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Around SBN: Cowboys Draft 2012: The Big Board Version 3.0

Is There Still Hope for Spencer Hawes?

Ziller evaluated Spencer Hawes' defense this morning.  If you haven't read it yet, go there first.  TZ concluded the article with the following line:

"But Hawes is young and you can't teach size. So hope lives another day."

As I read that line, it sounded very familiar.  It seems like we've been using that explanation (or some may call it an excuse) for a while now.  But does that make it any less true?  Focusing on Spencer as a whole, not just his defense, I decided to explore the idea further.

Star-divide

First, the simple facts are that Spencer Hawes just turned 22 years old, and is a legit 7-footer.  He's a few months younger than Greg Oden's (based on Oden's stated age, 15 years younger than Oden's estimated actual age). 

 

Hawes is now the same age as Jermaine O'Neal was when he made the leap from bench player to starter.  That was obviously a different scenario due to the O'Neal going to the Pacers who, you know, actually played him.  But imagine a Portland fan at that time.  Think of the frustration with O'Neal's lack of development.  For his first three seasons, O'Neal's points per 36 minutes declined.  He was inconsistent at best.  Some of this can be explained by inconsistent minutes.  O'Neal did not have the faith of the coaches, so every mistake mattered.

Looking at Hawes, there are some similarities.  But I would say that the numbers are more encouraging.  Due to the differences in playing time, I'm strictly focusing on stats per 36 minutes.  Hawes has been more consistent than O'Neal was.  With the exceptions of rebounding (which has declined each of Spencer's three season when looking at per 36 stats) and points (which declined from 14.0 to 13.7 per 36 minutes), Hawes has been consistent or improving in all categories.  It is, of course, troubling that Hawes has been less consistent in the 2 categories most associated with NBA centers.  But beyond stats, what has been the scenario?  3 different coaches.  Line-up changes.  Inconsistent roles in the offense.  Jermaine O'Neal shows us that if a coach has faith in a player and gives him consistency, there can be a marked improvement.

Back to Spencer's age, I challenge you to look at per game or per 36 minutes stats for Andrew Bogut, Dwight Howard, Jermaine O'Neal, or Al Jefferson.  At age 21, all of these players were at different points in their careers, some were already considered successful, other not as much.  But they all saw an increase in overall play and productivity at age 22.

I've gone back and forth on whether or not I should defend Hawes.  There are times I'm ready to write him off, but I ultimately keep coming back to the idea of patience and faith.  He's still young, he still has plenty of time ahead.  He can help ensure success by putting the work in, and by making sure everyone can see him putting the work in.  Make sure Westphal sees the work.  Make sure the fans can see it.  Be visible.  But I believe he can do it.

So hope lives another day.  Indeed.

Comment 229 comments  |  1 recs  | 

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I’ve gone back and forth on whether or not I should defend Hawes.

Same. There isn’t another player on the Kings who I have changed my opinion on more than Hawes. I have to remember though that he’s younger than I am by a couple of months and that this would have been his senior year in College. So I will withhold my judgment on him, until after next season.

"Even the Swedes are getting mad."-Randy Hahn
"It's very cozy in the sin bin."-Randy Hahn

by 49er16 on May 13, 2010 10:59 AM PDT reply actions  

I think the fact that Hawes is going into his 4th season overshadows his actual age

I think considering how old he is, it gives you reason to have optimism, however the fact that he hasnt had much improvement in the 3 years he’s actually played, gives you reason to doubt.
I believe Spence has gone through a bit of an identity crises, i dont think he knows what type of player he’s supposed to be, and it doesnt really look like he knows what type of offensive style he’s supposed to improve on.
We can all agree he can pass well and shoot the ball well, but sometimes he fails when trying to set up his own shot, thats where he hasnt had any improvement, does he learn to be a finesse player, or a power player

I think finesse is where his game is at, but it frustrates me to see him try to put the ball on the floor and muscle his way to the basket, because more often then not, he fails

by The Guy on the Couch on May 13, 2010 11:12 AM PDT reply actions  

I read your whole post

Based on the statements you made, I interpret it as though you didn’t read what I wrote. If I’m wrong, I apologize. I suppose I could have assumed you read it all and then chose to ignore it when presenting your ideas.

Never forget: I am a complete idiot

by Exhibit G on May 13, 2010 11:37 AM PDT up reply actions  

i actually did read your entire post

maybe if i reiterated what you said, it was to try and set up my point, which was at the end of my post

Again: Spence i think hasnt progressed because he doesnt know what player to be, i feel like his offensive game doesn’t have an identity, i’ve seen success in his finesse game, but none in his power game, so i think he needs to ditch the power game, and work on the finesse game

by The Guy on the Couch on May 13, 2010 11:46 AM PDT up reply actions  

i forgot to mention

i dont think you discussed his offensive playing style, and that was the topic i was making a point on

by The Guy on the Couch on May 13, 2010 11:56 AM PDT up reply actions  

THIS
Spence i think hasnt progressed because he doesnt know what player to be,

has a lot of truth in it. We talked a lot this year about Beno being released from the shackles of the horrible Theus/Natt coaching, Hawes is younger, less able to overcome it – and I’m not sure yet whether PW has done a good job of putting him back on the right track or not.
I think we’ll know early next season when Hawes has had some time to let things really sink in and make some adjustments.

But the answer is yes, There Is Still Hope.

So imitate the action of the tiger!.
Lend the eye a terrible aspect
- and teach them how to war!
Henry V iii

by lietothegirls on May 14, 2010 9:35 AM PDT up reply actions  

My sense is...

Spencer knows what kind of player he wants to become and Paul Westphal knows what kind of player he wants Spencer to become. The problem is they are not sharing the same vision.

To be the best, you have to do your best. Otherwise, you are only second-rate.

by Slam_Dunk on May 14, 2010 9:42 AM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

touchy, touchy, touchy

"I make love to pressure" - Stephen Jackson

by Bluejohn on May 13, 2010 6:28 PM PDT up reply actions  

One similarity between Shawes and JO

Can be their inconsistent PT. Spencer seemed to have a short leash and at times unsure of his role with the team. I think that he needs to know he will be starting (or not) and that his minutes will be consistent.

It is hard to develop your skills when doubts about your game are constantly being reinforced by your coach. If Shawes is to be “the guy” then he should be given that chance. It appears as if PW doesn’t think that he is the answer. Next season will tell all.

by Mityt on May 13, 2010 11:17 AM PDT via mobile reply actions  

I will not write Spencer off.

The guy is still younger than JT was in his rookie year and he’s trying to match up against players that are much stronger, older, and more experienced than him. He’s shown he has a lot of skill and he’s still very young. He’s had to deal with 3 coaches in 3 years, no consistency, and a lot of roster turnover.

Grandmaster of the "Never let AnotherStupidSN forget what a Sham-Wow is" Order and Originator of the "Brock Ness Monster".

by Aykis16 on May 13, 2010 11:21 AM PDT reply actions  

Agreed

I think the youth of him is the deciding factor.

by mike murray on May 13, 2010 12:49 PM PDT up reply actions  

Look at the birth dates

Joakim Noah: 2/25/85
Al Horford: 6/3/86
Jason Thomson: 7/21/86
Roy Hibbert: 12/11/86
Hasheem Thabeet: 2/16/87
Ekpe Udoh: 5/20/87
Brooke Lopez/Robin: 4/1/88
Spencer Hawes: 4/28/88
Cole Aldrich: 10/31/88

… Give the guy some time. He is younger than incoming sophmores, and rookies. We drafted a project center, and you don’t jump ship after just turning 22. Calm down, dude is going to be fine.

by mike murray on May 13, 2010 1:02 PM PDT up reply actions  

Can you also list the dates of the 4 knee surgeries of these players.

Yes, I’m being a smart ass but Hawes has always been on a running clock. You can’t have the type of early age knee injuries that Hawes has had and assume a normal length NBA career. Hawes came out of college as “the most NBA ready big in the draft”. We saw early on that his skill level was very advanced for his age but then we stopped seeing substantial growth. My concern is that by the time Hawes figures this whole thing out, he won’t have much left in those knees. I’m certainly not willing to bet big money on the guy.

The Sacramento Convergence concept offers Sacramento, the Central Valley, and the State a solution to feasibly construct a new multi-use Entertainment and Sports Complex.

by jjham15 on May 13, 2010 1:47 PM PDT up reply actions  

All big men are on a "running clock"

Find me a bigman that hasn’t had knee problems, and I will bet you before his life is over he will.

by mike murray on May 13, 2010 1:58 PM PDT up reply actions  

Not like Hawes.

Read this.

Here are the highlights:

-At least 4 knee surgeries in H.S.
-Micro fracture surgery as a 14 year old.
-knee surgery before his rookie year as a King.

Sure big men are all on a clock, Spencer Hawes is just on a much shorter clock.

The Sacramento Convergence concept offers Sacramento, the Central Valley, and the State a solution to feasibly construct a new multi-use Entertainment and Sports Complex.

by jjham15 on May 13, 2010 2:21 PM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

Then your argument is that we shouldn't have drafted him

Which really doesn’t do any good now, or help look to the future. Im sure petrie knew the knee issues, and the doctors gave the green light on him anyways. Really has little to do with his development from here, except a freak injury may or may not occur and end his career.

by mike murray on May 13, 2010 5:09 PM PDT up reply actions  

Right

His ability to run and jump will have “little to do with his development from here.”

by TheRockSays on May 13, 2010 6:04 PM PDT up reply actions  

The non-draftable argument could be made.

If/when something goes wrong with Hawes’ knee, it will not be a “freak injury”. We aren’t talking about a gun accidentally going off and shooting someone a la Dick Cheney, we are talking more of a Robert Di Nero, Christopher Walker, sitting around a table playing Russian roulette scenario. Petrie drafted a player that was supposed to be one of the most NBA ready college big men in the draft. Petrie took him because he was probably the BPA but also because Petrie was still trying to keep the ship from sinking. Hawes was hardly a gamble at #10 but his long range future has always been a major crap shoot. The key to Hawes was that he was supposed to be ready to contribute almost immediately. To a certain extent this has been the case, Hawes has just shown to have a lower ceiling than expected/projected/hoped for.

