end of the game will be huge. Tyreke will cause all kinds of problems as he will get fouled, score or suck the defense in in the final seconds of the game, leaving Cisco and K-Mart open for an uncontested jumper. I am guessing we will have far more success in these types of situations.
However, for 30-35 wins, K-Mart, Hawes and Cisco have to stay healthy.
by R-Man on Jul 28, 2009 8:24 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Ambitious
30-35 wins is a really ambitious target. To be perfectly honest, that’s where I figured last year’s team (prior to trades, injuries, and coaching debacles) would be. This year’s roster should project out to fewer wins than last season’s opening squad, but I guess it would be possible.
I think that optimism is great, but I think an overabundance of optimism during this offseason will just result in more disappointment. The one great advantage of being a pessimist is that you’re either proven right or being pleasantly surprised to be proven wrong.
Never forget: I am a complete idiot
by Exhibit G on Jul 28, 2009 8:51 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Last season the preseason consensus was around 35 games
and I agree that it’s an ambitious target. I’m thinking that if we win 25 games that will be solid progress. If Kevin stays healthy I guess 35 games might be possible. With a rookie squad and new coach I just don’t see us breaking out this season. For the most part our competition hasn’t gotten worse and until we see the team play it’s impossible to predict how much better we will be.
I was outraged when Scott Howard -Cooper predicted 21 or 22 wins last season but he proved to be overly optimistic. I’m not worried about win count this season. I want to see hustle and grit, an offensive system that makes sense and is identifiable as a system. I want to see ball movement, fewer fouls and improved footwork by JT. I want to see if Reke can distribute and make his team mates better. I want to see more rebounds and improved defense.
If we double the win count, great. I’m more interested in seeing the team lay down a solid foundation for the future focusing on fundamentals by the kids and competent coaching by Wesphal and his staff. Last year the Kings didn’t look like they knew what they were doing. This year I want to see evidence that the team has a plan and that the plan is starting to produce results. The wins will come.
"We are in the business of kicking butt and business is very, very good." - Charles Barkley
by Bluejohn on Jul 29, 2009 10:32 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Scoop predicted 32 wins, not 21 or 22
And he was still deluged with hate mail. Now we know who one of his hecklers was.
From the people who brought you Reggie Musselnatt.
by My Losing Season on Jul 29, 2009 2:09 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm thinking somewhere between 10 and 60 wins
m*****f***ing c***s***ing peanut butter and jelly!! f*** f*** f***!!!
by JediLeroy on Jul 28, 2009 9:31 PM PDT reply actions 3 recs
Way to go for a real prediction
We’re so proud of you. :)
No mistakes in the tango, darling. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....
by pookeyguru on Jul 28, 2009 9:51 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I sure hope your right
because I can guarantee the kings won’t win more than 60 games next season
Phil Jackson, after treatment for a kidney stone "When the anesthesiologist leaned over me, he said "We named your kidney stone Kobe because it's not passing."
by Ellimist on Jul 29, 2009 6:19 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Since the West is loaded, how are the Kings going to find 35 wins?
The Kings won’t exactly be feasting on any weaker East coast teams.
by DesertFox on Jul 28, 2009 9:41 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
35 is the best case scenario
The Kings beat the Lakers, Nuggets and Suns last year in a loaded west, not saying they are better, but every team has good night and bad nights
by MTBalla on Jul 28, 2009 9:52 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
A coherent coaching staff
Can add a lot to this team. There is no doubt we sucked last season, but that should have been better than a 17 win team. The coaching was abysmal, and the roster was decimated through injuries and trades.
It’s not like a 35 win team is the mark of greatness. But I could see this team making a big leap over last year’s squad (by yes, feasting on the weaker east coast teams).
by otis29 on Jul 29, 2009 6:04 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
We had a lot of games where we lost by 3 points or less last year too.
I think with a good coaching staff drawing plays and Evans driving to the hoop instead of Beno, that increases our win total right there.
Father of the "Natt this!" movement and Grandmaster of the "Never let AnotherStupidSN forget what a Sham-Wow is" Order.
by Aykis16 on Jul 29, 2009 2:35 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Show me loaded.
One team is really good, but it’s a team we beat once per year anyway.
San Antonio is built for the post-season and given that they don’t have injury trouble (I think they will) they should be really strong.
Denver, Dallas, New Orleans (by virtue of CP3), Utah, and Portland, pretty good/maybe really good/possibly at least a couple big disappointments.
Houston and Phoenix could be there but have huge question marks.
Oklahoma City is on the rise but far from arrived.
Minnesota, Memphis, Golden State, and LA Clippers can’t say they are any better than our Kings.
I submit that this is the year the East and West have evened out. I should have filled this out into a FanPost. Maybe someone else will do the work for me.
