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Preview: Pistons at Kings

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STARTING LINEUPS & INJURIES

The Kings' starting lineup would appear to remain Tyreke Evans-Beno Udrih-Omri Casspi-Carl Landry-Samuel Dalembert. Everyone is healthy. (Knock on wood.)

On Friday in L.A., Detroit went with Ben Wallace and Austin Daye up front, Tayshaun Prince at small forward, and Rodney Stuckey and Rip Hamilton in the backcourt. Off the bench, the Pistons play Charlie Villanueva, Jason Maxiell and Greg Monroe up front, and Will Bynum, Ben Gordon and Tracy McGrady on the wing and in the backcourt. Jonas Jerebko is, unfortunately, done 'til the spring. Chris Wilcox is also out.

SCOUTING REPORT

Be sure to see HighTops' full scouting report.

As HT noted, Detroit (this season, at least) can shoot the three. Only four Pistons are taking at least two threes a game; three of the four (Villanueva, Gordon and Daye) are shooting better than 40% from deep, and the fourth (Hamilton) is hitting 35%. That's what we call "smart distribution." Stuckey can shoot threes, but not nearly as effectively as the others. Hence, he lets them shoot the threes. It's smart.

Of course, as HT also wrote, the Pistons have no one but Prince to score inside, so they rely on the long-range shooting to survive. The Suns at least have Steve Nash, who can get anyone an open shot at the rim, and Hakim Warrick, a dunking machine. The Pistons' offense lacks that element, and suffers for it.

What's also interesting is that Detroit defends the three-point line well. Teams shoot only 30% from long-range against the Pistons. If that's reality and not sample size related noise, that does not bode well for your Sacramento Kings, who are just 26th in three-point shooting this season. Five Kings are taking right around two or more threes a game. Three (Evans, Udrih and Luther Head) are shooting 30% or worse. (Much worse, in the cases of Udrih and Head.) The other two (Casspi, Francisco Garcia) are shooting better than 40%. How quickly Udrih's long-range stoke comes back to him could be a huge factor in the Kings' offense's future. We've seen what a boon Omri's sharpness has been for the Tyreke-led dribble-drive sets.

The Kings should be able to feast on the offensive glass, and need to.

MATCHUP OF THE GAME

Landry vs. Daye. Daye isn't fit to defend power forwards down low, which means that Landry ought to be able to exploit the young Piston's uncertainty and fraility in the paint. We say it before almost every game, but it deserves to be a siren song: the Kings finally have post options. USE THEM. Landry has a cornucopia of post skills, and he can use them to get his points efficiently. That also puts him in position to hit the offensive glass hard. On the other end, I'm not sure whether Daye is the type to use screens to get free from long-range (long a Hamilton stable), but popping out quickly and not worrying about Daye driving to the rim would be a good move. I don't see Daye beating anyone with a series of pump-fake 18-footers.

PLAYER TO WATCH

Casspi. Prince is one of the better defenders O.C. will have faced this season, so it's important for Casspi to be confident in his own game and let Beno and Tyreke do the playmaking. Omri did have a couple nice fakes-and-drives against Phoenix, but Prince is smart and his length closes gaps quickly. So caution -- something Casspi doesn't exude -- is important here.

COMMEMORATIVE HAIKU

Four more games at home.
Can the Kings win more than one?
Good Lord, let's hope so.

DETAILS

3 PM Pacific start. I repeat, 3 PM Pacific start. I re-repeat, 3 PM Pacific start. I assume this is a "bring the family!" drive; if so, I can encourage you to bring the family. I personally guarantee no vampires will be in attendance, and there is no risk your carriage will turn into a pumpkin on the ride home. Game threads at 3 and 4:30. Comcast SportsNet and KHTK 1140 AM have the game. Go Kings.

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Too early in the season

to say this is a “must win” game? I think not!

Purveyor of Bull Plop

by SayWhat? on Nov 14, 2010 9:24 AM PST reply actions  

How about just a "must play well" game?

"If you're going to lead the orchestra, you have to turn your back on the audience." -Geoff Petrie

by AnotherStupidSN on Nov 14, 2010 11:42 AM PST up reply actions  

Fair point

I’ll take a loss if we played well over a win where we played crappy again.

Author of the Pick and Scroll. Follow me on Twitter here.

by Aykis16 on Nov 14, 2010 1:02 PM PST up reply actions  

Me too.

Mostly I just want them to play well. A win and good play, though, would be awesome.

by PurpleLoco on Nov 14, 2010 1:14 PM PST up reply actions  

Great point on the 3pt defense, TZ

At first I thought that it was because teams were attacking the rim more. Teams shot below average number of attempts from 3 against Detroit, and shot 2.5 shots about average at the rim. But, teams shot fewer shots at all ranges except at the rim against the Pistons because they play at a slower pace, their games have few turnovers, and don’t have unusually high offensive rebound rate.

Just a slow steady clean basketball game, is what you can expect from Detroit. So, I hope the Kings forgo the jumpshooting marathon, and go to the basket. We don’t need to get in a 3pt shooting contest with anyone, because we’ll probably lose.

"If you don't have anything good to say, LIE" - Mom
The greatest impact player in NBA History - Tim Donaghy

by HighTops on Nov 14, 2010 9:31 AM PST reply actions  

The good news -

We do a good job of defending the 3 point line.

The bad news – we do a lousy job of defending the shooters behind the 3 point line.

SACTOWN ROYALTY - Try our thick creamy shakes!

by section214 on Nov 14, 2010 10:23 AM PST reply actions   1 recs

That's a great point.

The Kings have held the 3 point line at 23’ 9’ all season. I don’t see things changing in the future. Go Kings.

"......but Curry had a better TS%"

by kwill on Nov 14, 2010 10:54 AM PST up reply actions   1 recs

That's true, but

the refs have not called fouls when our guys have been hacked at the line.

 It’s no wonder the other teams FT % defense is so good. I have noticed other teams are giving our guys the “evil” eye when we’re shotting FTs. You just can’t make them when your getting the "evil"eye, and an “evil” eye foul is not called.

"......but Curry had a better TS%"

by kwill on Nov 14, 2010 11:40 AM PST up reply actions  

side note

sorry for this off-topic note. I was playing pick-up ball at UCLA on Friday and the Pistons were practicing on the court right next to us. I didn’t recognize everyone, mostly watched Tayshaun Prince, Charlie Villaneuva and Ben Wallace. Anyway, just wanted to share my giddiness at being on the same floor as those guys.

put me in, Coach

by LaBradford on Nov 14, 2010 12:10 PM PST reply actions  

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