Hawes history of knee injuries will certainly be a major point of contention with regards to his next contract. To say that the injuries have not hampered his development when Hawes himself has asked out of mandatory fitness testing during two training camps due to knee issues is a miscalculation on your part.

The Sacramento Convergence concept offers Sacramento, the Central Valley, and the State a solution to feasibly construct a new multi-use Entertainment and Sports Complex.

by jjham15 on May 13, 2010 9:25 PM PDT up reply actions  

Oh
Hawes was hardly a gamble at #10

if you look back at that draft and the Team’s dire need for a big man this is true in my opinion.
but this

Hawes has just shown to have a lower ceiling than expected/projected/hoped for.

seems to miss the point of the post – or is it a ‘Yes’ answer?

Hawes has a lot of skills, but since he’s not an extremely nimble big man he must learn to be better in the post to be a legit starter. Now is he a legit backup C? I think he’s that already, and for a #10 pick, that’s a decent – though not a great – return on the pick.

So imitate the action of the tiger!.
Lend the eye a terrible aspect
- and teach them how to war!
Henry V iii

by lietothegirls on May 14, 2010 9:43 AM PDT up reply actions  

You can look at their per-36 numbers if you are an optimist

But take a look at the more advanced statistics for these players at age 21. The only guy that’s even in the ballpark with Spencer is Jermaine O’Neal.

If you have to base your belief that Spencer will improve on one outlier, you may end up disappointed.

I’m still rooting for Spencer, I’m just pessimistic that he’ll never be more than a serviceable journeyman type center.

Depending on your team’s needs, maybe that’s all you need.

I've got squirrels in my pants!

by otis29 on May 13, 2010 11:28 AM PDT reply actions  

I don't think Hawes should be written off

I just think he should be and will be sent to another team this summer sometime. He’s a bad match of player to system and both for our sake as fans and his career’s sake, he needs to be moved for some hulking guy with stone hands that sets good screens, boxes out and gets the rebounds that fall to him.

What we've got here is, failure to communicate. Some men you just can't reach.

by Grasul on May 13, 2010 11:29 AM PDT reply actions  

LOL
he needs to be moved for some hulking guy with stone hands that sets good screens, boxes out and gets the rebounds that fall to him

Wouldn’t hurt if he gives tons of hard fouls and has a mean face

"Children want what they want when they want it." ... Andy Sims

by edm7 on May 13, 2010 12:16 PM PDT up reply actions  

Hulking guys have mean faces ed

Its part of the job description. :-)

What we've got here is, failure to communicate. Some men you just can't reach.

by Grasul on May 13, 2010 12:17 PM PDT up reply actions  

True that

Can we have him flex his muscles from time to time though?

"Children want what they want when they want it." ... Andy Sims

by edm7 on May 13, 2010 12:20 PM PDT up reply actions  

we dont need Aileen Voisin getting hot and bothered

she was the one with the detailed description of his shoulders right?

by The Guy on the Couch on May 13, 2010 12:31 PM PDT up reply actions  

Block. Building kick.

EXPLOSION!!!

"If you told him to head-butt the wall, he would do it." -- Paul Westphal re: Brockness Monster.

by PhutureKings on May 13, 2010 2:37 PM PDT up reply actions  

He might want to get some mutton chop side burns going. Will help with the mean face. Oh and stone hand surgery.

Could some of you maybe use a condom once in a while?

by wallywagon11 on May 13, 2010 1:16 PM PDT up reply actions  

Honestly

I wouldn’t be shocked at all if he ended up getting traded. And if he gets traded, I won’t be surprised if he flourishes. And if he flourishes, I won’t be surprised when folks around here blast the front office. And if people blast the front office, I won’t be surprised if other folks point to the different situations. And if all of that happens, I’ll like back to this comment and laugh.

Never forget: I am a complete idiot

by Exhibit G on May 13, 2010 12:22 PM PDT up reply actions   2 recs

If he flourished after a trade

It would be because he’ll be in a place where his skills aren’t redundant like they are in Sacramento. Between JT and Hawes and Landry we have three offensively-minded PFs who are at best average defensively and on the boards, not to mention a slew of offensively minded bigs in the draft (basically everyone but Favors). Put Hawes alongside Dwight Howard and yeah, he might flourish. Stick him with Landry and JT and his flaws are magnified in a big way.

That doesn’t mean that Hawes skeptics are wrong about him. I’m not saying he’s a bad player, just that at some point this team is going to need a defensive-minded PF or C, and if I had to choose to keep two out of JT, Hawes, and Landry, I’d choose JT and Landry.

by nbrans on May 13, 2010 12:28 PM PDT up reply actions   2 recs

That's a fair assesment

I think a defensive big would really help all 3 guys we already have, that’s why I prefer Favors over Cousins (at leats so far).

"Children want what they want when they want it." ... Andy Sims

by edm7 on May 13, 2010 12:31 PM PDT up reply actions  

I am with you Ed.

If Favors can end up being a defensive rebounding beast, I think that can help the team more than Cousins deep post ability.

Another flaw in the human character is that everybody wants to build and nobody wants to do maintenance. Vonnegut

by Ice_9ine on May 13, 2010 4:02 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions  

Soft & skilled, high post game

You can’t make Hawes something that he’s not. He could flourish if you let him play like modern day Jack Sikma (old school) … shooting J’s out to 3 pt land and clearing the paint for strong 4 and/or 3 who play down low. Then again, ’Reke loves taking it to the hole and so will Evan Turner, so let Hawes play away from the basket.

But then you have to have 4 who plays like M Camby, and that’s not Landry’s game. But if make Landry the 6th man and find the right 4, Hawes could work as a match-up nightmare.

by Watty4ever on May 13, 2010 8:52 PM PDT up reply actions  

or Tom Chambers

Life is every mammal's journey from very very wet to very very dry.

by Holmdel on May 14, 2010 9:25 AM PDT up reply actions  

I like the "3 offensively-minded PF's" discription

But, what happened to “potential”. Every young player in the draft is discribed as Athletic, or Skilled, or with Potential. Don’t anyone of them have the potential to be a better than average defender or rebounder.

Maybe your right and none of them will ever be a great starter, but how many backup centers in the league right now would you trade straight up for JT or Spencer. Consider age and salary, before you choose, and choose wisely my friend.

"If you don't have anything good to say, LIE" - Mom
The greatest impact player in NBA History - Tim Donaghy

by HighTops on May 13, 2010 12:38 PM PDT up reply actions  

on this team

Robin Lopez might be a better fit honestly, and I loathe him and like Hawes’ game.

What we've got here is, failure to communicate. Some men you just can't reach.

by Grasul on May 13, 2010 12:42 PM PDT up reply actions  

I loathe him as well but I agree.

Man, the video clips of the Lopez brothers with their Disney figurines is alarming. I often wonder who helps those two brush their teeth and get dressed in the morning.

The Sacramento Convergence concept offers Sacramento, the Central Valley, and the State a solution to feasibly construct a new multi-use Entertainment and Sports Complex.

by jjham15 on May 13, 2010 1:52 PM PDT up reply actions  

I'm guessing this means Toby doesn't play with Disney figurines eh?

LOL

EvilCowtownInc: Screwin Suckaz over since 1985......

No mistakes in the tango, Donna. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

by pookeyguru on May 13, 2010 3:18 PM PDT up reply actions  

Backup Cs I'd take over Spencer

Marcin Gortat, Anderson Verejao, Serge Ibaka, Marreese Speights, Joel Przybilla, Greg Oden, JaVale McGee, Darko Milicic (kidding).

And possibly Thabeet, though it would be a risk. Still think he’s going to be good.

by nbrans on May 13, 2010 1:15 PM PDT up reply actions  

Good list

Although I have Oden as the starter and Camby as the backup to Przybilla. I like McGee but he’s iffy on my list, and Thabeet would have to start immediately in Spencer’s spot so I’d have to drop him for now.

I assume you’d swap JT for those players also. I have about the same list and about 8 starters that I wouldn’t trade for because of age & salary. So, that puts Spencer in the top 30 centers in the league, and for me having a young role player who is in the top 30 as a backup is just fine.

"If you don't have anything good to say, LIE" - Mom
The greatest impact player in NBA History - Tim Donaghy

by HighTops on May 13, 2010 1:29 PM PDT up reply actions  

I wouldn't deal JT for any of those guys.

Oden if he wasn’t mostly dead. I don’t think I would deal Hawes for many of those guys either.

The Sacramento Convergence concept offers Sacramento, the Central Valley, and the State a solution to feasibly construct a new multi-use Entertainment and Sports Complex.

by jjham15 on May 13, 2010 1:55 PM PDT up reply actions  

I'd deal Hawes for Gortat

Orlando could play Dwight and Spencer at the same time, he could hit the 3 and operate from the high post all he wanted.

Meanwhile Gortat would be given the chance to shine instead of being stuck behind the best Center in the game. He’d be a starter on about half the NBA teams right now.

Grandmaster of the "Never let AnotherStupidSN forget what a Sham-Wow is" Order and Originator of the "Brock Ness Monster".

by Aykis16 on May 13, 2010 4:15 PM PDT up reply actions  

I am a big Spencer fan

but this would be a win-win

There will never be another Kareem.

by MichaelMack on May 13, 2010 4:53 PM PDT up reply actions  

I like Gortat

but I don’t think he would do well here. But I doubt Orlando would do that trade anyway. They want a clear upgrade for Gortat. Not that that matters.

EvilCowtownInc: Screwin Suckaz over since 1985......

No mistakes in the tango, Donna. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

by pookeyguru on May 13, 2010 4:54 PM PDT up reply actions  

I really like Gortat but you have to fear-

His contract and the fact that he hasn’t barely sniffed the court since signing it. I’m all for insurance but that is one expensive policy. Maybe SVG knows something we don’t- well, that goes with out saying but maybe SVG knows something about the Polish Hammer that we don’t.