Lower their expectations and rise to met them
by left hand on Jul 29, 2009 1:52 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
With the talent on the Clippers
they should be a playoff team. But their coaching/management sucks and their locker room sucks.
Father of the "Natt this!" movement and Grandmaster of the "Never let AnotherStupidSN forget what a Sham-Wow is" Order.
by Aykis16 on Jul 29, 2009 2:36 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
The West is a more complete conference
Despite the big 3 in the East (Cleveland, Orlando, Boston) no other team in the East really scares me that much. Toronto and Detroit will be good but are beatable on a good night.
The West still has much more fire power, the Lakers are, well the World Champions, the Spurs are getting older but are still very scary, Denver has the capability of a winning a championship. I’d put Utah, Portland and Dallas in the really good category.
Just looking at last year’s standings there was a huge drop-off in wins in the East with only 3 teams winning more than 50 games while in the West, a team almost needed 50 wins just to get into the playoffs. Maybe loaded is too strong of a word but I still see the West as the superior conference.
by MTBalla on Jul 29, 2009 3:52 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
barring anything unusual (injuries, delayed progression, etc.)
How many teams go thru the season without a critical injury. We have 1 Center with a history of knee problems including Microfracture surgery. Our soon to be backup PF has 3 yrs of knee injuries including Microfracture surgery. Our leading scorer is coming off of his worst injury plagued season. So, you have to know that we are going to have injuries, it’s only the severity that’s yet to be determined.
Our current starting 5 (Beno, Martin, Noc, JT & Hawes) missed 60 games due to injuries last yr. We’re either going to have to be very lucky to avoid critical injuries, or we need to add some quality backup bigs to avoid loses caused by injuries.
I believe there will be times this year, we’re we’ll be shorthanded and will be forced to play small ball like we did after the big roster swap at the trade deadline.
"If you don't have anything good to say, LIE" - Mom
by HighTops on Jul 28, 2009 11:34 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Injuries
Although it may not seem like it, injuries do tend to follow statiscal patterns. If a team has more injuries than the league average, they generally fall closer to the average the following year. Same goes for teams with fewer injuries than average. It is not a big assumption to presume that we will probably see fewer key injuries this season.
Never forget: I am a complete idiot
by Exhibit G on Jul 29, 2009 7:12 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
At first I was confused by your comment, but now I see your point.
This team had an unusually high amount of injuries last year, so it’ll be hard to repeat that.
by DesertFox on Jul 29, 2009 8:56 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Especially us being so young
I’m expecting some injuries from San Antonio this year though.
Father of the "Natt this!" movement and Grandmaster of the "Never let AnotherStupidSN forget what a Sham-Wow is" Order.
by Aykis16 on Jul 29, 2009 2:37 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
And then reality sets in...
…I hate to be the “glass half full” guy but 30-35 wins this season? I thnk a 20-30 win season is more realistic with a group full of youngsters and a coach who is revivng his carrer. There are too many missing pieces to the puzzle for me to agree with the optimists on this site…I want to, but my fingers wont let me type what we’re far from…Heres to being the last place team in the west, cheers! John Wall here we come…and get shafted at next years draft too=)
"Lord loves a workin' man, and don't trust whitey"
by LaPrimeraLives on Jul 29, 2009 8:46 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I think you meant to say...
… that you’re the “glass half empty” guy unless I’m mistaken and you actually intended that to be an optomistic comment. ;-)
by hozr on Aug 3, 2009 4:17 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think
25 wins for this squad would be a good season. if Martin is healthy all year (big IF), Tyreke gives the team something, and we actually get some PG play …. 25 wins could happen.
Sugar ... water .... and, of course, purple.
by what_the_crap on Jul 29, 2009 9:06 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
He was playing as efficient as a heat pump
Is that a phrase you use often, MTBalla?
by DustyG on Jul 29, 2009 9:45 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I think it's related to heat stroke
only you get it performing a certain activity in the summer heat.
by hozr on Aug 3, 2009 4:19 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think I got it from NBA 2K9 to tell you the truth
but I’m not sure
by MTBalla on Jul 29, 2009 9:51 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
28 to 32 wins.
I think this is optimistic. It’s also where I think things will end up, barring major injuries, yada yada, of course.
I also think that the NBA is trending away from the true positions and Kevin Martin and Tyreke Evans will develop a very good rhythm together, and we won’t be talking about trading Martin.
On the other hand, no real depth and many, many turnovers will leave several more victories on the floor.
I’m not that interested in won-lost record overall. At least one more good shot in the early lottery is needed anyway. I want to see cohesion, effort, growth, and defense.
I appreciate the reminder about Martin early in the year. And I do think he will remind all of us why we like having him around.
Lower their expectations and rise to met them
by left hand on Jul 29, 2009 1:38 PM PDT reply actions 1 recs

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