The Sacramento Convergence concept offers Sacramento, the Central Valley, and the State a solution to feasibly construct a new multi-use Entertainment and Sports Complex.

by jjham15 on May 13, 2010 7:42 PM PDT up reply actions  

what does he know

that he wouldnt tell his GM before matching that contract?

by LPKingsFan on May 13, 2010 11:06 PM PDT up reply actions  

When you play behind Dwight Howard...

…that’s the reason you don’t play. That & Dwight & Gortat don’t really have the ability to play together. Dwight is so much more valuable at C that moving him to PF takes away what he does. Plus, Gortat isn’t mobile enough IMO.

EvilCowtownInc: Screwin Suckaz over since 1985......

No mistakes in the tango, Donna. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

by pookeyguru on May 14, 2010 12:28 AM PDT up reply actions  

I understand that but you are still paying a player who has never really proven he is an NBA player.

Again, I have led the please trade for Marcin Gortat candle light vigil. It’s just a little scary that he still plays so little. Jerome James at least destroyed the Kings in the playoffs to get his money.

The Sacramento Convergence concept offers Sacramento, the Central Valley, and the State a solution to feasibly construct a new multi-use Entertainment and Sports Complex.

by jjham15 on May 14, 2010 8:54 AM PDT up reply actions  

That was Orlando's choice.

Dallas offered Gortat the contract.

EvilCowtownInc: Screwin Suckaz over since 1985......

No mistakes in the tango, Donna. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

by pookeyguru on May 14, 2010 3:03 PM PDT up reply actions  

Without kidding

I would not be surprised if we’d see a breakout year from Milicic. His time at Minnesota showed that he has the skills and can play. Of course, it’s Minnesota, but still…

Dunking Dutchman

by RikSmits on May 13, 2010 1:34 PM PDT up reply actions  

That's why he will break out!

Lol

"If you told him to head-butt the wall, he would do it." -- Paul Westphal re: Brockness Monster.

by PhutureKings on May 13, 2010 2:40 PM PDT up reply actions  

But

Will you link back to this comment if Hawes doesn’t end up producing?

I've got squirrels in my pants!

by otis29 on May 13, 2010 12:34 PM PDT up reply actions  

Sure, that's a deal

Never forget: I am a complete idiot

by Exhibit G on May 13, 2010 12:55 PM PDT up reply actions  

lol - rec'd

To be the best, you have to do your best. Otherwise, you are only second-rate.

by Slam_Dunk on May 13, 2010 2:54 PM PDT up reply actions  

I haven't lost faith in him

I still think he has all the right skills he just hasn’t learned the game yet and his body is still filling out. Learning to play the center position for 21 yrs old kid in the NBA is no easy task. The center position is perhaps the toughest position to learn and play, and having gone through 3-4 different coaches hasn’t helped his game much either. For his age I think he’s actually on target to become a very good center in the league. Being a young 22 yrs old center I actually don’t expect him to really be really good until he’s 23-24 yrs old. Having said that I think next season will be a very important season for Spencer because he’ll be playing for a contract. If he want’s a big contract he’s going to have to work for it. Money talks so hopefully he’s listening.

by AyyJude on May 13, 2010 11:30 AM PDT reply actions  

No. No no no no no no no no no no no.

No.

Jermaine O’Neal was raw, athletic guy buried on the bench on a playoff team and finally got an opportunity and put his skills together.

Spencer Hawes is a relatively polished unathletic guy who has had every opportunity.

I don’t care what the numbers say – there’s a huge difference between an athletic player still putting his skills together and someone who is already maximizing his limited athleticism. Does anyone really think they are remotely the same players?

by nbrans on May 13, 2010 11:32 AM PDT reply actions  

Agreed, Hawes has had every opportunity indeed

I'm not sitting in your car, or your living room with a gun pointed to your head telling you to listen to 1140. - Grant Napear

by slamson on May 13, 2010 11:37 AM PDT up reply actions  

Every opportunity

Absolutely.

The opportunity to start. The opportunity to be demoted for reasons unknown. The opportunity to learn from Reggie Theus and Kenny Natt. The opportunity to get benched due to media comments.

The opportunity I think he needs is the opportunity to have Westphal’s support. Natt started him without question, and his numbers improved. But Natt couldn’t develop Hawes like Westphal has the ability to. Westphal jerked him back and forth and his development slowed or regressed. I think Westphal is a good coach, and I think he could make Spencer better, but he needs to give Spencer support. Let him make mistakes without fear of being immediately benched. Give him extended burn, and make him accountable for what happens. If he gets extended burn and still struggles, then pull him. But this has to be done over months, not minutes.

And nbrans, I’m not trying to say Hawes is the same as O’Neal. I’m simply saying that the first 3 or 4 seasons of a young players career does not necessarily dictate that player’s ceiling. Even still, I know how you feel and I know I’m not going to sway you on this.

Never forget: I am a complete idiot

by Exhibit G on May 13, 2010 11:43 AM PDT up reply actions  

I should have clarified

I agree with you that there is indeed still hope for Spencer Hawes. I mean, he’s 22. Most centers don’t put it together until their late twenties. There’s just a longer learning curve, for whatever reason. He’ll probably continue to get better offensively and if he gets stronger he’ll probably be a better rebounder (even if that’s not going to make him any quicker).

But I also don’t think he or we or anyone is going to benefit from getting overly starry eyed about his potential. I’d be happy for Brad Miller-level production and defense, which peaked at 15/9. But let’s not get it in anyone’s heads that he’s going to suddenly evolve into a 20/10 force and defensive monster. That’s just not happening.

I just think it’s time to ease off the hope punch and get a little more realistic. It’s not coaching, it’s not rotations, it’s not confidence killing. Spencer is an athletically limited player in a league that gets more athletic every single year. Yes, he’s going to get better. But as I said in the other post, people need off their Hawes blinders. Enough with the wishful thinking.

by nbrans on May 13, 2010 11:45 AM PDT up reply actions  

Fair enough

But I wonder what people would have predicted for O’Neal’s ceiling after his 4th season.

Never forget: I am a complete idiot

by Exhibit G on May 13, 2010 12:01 PM PDT up reply actions  

Don't you think there's a chance a guy like O'Neal is an aberration?

My heart always hopes for best case scenario, but my brain doesn’t expect it.

I've got squirrels in my pants!

by otis29 on May 13, 2010 12:03 PM PDT up reply actions  

Absolutely

And as nbrans said, they’re totally different players. But what I saw when I looked through everything was that even centers who were good from day 1 seemed to improve when they turned 22, regardless of how many seasons they had been in the NBA. I think it is a threshhold where big guys figure some things out. Simple analysis, simplistic conclusion, but that’s where I’m at.

Never forget: I am a complete idiot

by Exhibit G on May 13, 2010 12:07 PM PDT up reply actions  

All of your examples though - outside of Jermaine O'Neal

Were far superior players to Hawes prior to that 22 year-old season.

I think you’re trying to lump Hawes into a group of guys who are just flat better players.

I’d love to see Hawes make a similar leap, but I’m not sure he has the tools (mostly physical) to do it.

I've got squirrels in my pants!

by otis29 on May 13, 2010 12:37 PM PDT up reply actions  

More

Kendrick Perkins made his leap at 23. Amare improved significantly at 22. Tyson Chandler does not follow this trend. Zaza Pachulia had his best year when he was 22, but didn’t sustain the improvement. Ditto for Eddy Curry. Perhaps I’m making too much out of what I see. Time will tell.

I did not include any players who entered the league at age 21 since the leap could be due to their 2nd year of NBA experience, but almost all of these players made big leaps. I also, obviously, excluded players who entered the league after age 22.

The interesting thing, to me, is that it seems like with the players most similar to Hawes, very few entered the league early. Which brings up the question of how would Hawes be perceived if he’d spent the last 3 years finishing school?

Never forget: I am a complete idiot

by Exhibit G on May 13, 2010 1:15 PM PDT up reply actions  

I just don't think it's this simple

That oh, there are guys who made the leap at X age, therefore Spencer can make the leap at X age.

Make the leap to what? What is Spencer going to transform into? Given his physical limitations, where is this leap going to come from?

All the people you’re citing are potential players who came into the league as athletic-but-relatively-unskilled who finally put it together in their third or fourth season. That’s not who Hawes is. Sure, he can shoot better, sure, he can rebound a bit better, but guys don’t just transform into a radically different player overnight.

by nbrans on May 13, 2010 1:22 PM PDT up reply actions  

Are you saying Spencer is unathletic for a center

He runs well and he can get up pretty good, and is a little slow footed but there are some good centers that are like trees out there.

"If you don't have anything good to say, LIE" - Mom
The greatest impact player in NBA History - Tim Donaghy

by HighTops on May 13, 2010 1:35 PM PDT up reply actions  

I think he runs the floor ok

I’m not sure he jumps well, and I think he’s among the weakest (from a strength standpoint) centers in the league.

That’s the thing about the “trees” of the league – they compensate by being incredibly strong. Spencer can’t really compete in that arena.

I don’t agree that guys are unable to improve athletically, but I do think there is a certain limit to that. Spencer can certainly get stronger, and there are plenty of ways to become more flexible, and in turn more agile.

I've got squirrels in my pants!

by otis29 on May 13, 2010 1:39 PM PDT up reply actions  

Yes, definitely

Look at the starting centers in the NBA: Horford, Perkins, Chandler, Noah, Shaq, Dampier, Nene, Big Ben, Biedrins, Yao, Hibbert, Kaman, Bynum, Gasol, O’Neal, Bogut, Jefferson, Lopez, Okafor, Lee, Kristic, Howard, Dalmebert, Lopez, Camby, Duncan, Bargnani, Okur, Oberto

Out of all of those guys, I’d consider Spencer only more athletic at this point than Yao, Shaq (though he’s way stronger obviously), Bogut, and Kristic. Some others are marginal. But even when you consider backups Hawes is easily in the bottom 33% of centers athletically.

by nbrans on May 13, 2010 1:44 PM PDT up reply actions  

Bogut

I consider Bogut to be one of the top young centers in the NBA. Do you agree or disagree?

Just wanting to be sure we’re on the same page.

Never forget: I am a complete idiot

by Exhibit G on May 13, 2010 2:08 PM PDT up reply actions  

I mispoke

I meant to add the addendum that I think Bogut is bigger and quicker, though their hops are about the same.

But yeah, Bogut could be a good framework. Bear in mind that even he, being a promising young center and all that, is still only averaging 16/10 and was farther along than Spencer at the same point in his career.

by nbrans on May 13, 2010 2:15 PM PDT up reply actions  

I'll agree with that

And let me just reiterate that part of the reason I posted this is because I change my mind on Spencer so often. It’s a question that only time will answer, but I think it is fascinating discussion.

Never forget: I am a complete idiot

by Exhibit G on May 13, 2010 2:26 PM PDT up reply actions  

That shocks me

I’m not sure what you take into consideration when you talk about athletic, because I see a lot more players that I’d put on my list. Chandler, Dampier, Hibbert, O’Neal, Dalmebert and Duncan would certainly make my list.

"If you don't have anything good to say, LIE" - Mom
The greatest impact player in NBA History - Tim Donaghy

by HighTops on May 13, 2010 2:15 PM PDT up reply actions  

Follow-up

I remember Hawes running the floor and getting the slam dunk off the one leg leap, and I can’t imagine any of the players I mentioned making that move.

"If you don't have anything good to say, LIE" - Mom
The greatest impact player in NBA History - Tim Donaghy

by HighTops on May 13, 2010 2:18 PM PDT up reply actions  

You think Spencer is more athletic than Tyson Chandler, Erick Dampier, Samuel Dalembert and Tim Duncan???

I’ll give you Shaq and Hibbert (who is two inches taller), but no way on the others.

by nbrans on May 13, 2010 2:34 PM PDT up reply actions  

by athletic, he means black.

Spencer needs to change his skin color.

Another flaw in the human character is that everybody wants to build and nobody wants to do maintenance. Vonnegut

by Ice_9ine on May 13, 2010 4:10 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions  

Spence is more athletic than Jefferson and Dampier as well. Dampier is just a whole lot stronger and more physical.

Hibbert is athletic? Dude do we even see the same player? You think Hawes stinks, I don’t think you’ve seen much of Hibbert at all. Hibbert is lumbering and extremely slow. And that’s an improvement on his earlier days in Georgetown. Hibbert is also a worse rebounder than Hawes WAS THIS YEAR, but that’s also besides the point.

Oberto stinks and isn’t worth arguing that he’s good. Whether he’s more athletic or not I don’t know. I don’t care. Oberto just is a very marginal player. And Okur is not more athletic than Spence. I don’t care how you argue this.

Horford, Perkins, Chandler (when healthy), Noah, Nene, Ben Wallace in his prime (but not so much now), Biedrins, Kaman, Bynum, Gasol, O’Neal (who isn’t all that good anymore), Bogut, Brook Lopez (I like Robin but he plays with better talent), Okafor, Lee, Dwight Howard, Dalembert, Camby, and Duncan are all guys that are better than Spence.

Frankly, I don’t think it matters much. He is in the bottom half of C’s athletically and physically and that’s the problem with Spence. So we do agree on that.

EvilCowtownInc: Screwin Suckaz over since 1985......

No mistakes in the tango, Donna. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

by pookeyguru on May 13, 2010 3:25 PM PDT up reply actions  

He's also the 2nd youngest.

Grandmaster of the "Never let AnotherStupidSN forget what a Sham-Wow is" Order and Originator of the "Brock Ness Monster".

by Aykis16 on May 13, 2010 4:21 PM PDT up reply actions  

You don't get stronger or a better leaper as you get older.

EvilCowtownInc: Screwin Suckaz over since 1985......

No mistakes in the tango, Donna. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

by pookeyguru on May 13, 2010 4:55 PM PDT up reply actions  

totally disagree on stronger...

I think Spence will get much stronger as he gets into his late 20s. He looks young physically right now. Some guys are young, but they don’t look like it (see LeBron). Spence looks young. Let him mature physically and his inside game will get better. Right now, he just gets pushed around.

Agree on the jumping. He’s hit his ceiling.

by R-Man on May 13, 2010 8:54 PM PDT up reply actions  

Hawes the athlete

Hawes is physically weak, but he’s not a bad athlete for his size.

Personally, I think Okur might be a good comparison, If you let Hawes play away from the basket and don’t expect big-time shot blocking and rebounding, he could be very talented complementary piece. But they have to DEFINE his role properly and play him to his strengths.

Okur sat on the bench for the Pistons behind Big Ben, but then he found the right role on the right team.

by Watty4ever on May 13, 2010 8:56 PM PDT up reply actions  

And according to Synergy

Okur is a damn good defender.

Grandmaster of the "Never let AnotherStupidSN forget what a Sham-Wow is" Order and Originator of the "Brock Ness Monster".

by Aykis16 on May 14, 2010 12:16 AM PDT up reply actions  

Contra Pookey

I think Okur is way more mobile and agile than Spencer. But if Spencer could shoot more consistently like Okur he could stretch the defense in a similar fashion.

by nbrans on May 14, 2010 8:25 AM PDT up reply actions  

Hawes is physically weak

The Ukrain is weak

Could some of you maybe use a condom once in a while?

by wallywagon11 on May 14, 2010 8:39 AM PDT up reply actions  

Fair enough

I just wonder if you’re trying to find similar players in order to remain optimistic on Spencer, or if you’ve looked at a whole spectrum of similar situations and found Spencer to be favorable in comparison.

The one thing I can say about Spencer for certain is that he’s at a physical disadvantage to most of the players you’ve listed. So while I hope you’re right, I fear his impact is going to be little more than a fringe player in the league long-term.

I've got squirrels in my pants!

by otis29 on May 13, 2010 1:25 PM PDT up reply actions  

I have the same concerns about Spencer that you expressed.

I haven’t completely given up on Spencer. He is young, so I don’t want to write him off just yet. But, I think the 2010-2011 season is going to be very crucial to him as to whether he stays on the team or whether he gets traded. He is going to have to improve on his defense and consistency.

To be the best, you have to do your best. Otherwise, you are only second-rate.

by Slam_Dunk on May 13, 2010 3:02 PM PDT up reply actions  

Getting more muscle mass wouldn't hurt either.

To be the best, you have to do your best. Otherwise, you are only second-rate.

by Slam_Dunk on May 13, 2010 3:11 PM PDT up reply actions  

You know what helps with that?

Age. Growing up.

Grandmaster of the "Never let AnotherStupidSN forget what a Sham-Wow is" Order and Originator of the "Brock Ness Monster".

by Aykis16 on May 13, 2010 4:21 PM PDT up reply actions  

You keep replying with common sense

while Spencer seems to be an emotional topic for people. I am not certain it is getting through.

There will never be another Kareem.

by MichaelMack on May 13, 2010 4:55 PM PDT up reply actions  

Just want to take the time to say....

….I miss ya LPA. :)

EvilCowtownInc: Screwin Suckaz over since 1985......

No mistakes in the tango, Donna. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

by pookeyguru on May 14, 2010 12:29 AM PDT up reply actions  

Two more weeks of school

And then my term is over. I’ll be a free woman, and you’ll wish I had something to do besides post here in a few months.

StR Token Female

by LeaguePassAddict on May 14, 2010 8:17 AM PDT up reply actions  

I'm with pookey. I always like when LPA and SB are posting often.

Don't say stupid shit. You won’t be perceived as stupid. - pookeyguru

by Kfan in Korea on May 14, 2010 10:37 AM PDT up reply actions  

Not gonna happen LPA.

Sorry.

EvilCowtownInc: Screwin Suckaz over since 1985......

No mistakes in the tango, Donna. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

by pookeyguru on May 14, 2010 3:03 PM PDT up reply actions  

Working hard in the off season

is a big help too!

Purveyor of Bull Plop

by SayWhat? on May 13, 2010 7:24 PM PDT up reply actions  

I'll be honest

I struggled with player comparisons. I had the JO idea originally and chose to just explore it further. I focused less on the style of player and more on their ages and progression. Obviously different players will progress differently, but in my opinion, there aren’t enough players who share Spencer’s style and who entered the league before age 20 to make an accurate comparison. So I didn’t narrow it that far.

Never forget: I am a complete idiot

by Exhibit G on May 13, 2010 3:08 PM PDT up reply actions  

Right...

You were searching for players that succeeded after having several years of little improvement…and in doing so you made a pretty good case that that jump in success in unlikely. JO is kind of a famous anomaly, in that way. You are, essentially, pointing to the exception to the rule.

I like Spence and I hope he makes the JO jump as well, but you’re not going to find much precedence there.

by DustyG on May 13, 2010 4:34 PM PDT up reply actions  

Not exactly

Look again at what I said. I focused on centers who entered the league at very young ages and how they progressed. There aren’t many. If I narrow it even further to just look at players with similar styles to Spencer, I would have almost no data at all.

Looking at very young centers, JO is the most famous jump. But again, there was a pattern of centers improving when they turned 22. This also explains why there weren’t as many young centers for comparison. Even with their height, most of the centers had waited until age 21 or 22 to jump to the NBA.

Never forget: I am a complete idiot

by Exhibit G on May 13, 2010 6:05 PM PDT up reply actions  

I mean....

The Indiana Pacers traded Dale Davis for O’Neal and inserted him Neal straight into the starting lineup right, and Davis was starting on of a team that went to the NBA Finals.

So I’d say they were pretty high on him.

by nbrans on May 13, 2010 12:06 PM PDT up reply actions  

Man, I wish we could draft a Dale Davis type this season

Maybe in the second round?

That guy was a good, hard-working, blue collar, undersized center who really anchored some good defensive teams.

If we get Favors, and he ends up like Dale Davis, I would be ok with that. I would hope for more, but I would be ok.

But I think that there might be a chance for a Jarvis Varnado with the 33rd pick. That guy would be fun to have coming of the bench, even if just 3rd string.

Another flaw in the human character is that everybody wants to build and nobody wants to do maintenance. Vonnegut

by Ice_9ine on May 13, 2010 4:17 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions  

Dale Davis

Had a very nice career. He had five season averaging double figures in points, and eight seasons averaging more than 8.8 rebounds a game, but he was also the 13th pick in the first round. He finished his career with almost ten thousand points and almost nine thousand rebounds. That is a tall order for a second rounder.

There will never be another Kareem.

by MichaelMack on May 13, 2010 4:59 PM PDT up reply actions  

JT is very similar to Dale Davis in my mind

JT is going to average several seasons with very similar numbers in points and rebounds

by R-Man on May 13, 2010 8:58 PM PDT up reply actions  

I also agree with you re: Westphal

Let him make mistakes. No More Yanking is a motto I can get behind any day.

by nbrans on May 13, 2010 11:56 AM PDT up reply actions  

/butthead laugh

I've got squirrels in my pants!

by otis29 on May 13, 2010 12:02 PM PDT up reply actions  

My motto as well.

Sound the trumpets, Raise the drawbridge, and drop the Oldsmobile

by Balky Needs on May 14, 2010 2:25 PM PDT up reply actions  

ugh

If Spence needs this type of coddling in order to perform well or be motivated to work harder, then yes he will be traded this summer. PW has made clear he wants mentally tough guys who can work through adversity. Your painting a picture of a real wusss.

Life is every mammal's journey from very very wet to very very dry.

by Holmdel on May 13, 2010 12:43 PM PDT up reply actions  

I agree.

And one begets the other as far as coaching support. Work hard and earn support. He’s not a rookie anymore! He’s going into his 4th season.

Put up or shut up, Spence. Preferably both!

"If you told him to head-butt the wall, he would do it." -- Paul Westphal re: Brockness Monster.

by PhutureKings on May 13, 2010 2:43 PM PDT up reply actions  

This.

To be the best, you have to do your best. Otherwise, you are only second-rate.

by Slam_Dunk on May 13, 2010 3:04 PM PDT up reply actions  

Totally agree with this

JO played only 12 minutes per game with Portland, and he was the youngest players ever drafted at the time. He wasn’t expected to come in and contribute right away, so while his per-36 minute stats may be similar to Hawes, they were in completely different situations. JO started 18 games in four years and was fully expected to break out when he was dealt to Indy (I remember this fondly from fantasy basketball) — when his minutes tripled, so did his points, rebounds, and blocks.

Hawes was supposed to step up when Brad Miller was traded (and for a while, did so in the second half of 2009). He’s had the minutes and starts ever since his second season, and as we know, has failed to put it together for long streches. There’s a big difference between being inconsistent in 10-12 minutes and playing 30-40 minutes and getting outrebounded by guards on a nightly basis.

I’ll just come out and say it — I have given up on Hawes unless/until he proves otherwise. Age is just a number — Hawes has played triple the minutes that JO did in Portland in one fewer season. I just can’t see him ever coming close to being a 20-10 guy, especially if he continues to jack up three-pointers at a 30% clip and doesn’t work on his post game.

by doktakra on May 13, 2010 12:27 PM PDT up reply actions  

Agreed

The per minute averages and ages do not tell the whole story. Hawes is not going to get much better, he is basically at his top end right now.

by TheRockSays on May 13, 2010 6:16 PM PDT up reply actions  

I still believe Hawes can improve.

But I’m not sure your arguments are swaying me.

Back to Spencer’s age, I challenge you to look at per game or per 36 minutes stats for Andrew Bogut, Dwight Howard, Jermaine O’Neal, or Al Jefferson.

I challenge you to look at per game or per 36 minutes stats for Kwame Brown at age 21.

You can’t teach size. But there are a lot of players not picking up on much that you can teach them. I’m not sure Hawes is willing to learn, as if he still thinks he knows better.

Hawes’ time is now. If he can’t improve significantly until the All Star break, i’m calling him a waste of time.

Dunking Dutchman

by RikSmits on May 13, 2010 11:32 AM PDT reply actions  

I didn't make it clear in the story

But I agree that I think this is a bit of a make-or-break year for him.

Never forget: I am a complete idiot

by Exhibit G on May 13, 2010 11:33 AM PDT up reply actions  

I think that's something we can all agree on

I’m rooting for him, since I could see his personality being a huge part of positive team chemistry. I know he hates to lose, he’s tough on himself, and he’s got a bit of fire on the court. These are good things IMO.

I've got squirrels in my pants!

by otis29 on May 13, 2010 11:38 AM PDT up reply actions  

This may be a make-or-break year for him as a King,

but I’m not sure I see it as a make-or-break year for him as a player. Say he absolutely fizzles as a King. None of us would blame the FO if they didn’t re-sign him, but I’d be pretty shocked if none of the other 29 teams took at least a Sean May style flyer on a 23-year-old seven footer who seems to be at the least a serviceable backup in the right situation. In a worst-case scenario (barring a career-ending injury), the final year of that Sean May style contract is his make-or-break year.

by twasserm on May 14, 2010 10:49 AM PDT up reply actions  

I hate "you can't teach size" arguments.

That’s what led to Thabeet going at number 2.

"If you told him to head-butt the wall, he would do it." -- Paul Westphal re: Brockness Monster.

by PhutureKings on May 13, 2010 2:45 PM PDT up reply actions  

Center of Attention

Consistent playing time is earned, not given to ensure a happy player. I m of the opinion that Hawes is disillusioned, and who can really blame him. Hawes made major improvements from Y1 to Y2, and then saw a drop off in his third year. I think Hawes is going to be a decent player, I just think he needs to figure out what he wants to be. I have to think that this is that make or break year for Hawes.

If the Lakers were on channel 5 and there were a bunch of frogs making love on channel 6, I'd watch the frogs even if they were coming in fuzzy!

by King7420 on May 13, 2010 11:32 AM PDT reply actions  

Let me throw this out here

Let’s say Spence is in a pretty ideal situation- he’s on a team that is willing to play him 35 minutes a night and use him in a way that plays to his strengths. Does he have the mental and physical tools to be an 18 and 10 guy, or is his destiny to be a bench/role player?

This page unintentionally left blank.

by outrider on May 13, 2010 11:42 AM PDT reply actions  

Very good question

I think it has a lot to do with fit in a system. Even in an ideal situation, I don’t know that he ever turns into an all-out star. My main thought is just that we shouldn’t give up yet. Personally, I think he worst-case scenario is as the 6th or 7th man as a back-up center for a contender.

Never forget: I am a complete idiot

by Exhibit G on May 13, 2010 11:58 AM PDT up reply actions  

If he puts up the numbers Grasul mentioned below I'd be happy

Seems like the championship caliber teams have 2 (maybe 3) studs complimented by the role/bench guys. If Spence ends up being one of those role/bench guys for us I could live with that.

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by outrider on May 13, 2010 12:33 PM PDT up reply actions  

Note that I'd guess

the numbers I put up are his 28-30 year old or so years. I don’t think he’ll have many (if any) years substantially better than those stats.

What we've got here is, failure to communicate. Some men you just can't reach.

by Grasul on May 13, 2010 12:38 PM PDT up reply actions  

I agree

I think you posted his ceiling numbers, but hopefully we can squeeze out at least a couple of those years.

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by outrider on May 13, 2010 12:42 PM PDT up reply actions  

There are only a couple of 18 and 10 players in the NBA right now

I dont know if we are regarding those numbers as typical, those are actually excellent.

There will never be another Kareem.

by MichaelMack on May 13, 2010 5:02 PM PDT up reply actions  

hes a bench player... and thats ok

If the Lakers were on channel 5 and there were a bunch of frogs making love on channel 6, I'd watch the frogs even if they were coming in fuzzy!

by King7420 on May 13, 2010 11:58 AM PDT up reply actions  

in the ideal situation

He’s a 15-8-4 guy that blocks an occasional shot, makes the ball move well on offense and does it on pretty good efficiency for a guy that doesn’t dunk all the time.

That could be a starter on a good team, but the other players would have to be pretty special.

What we've got here is, failure to communicate. Some men you just can't reach.

by Grasul on May 13, 2010 12:07 PM PDT up reply actions  

No, not 18 & 10

Spencer isn’t going to give you 18 in the paint. 8 in the paint and 10 from outside, which means on offense he isn’t in position to rebound and therefore will never get you 10 rebounds on average.

Ideal situation was a phrase that hit home. I’m not sure Spencer is in an ideal situation with the Kings. I use to contend that the fact that PW played Spencer from the high post on offense was because that’s where he was the most effective with his passing and long range game. But, as the season ran on I started to get the feeling that PW wasn’t happy with Spencers low post game and basicly ran him out high to keep him out of the way.

Spencer was continually used to set picks and screens, but seldom got the ball back on the pick & rolls or pick and pops. And, once a shot went up, he was one of the first players heading back on defense rather than crashing the boards. Very seldom did he get the ball in the paint early in the possession even though he raced down to fight for position every time the Kings got the ball.

It just seems to me that PW isn’t very high on Spencer for whatever reason, and I don’t think anyone we get with our 1st pick is going to alter that perception. Spencer will not be a major player in the Kings offense. So, if his defense and defensive rebounding don’t make major stides, I think PW will just slowly phase Spencer out.

"If you don't have anything good to say, LIE" - Mom
The greatest impact player in NBA History - Tim Donaghy

by HighTops on May 13, 2010 12:29 PM PDT up reply actions  

He was used up in the high post a lot...

However, the one thing I did like in these situations that he seemed to develop last year was the ball fake on his jumper and a drive to the hoop. He actually drives and finishes quite well to a big.

Maybe it is the rose colored glasses, but I would like to see him in more pick and roll situations or pick and pops. This is where Tyreke’s game could really grow also (he doesn’t use picks very often to get to the hoop, and he could give the defense fits if he passed to a rolling big every once in awhile).

by R-Man on May 13, 2010 9:09 PM PDT up reply actions  

ala nash and amare; parker and duncan

its key for the kings to get a good pnr combo going this year. Well executed and it will have devastating consequences and open up our entire offense. But this requires both the big and ’reke to have a consistent jump shot. I see this happening with landry more so than anyone else.

Umm... I thought we were officially referring to Voison as the Chick Replacing Amick at the Paper? or CRAP, for short.

by sac_faithful on May 14, 2010 3:38 PM PDT up reply actions  

potentially that is with landry

Umm... I thought we were officially referring to Voison as the Chick Replacing Amick at the Paper? or CRAP, for short.

by sac_faithful on May 14, 2010 3:38 PM PDT up reply actions  

Landry was the most accurate big from 10ft-23ft

From 10-15ft Landry shot 49%, and from 16-23ft he shot 45% which was 2nd from that range to May who shot 47%. But, Hawes is the only big capable of a decent percentage from beyond the arc. So, probable Hawes on the pick and pop from real deep and Landry for everything inside the arc would be the smart choice.

I haven’t seen alot of Landry in the pick & roll, but I’m sure that the weak link here is Evans. It take time when it comes to learning how and where to get the big man the ball. Landry already knows how to drive and finish.

Not trying to bad mouth Tyreke, because Beno hasn’t shown a lot of skill feeding the big man either, at least in the pick & roll.

"If you don't have anything good to say, LIE" - Mom
The greatest impact player in NBA History - Tim Donaghy

by HighTops on May 15, 2010 12:37 AM PDT up reply actions  

Definitely not giving up on Spencer

I root for him to be succesful and find his niche on this team. If he can’t then that’s fine, but while he’s a King, I’ll be rooting for him to succeed.

"Children want what they want when they want it." ... Andy Sims

by edm7 on May 13, 2010 12:33 PM PDT reply actions  

I thinking look at Noah, kinda the yin to Hawes' yang is a legit direct comparison

Noah FINALLY became a CONSISTENT impact player this year. He had 3 years of college experience and a more mature body entering the NBA. The post is so much more predicated on strength and size than the wings are with quickness and speed.

Hawes had pretty much kept pace with Noah the previous 2 seasons, but it was this year that Noah took flight and became heads and shoulders better than Spencer. Why? PHYSICAL MATURATION is the main difference. Both are learning the game and both are adjusting to the NBA. Noah was able to ‘put it together’ this year because he had the luxury of physical maturation. As good as Noah is on defense, I think Hawes can be as equally good on offense. I think they will be the same impact level center to each other but Noah’s strength will be on defense as Hawes’ will be on offense. Give Spencers 1-2 more years and you’ll see him become a very good center in the NBA.

by Smills9133 on May 13, 2010 12:43 PM PDT reply actions  

Physical maturation?

No way. Noah didn’t suddenly get more athletic. He just put his skills together and kept his head on straighter and put together a very solid season.

Hawes is a 22 year old grown ass man, he’s not a teenager. He’s not getting more athletic. Stronger? Maybe. But more athletic? No.

by nbrans on May 13, 2010 12:49 PM PDT up reply actions  

Noah is 25

Now thats a “grown ass man”… 22 is not.

by mike murray on May 13, 2010 1:49 PM PDT up reply actions  

Different body types

The point is a 22 year old is not a “grown as man” when comparing him to where he will be at 25.

by mike murray on May 13, 2010 1:55 PM PDT up reply actions  

You really dont think Hawes will not put on weight?

He is not a Chris Bosh/Anthony Randolph/Garnett type built player. I bet he looks like almost Kaman by the time he turns 25.

by mike murray on May 13, 2010 2:01 PM PDT up reply actions  

I've said that he'll get stronger

But that also tends to slow players down some. I just don’t think there’s this radically different athletic specimen that’s going to show up next season, Incredible Hulk style.

This is what I’m talking about with wishful thinking. Where are these guys who suddenly turn into athletic beasts? Who are these guys who are suddenly jumping out of the gym? What exactly do people think is going to happen?

by nbrans on May 13, 2010 2:05 PM PDT up reply actions  

Spencer needs some P90X

I've got squirrels in my pants!

by otis29 on May 13, 2010 2:06 PM PDT up reply actions  

That shit works.

Not gonna lie.

Grandmaster of the "Never let AnotherStupidSN forget what a Sham-Wow is" Order and Originator of the "Brock Ness Monster".

by Aykis16 on May 13, 2010 4:23 PM PDT up reply actions  

What is it?

I keep hearing about it

"Children want what they want when they want it." ... Andy Sims

by edm7 on May 13, 2010 4:25 PM PDT up reply actions  

It's an in-home workout regiment

I’ve read some good reviews (you can see some at Amazon – http://www.amazon.com/P90X-Extreme-Fitness-Workout-Program/dp/B000TG8D6I).

I work with a couple guys that have done it, and the results have been pretty sweet. It ain’t no “easy workouts to lose weight” kind of program though…it appears to be an ass-kicker.

I've got squirrels in my pants!

by otis29 on May 13, 2010 4:56 PM PDT up reply actions  

Two kids I know

Had to have serious knee surgery because of it.

One 17, one 18, both athletes, both in the same school.

Just sayin’.

StR Token Female

by LeaguePassAddict on May 13, 2010 6:46 PM PDT up reply actions  

Yeah, you have to be careful

I’ve been a gym rat since I was 13, so I’ve got a pretty good idea what my body can handle.

But I am in the 40+ group, so my tendons may be spaghetti at this point. :)

I've got squirrels in my pants!

by otis29 on May 13, 2010 8:21 PM PDT up reply actions  

Getting ready to start it myself

I had a dream the other night that my knees actually spoke to me. They said “lose some weight fatass”.

I've got squirrels in my pants!

by otis29 on May 13, 2010 4:52 PM PDT up reply actions  

I don't follow P90X completely myself

But I have been hitting the gym 6 days a week for the past few weeks with someone who has and we’ve used a lot of the exercises and you definitely notice results just within a week or two.

Grandmaster of the "Never let AnotherStupidSN forget what a Sham-Wow is" Order and Originator of the "Brock Ness Monster".

by Aykis16 on May 14, 2010 12:18 AM PDT up reply actions  

Lord, he's going bald as well?!?

Just when you thought the kid had enough adversity…

Sound the trumpets, Raise the drawbridge, and drop the Oldsmobile

by Balky Needs on May 14, 2010 2:32 PM PDT up reply actions  

Me

Physically, not so much.

Mentally, huge difference. The mental ability to handle situations is dramatically different.

Never forget: I am a complete idiot

by Exhibit G on May 13, 2010 2:09 PM PDT up reply actions  

While I agree with your general argument on this one, I think many professional basketballers that you know of have changed their bodies significantly for the better between 22-25. Of course, that depends on what sort of physical change you consider significant…

by DustyG on May 13, 2010 4:44 PM PDT up reply actions  

But

even given that…I think it’s very likely that we have seen nearly the top of Spencer’s game…

by DustyG on May 13, 2010 4:45 PM PDT up reply actions  

Yes

I think Noah has gotten a lot bigger and stronger since entering the league.

by R-Man on May 13, 2010 9:14 PM PDT up reply actions  

And possibly uglier.

Grandmaster of the "Never let AnotherStupidSN forget what a Sham-Wow is" Order and Originator of the "Brock Ness Monster".

by Aykis16 on May 14, 2010 12:19 AM PDT up reply actions  

Just looked at the photo for this thread

does anyone else see a major difference between Joel Anthony’s arm and shoulder development and Spencers.

"If you don't have anything good to say, LIE" - Mom
The greatest impact player in NBA History - Tim Donaghy

by HighTops on May 13, 2010 12:44 PM PDT reply actions  

RACIST!

I've got squirrels in my pants!

by otis29 on May 13, 2010 12:45 PM PDT up reply actions  

Just kidding

Yes, there’s a huge difference. Spencer’s got some hills to climb physically – I really think that’s where the question marks are on his future in the NBA.

I've got squirrels in my pants!

by otis29 on May 13, 2010 12:46 PM PDT up reply actions  

Spencer's biggest problem has been, and continues to be, between the ears.

As has been said by the coaches on a number of ocassions (or alluded to), Spencer’s belief that he knows all is the main reason he doesn’t continue improving. Spencer’s ego is holding him back. When you have coaches saying you are hard of hearing, it’s a problem. Spence is stuck is crapsville until or unless he decides he doesn’t know all.

by amonk81 on May 13, 2010 12:51 PM PDT reply actions   1 recs

Agree.

It is an attitude problem.

To be the best, you have to do your best. Otherwise, you are only second-rate.

by Slam_Dunk on May 13, 2010 3:08 PM PDT up reply actions  

Wrong system

First, the comparison to JO only goes so far. JO is a rebounding, back to the basket center who can block shots and play above the rim (well not anymore).
Spencer needs to be on the high post, setting screens, using his passing skills and outside shot. My comparison for him is Vlade. Spencer should study Vlade’s slick moves in the post. But Spencer has the shot and passing skills that Vlade had. Unfortunately, he is in a system where the guards dominate the ball, drive, and kick to the open man. Adelman’s system would have utilized Spencer’s skills a lot more with all the cutting and back doors.
If we can get a big who can clog the middle, rebound, and block shots, that compliments Spencer’s game. But playing him alongside Landry doesn’t work. And JT isn’t a good enough center to put him down low and Spencer at the high post.
My final verdict is that 7 footers who can shoot and pass are hard to come by. I think he can be a nice asset off the bench, but if he can be used in a trade to acquire someone solid I wouldn’t mind.

by chrysty on May 13, 2010 1:03 PM PDT reply actions  

The thing is

I think that Hawes can be a good fit for the Kings, if used in the right system.

You have Tyreke whoexcells at going to the hole, and Landry who operates very well from the low post. So it makes sense to have a C in the high post or with the treath of an outside shot, to make space for these two. But to facilitate that, he has to improve his D and rebounding. Granted, when he plays far from the basket, he will get fewer offensive rebounds, but he is just not someone who is crashing the boards consistently.

Dunking Dutchman

by RikSmits on May 13, 2010 1:19 PM PDT up reply actions  

I don't have faith that Spencer is a frontline rotation player. That ship has absolutely sailed.

What hasn’t sailed is my belief that Spence can still play in the NBA over the course of an 82 game season. He needs time to polish up some of his other area’s, and he still needs to fill out. He just doesn’t have enough strength I think to ultimately be a front line guy.

I think, though, that if you took a guy like Derrick Favors (or even DeMarcus Cousins) and put him next to Spence you’ll see a much better player in Spence. His flaws won’t be as exposed, and that might possibly help Spence relax somewhat. Spence is trying too hard to be a 10 time all-star. He just needs to go out and play and not worry about accolades. (This is true of JT as well.)

EvilCowtownInc: Screwin Suckaz over since 1985......

No mistakes in the tango, Donna. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

by pookeyguru on May 13, 2010 1:05 PM PDT reply actions  

very good points.

by DustyG on May 13, 2010 4:39 PM PDT up reply actions  

Different position but

Gerald Wallace also made a name of himself when he turned 22-23

by ZenBaller on May 13, 2010 1:09 PM PDT reply actions  

I wasn’t a big supporter of Spencer when we drafted him. to this point, i can see that his performance has been streaky, however, i can’t really say that it is time to give up on him or anything like that. I actually think that he has a lot of room to grow and that when his focus is there, he brings some good stuff to the floor. but at the same time, I fully understand the general frustration. I think this up coming year will be very telling for Spencer and a lot of of our younger players in that i believe that the kings finally have some stability and overall vision as to how to get where we want to be and how to get the most out of our players. Spencer may not be our center of the future, but i think he will settle into a nice pice of the puzzle.

by gaindeyouth on May 13, 2010 1:29 PM PDT reply actions  

here, here! (or hear, hear!)

Life is every mammal's journey from very very wet to very very dry.

by Holmdel on May 13, 2010 1:56 PM PDT up reply actions  

rec'd

this I totally agree with; I think there’s a better than 50/50 chance Hawes doesn’t end next season a King.

What we've got here is, failure to communicate. Some men you just can't reach.

by Grasul on May 13, 2010 2:02 PM PDT up reply actions  

Nothing wrong with being a fantastic 3rd bigman

This is Spencer’s no excuses year. he has to show something now or faith in him with be lost sooooooo fast.

Screw you Knicks! LBJ to the Kings!!!

by Shizzo on May 13, 2010 2:06 PM PDT up reply actions  

I agree to a certain extent Section.

But, if the Kings add a big via free agency or the draft, is there really enough PT for Hawes, Thompson and Landry? Isn’t the team better served with a player like Brockman coming in as an energy player for the 10-15 minutes than Hawes would get under these circumstances? Could Hawes be used to grab an up and coming PG or SG sitting on a bench somewhere?

I agree that if the Kings walk into next season with the same roster + a perimeter player like Evan Turner or Wesley Johnson then Hawes is a very good option off the bench. I also would rather see Hawes than Cole Aldrich on the Kings roster. But if the Kings are going to improve greatly this off-season, it has to be in the post which means that there should be a surplus of bigs. I for one, would rather see Thompson and his skill set over Hawes and his with the remainder minutes going to Brockman, Greene, Noc etc.

The Sacramento Convergence concept offers Sacramento, the Central Valley, and the State a solution to feasibly construct a new multi-use Entertainment and Sports Complex.

by jjham15 on May 13, 2010 2:08 PM PDT up reply actions  

We are in agreement

If Hawes is not going to be a “pivotal” (sorry about that) part of the rotation, then he needs to be dealt. He will do this team absolutely no good on the end of the bench, while I guy like Brockman will work his arse off in spite of the DNP-CD’s, and he will always be ready when called upon.

SACTOWN ROYALTY - Try our thick creamy shakes!

by section214 on May 13, 2010 2:11 PM PDT up reply actions  

If he's dealt

What could we reasonably expect in return for him? (I know that’s a bit of guesswork, but that’s why you get paid the big bucks around here!)

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by outrider on May 13, 2010 2:21 PM PDT up reply actions  

I want DJ Augustin if Felton re-signs with the Bobcats.

But again, it is way too early to have these discussions. The draft and FA could change everything. Hell, Petrie cold package JT and Landry in a wild big deal and Spencer could be the starting center next season.

The Sacramento Convergence concept offers Sacramento, the Central Valley, and the State a solution to feasibly construct a new multi-use Entertainment and Sports Complex.

by jjham15 on May 13, 2010 2:25 PM PDT up reply actions  

I have no idea

But that’s never stopped me before…

If Utah thought his game to be a good fit (and remember, Okur may miss the beginning of next season), would they deal Fesenko for him?

To Houston for a future non-lottery pick, to serve as a back-up to Yao?

To OKC for their #21 or #26 pick this year?

SACTOWN ROYALTY - Try our thick creamy shakes!

by section214 on May 13, 2010 2:26 PM PDT up reply actions  

I haven't watched too much of Fesenko

But what I saw in the playoffs gave me the “do not want” vibe.

I've got squirrels in my pants!

by otis29 on May 13, 2010 2:29 PM PDT up reply actions  

Agreed

The thought would be that the change of scenery might help both young players. If Fes is the same guy here that he is in Utah, he is a short minute bench contributor at best.

SACTOWN ROYALTY - Try our thick creamy shakes!

by section214 on May 13, 2010 3:14 PM PDT up reply actions  

Also agree

Physically shows promise. But there’s not much you can do with an uncoordinated guy with shaky hands, no matter how athletic.

by nbrans on May 13, 2010 3:15 PM PDT up reply actions  

Hawes for Gortat is my pipedream.

Grandmaster of the "Never let AnotherStupidSN forget what a Sham-Wow is" Order and Originator of the "Brock Ness Monster".

by Aykis16 on May 13, 2010 4:28 PM PDT up reply actions  

Also

Even I wouldn’t trade Hawes for Fesenko.

Grandmaster of the "Never let AnotherStupidSN forget what a Sham-Wow is" Order and Originator of the "Brock Ness Monster".

by Aykis16 on May 13, 2010 4:28 PM PDT up reply actions  

ouch, those are some crappy returns on a guy who WAS a lottery pick

Life is every mammal's journey from very very wet to very very dry.

by Holmdel on May 14, 2010 9:31 AM PDT up reply actions  

This is why I would be hesitant to deal him

In he had played 4 years in college and was in this year’s draft, I think he’d still be a lottery pick.

Never forget: I am a complete idiot

by Exhibit G on May 14, 2010 10:12 AM PDT up reply actions  

So true.

To be the best, you have to do your best. Otherwise, you are only second-rate.

by Slam_Dunk on May 13, 2010 3:14 PM PDT up reply actions  

Derrick Favors or DeMarcus Cousins will make Spence look less awful.

Another reason you can argue that value up front is just as important as a backcourt player regardless of who you deem to be the BPA.

EvilCowtownInc: Screwin Suckaz over since 1985......

No mistakes in the tango, Donna. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

by pookeyguru on May 13, 2010 3:45 PM PDT up reply actions  

Well Said

As I scrolled down reading all the posts, I thought of all these points to respond with, but you have written down my thoughts exactly. I think we’ve been yearning so much for that traditional low post force that we’ve been expecting Spencer to be something he’s not. I think where the Kings fail is putting him into roles that don’t fit and concentrating on improving his deficiencies more than bringing out his strengths.
That’s why I really liked Adelman as a coach. He was great at finding out what you did best and finding a role where you could contribute. I think it’s better for a young player to find their niche, specialize, and get as great as you could at them before trying to become well-rounded. It is better to embellish your strengths before fixing deficiencies.

by creep on May 13, 2010 8:04 PM PDT up reply actions  

What is Spencer's realistic upside?

Chris Kaman. The Kings have not done him right, no question but they didn’t do anybody right in their transition. The worse thing they did was to give him a lazy, whiny, ornery mentor like Brad Miller when he came in the league given that he had a predisposition to that temperament. I unfortunately associate him, unfairly, with the painfully dreadful Kings upheaval era of post-Adelman but I realize that he’s been one of the few constants. I think it is best for both parties to go their separate ways.

I’ve always liked more physical, defensive and athletic players versus a shooter. Like cheeses and wines, I’m not really cultured enough for the European ways of playing the game and I always felt like Hawes was a Euro in a redneck’s 7’0’’ body. I remember being bummed when the Bulls grabbed Noah but thought Petrie probably would would have preferred Hawes. I think the Kings need more shooters (not named chapu) to compliment the franchise but I don’t they need them playing center.

Even on the Suns, Frye shoots it better, is more athletic and plays better defense. Hawes has never showed me a consistent post game that works in the NBA.

I agree with Section. Hawes is not tempered to fare well as no longer a prospect or be in denial about being a backup. I don’t want any more of the pouts or frowns or just being “opinionated.” He’d be a cancer.

The Sacramento Kings - our guys have big mouthpieces.

by bringbackbuddytrees on May 13, 2010 2:19 PM PDT reply actions  

If he's dealt

What could we reasonably expect in return for him? (I know that’s a bit of guesswork, but that’s why you get paid the big bucks around here!)

This page unintentionally left blank.

by outrider on May 13, 2010 2:20 PM PDT reply actions  

reply fail

This page unintentionally left blank.

by outrider on May 13, 2010 2:20 PM PDT up reply actions  

cherokee parks

Just saw his name in the side of the screen, and had to repeat it. What an overrated douche. The Gino Torretta of basketball.

Life is every mammal's journey from very very wet to very very dry.

by Holmdel on May 13, 2010 2:25 PM PDT reply actions  

We used to summer at Cherokee Parks

And we swam in Ricki Lake, which emptied into Joan Rivers…I could keep going all the way to Billy Ocean, but I think that I’ll stop now…

SACTOWN ROYALTY - Try our thick creamy shakes!

by section214 on May 13, 2010 2:28 PM PDT up reply actions   2 recs

Smooth

Except I’m mortified at the thought of Ricki Lake emptying into Joan Rivers….THE HORROR!

"he looks like he is going to take a bite out of a huge invisible sandwich..." - wallywagon11

by Sacto_J on May 13, 2010 3:37 PM PDT up reply actions  

throwing this out there

hypothetically Spencer is in this year’s draft and he has been playing at Washington all this time. what do you think people would say about him.
about what Monroe is getting or not.
I think people would say he has a high ceiling, good shot, excellent passer.

I also think he would be a lotto pick in this draft in that scenario.
in long, I am not writing him off even though he is frustrating now.

Still waiting for the Euler of basketball to play for the Kings

by morecasspi on May 13, 2010 2:45 PM PDT reply actions   1 recs

What's his ceiling?

I would be interested in hearing everyone’s opinions.

I feel like Spencer’s ceiling, unless he adds some considerable upper body muscle, would be Mehmet Okur/Brad Miller. My problem is that, as others have said, I just don’t think this fits with the team we have. Spence would thrive alongside a big “tree” like Bynum, or benefit from playing alongside an uber-athletic post scorer like Amare as frye has. I just don’t think that Landry, JT or Hawes will ever be dominant enough to complement the holes in each other’s games.

"The Kings have nothing to lose but their games."

by SactoRyan on May 13, 2010 3:11 PM PDT reply actions  

this was my gripe from the outset

Coming out of UW Spencer seemed to be a Brad Miller but without the mean streak/physicality that Brad had at his peak. A lesser Brad Miller just didn’t seem real promising to me, like: “damn, we’ve already been down this road and we know it doesn’t lead to the NBA title.”

"When the going gets Weird, the Weird turn professional."
(Hunter Thompson)

by Mucho Moss on May 13, 2010 3:40 PM PDT up reply actions  

My only counter, Brad Miller was still an All Star because most everyone else playing the position was a steaming turd.

by bignerd on May 13, 2010 10:31 PM PDT up reply actions  

Brad Miller had a couple of excellent seasons

(’03 and ’04,) and some pretty good ones too.

If I thought Spencer was as good and as tough as Brad I wouldn’t be as concerned. But I don’t think he is.

Not to mention, the Kings had C Webb and Vlade on those teams. If we had anybody even close to either of those dudes I guess our front line would be a wee bit more solid.

"When the going gets Weird, the Weird turn professional."
(Hunter Thompson)

by Mucho Moss on May 13, 2010 11:36 PM PDT up reply actions  

I think if there was any legitimate feeling that Hawes would become like either of those guys then we would not be having this discussion. It is not that Hawes doesn’t fit with this team, it is that he isn’t very good.

by Hoops Mike on May 14, 2010 3:55 PM PDT up reply actions  

It's both.
It is not that Hawes doesn’t fit with this team, it is that he isn’t very good.

To be the best, you have to do your best. Otherwise, you are only second-rate.

by Slam_Dunk on May 14, 2010 4:28 PM PDT up reply actions  

Fair enough. However……

Ineffective, non-defensive , injury prone, finesse centers tend not to fit in well on any team.

I don’t think Hawes is misused. He wouldn’t be tearing it up on any team in the NBA.

by Hoops Mike on May 14, 2010 4:40 PM PDT up reply actions  

Fair enough.

I agree with your first sentence, not so certain about the second.

To be the best, you have to do your best. Otherwise, you are only second-rate.

by Slam_Dunk on May 14, 2010 4:58 PM PDT up reply actions  

If Hawes can stay healthy

and grow up a little bit (mainly having to do with a realization that unlike his previous experiences in organized basketball, no one in the NBA is going to cater to him, and nearly everybody has as much or more talent as he does) he can be an effective NBA player in some capacity.

How many minutes and in what situations remain to be seen, but I think we’ve seen enough of his game to know that when things are clicking Spencer can very effectively put the ball in the basket from outside the key. He can also make plays dishing the ball, and when he hustles he can block a few shots.

However I think we’ve also seen enough to know that he simply doesn’t have enough physical ability to be a star NBA center. And more to the point, the gifts he does have don’t necessarily dovetail very well with the needs of the Kings.

I continue to believe that by the time the KIngs turn the corner and again become contenders in the West, Spencer Hawes will no longer be on the roster.

"When the going gets Weird, the Weird turn professional."
(Hunter Thompson)

by Mucho Moss on May 13, 2010 3:37 PM PDT reply actions  

With the exceptions of rebounding (which has declined each of Spencer’s three season when looking at per 36 stats) and points (which declined from 14.0 to 13.7 per 36 minutes), Hawes has been consistent or improving in all categories.

Interesting… So, other than scoring and rebounding, he’s doing OK? Isn’t that 2/3 of the most important stats (along with assists) on which to rate improvement?
I think it’s too early too give up on him as well. His potential is great. Hopefully he pulls his head out and starts realizing it. But really, you can’t brush off those two stats and expect me to take the rest of your argument seriously.

by Tommietunes on May 13, 2010 4:32 PM PDT reply actions  

I think this offseason will be huge for Spence.

This will define his career whether or not he can take the step into imperative success in the future. I always say to myself that we shouldn’t evaluate Hawes right now. Because he is still an unfinished product. But that excuse is starting to wear away its worth though.

If you guys notice Hawes’ past offseasons, he always gains at least 10 more pounds to his frame. So, I expect Hawes to fill out most of his frame this offseason to truly evaluate him in the next season. I always said he needs to gain muscle mass to fully be effective in the post. We all know that he has a good touch down there despite his limitations.

Rebuilding the Kings.

by KF10 on May 13, 2010 5:00 PM PDT reply actions  

Would anybody be ok if Hawes ended up a rotation player

say 26-28 minutes with 12 6 and 4?

There are some guys smarter than me, some guys better looking, I take comfort in the fact that there is no guy that is both.

by ElRonToro on May 13, 2010 5:21 PM PDT reply actions  

If the guys in front of him were better than Landry and JT in their present form, yes.

As it is, say JT goes 13 and 9 in 30, and Carl gest 17 and 7 in 35.
It would be a serviceable 3 man rotation and would merely be “good enough”.

Note the lack of a hyphen.
Adopted father of Evan Crawford, leadoff hitter of your 2014 San Francisco Giants.

by DesertFox on May 13, 2010 6:04 PM PDT up reply actions  

The Kings are still in the rebuilding process and the roster is no ways close to being set

We can talk forever regarding Spencer and if his skill set and fit are right for the team. At the most basic level it seems to me that the question is this:

Given what you know to date about Spencer Hawe’s basketball skills and potential as well as mental makeup will he ever be a better than “good enough” starting center or adequate backup when you intuit in which direction the team appears to be heading?

Simply put I say no. I don’t think at his best (assuming he reaches it) that his skills fit the team going forward. That is not to say that he doesn’t have the skills to have a decent NBA career it’s just that the team is making a significant change in direction since the point he was drafted and he no longer remains an optimum fit.

If you accept that point of view then the conclusion is that the best thing for the team and for Spencer would be to trade him and possibly others for a player(s) that fit the teams needs now and going forward.

"I make love to pressure" - Stephen Jackson

by Bluejohn on May 13, 2010 8:06 PM PDT up reply actions  

Depends

Will he have any impact defensively?

I've got squirrels in my pants!

by otis29 on May 13, 2010 8:22 PM PDT up reply actions  

Yes ElRon.

EvilCowtownInc: Screwin Suckaz over since 1985......

No mistakes in the tango, Donna. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

by pookeyguru on May 14, 2010 12:32 AM PDT up reply actions  

Same issue with JT

Bigs take so long to develop any kind of consistency. By year five or six he might become a pretty good piece to have on your basketball team. Only issue is I’m never watching when Spencer plays well so I don’t know what to expect if he does become more consistent.

by bignerd on May 13, 2010 10:30 PM PDT reply actions  

I think it's different with JT

Considering he’s so much older than Hawes.

Never forget: I am a complete idiot

by Exhibit G on May 14, 2010 7:26 AM PDT up reply actions  

"Hi, my name is Demarcus/Artsiom/Derrick....

….I will be taking minutes away from Spencer, get used to it…"

by getPGwithbounce on May 13, 2010 10:35 PM PDT reply actions  

I heard a promo yesterday about Hawes being on the radio, KHTK I think

he was going to talk about his off-season workout plans. Did anyone hear it?

"If you don't have anything good to say, LIE" - Mom
The greatest impact player in NBA History - Tim Donaghy

by HighTops on May 14, 2010 1:13 PM PDT reply actions  

My issue with Hawes is solely attitude.

I was VERY high on our drafting of Hawes. I thought I saw the makings of a young Kevin McHale. I NEVER thought he was a center, but always thought of him as a PF. The guy showed every inside move in college. I loved the pump fakes and up an under. He seemed very Vlade-like. I also thought he would be a really good weak-side shot blocker and decent rebounder. In short, he seemed to know the game and be a TOUGH offensive player.

That being MY expectation, I can’t say that Hawes has been anything other than a colossal disappointment for me. I understand that he isn’t a bruiser, but it is how he describes himself which I find disturbing. He talks of being a finesse player, and to him that seems to mean NO contact. This NOT what you want out of a post player. Vlade and Miller were finesse centers, and both were about 100X tougher than Hawes. Hawes is more like a post version of Peja where contact is concerned. Even accepting the idea that Hawes will never be a defensive presence in the paint, it is his ineffective offensive game which really bothersome to me. I don’t care if he CAN hit the three – unless he is dominant from out there, he is useless when taking that shot and not at least pulling opposing centers out with him. We did not draft Hawes to hit threes. We can pick up a free agent like Raja Bell to shoot threes. We drafted Hawes to provide post scoring – he isn’t doing that, and does not really show the inclination to develop that way based upon his own statements. Right now he is a big stiff with some potential.

His age is THE ONLY wild card for me. Some guys do figure it out after this much time in the league, but his career arc is not promising. I wouldn’t give him much beyond minimum bucks to keep him unless he shows some serious fire this year.

With this big of a sample to look at, “potential” is just getting us beat. Ask yourselves what NBA players have had similar career arcs to Hawes, and then have become very good??? Not many.

My guess is career back up. 12 year career. In short, he is an offensive Duane Causwell. That certainly isn’t what I expected, but I don’t think we will resign him. Petrie tends to address his mistakes. (…and the mistake was VERY understandable IMO)

by Hoops Mike on May 14, 2010 1:47 PM PDT reply actions  

I think this pretty well sums it up.
I can’t say that Hawes has been anything other than a colossal disappointment

To be the best, you have to do your best. Otherwise, you are only second-rate.

by Slam_Dunk on May 14, 2010 2:49 PM PDT up reply actions  

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Just rewatched the game on TNT after being there....

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