FanPost

If Knight and Walker aren't available and Fredette is not picked, Here is the plan.

While we all agree that better defense, and outside shooting are critical success factors still missing from this team, there is still a consensus that another player to initiate the offense and complement Tyreke's game is essential to bringing the Kings back to prominence and should be our focus in the upcoming NBA Draft.

As a result many here at STR wish for us to select Knight/Walker/Fredette. The reality is the first two may not be available at #7.  As for Jimmer, Petrie does like to take a flyer on someone with an outside shot. J-Will liked to jack em up early in his career from downtown and was drafted earlier than expected, Stojakovic with his dead aim was a surprise pick at 14, Martin and Douby also were great beyond the arc coming into the league and picked ahead of perceived value. Because of that nobody should be surprised if Jimmermania comes to Sacramento.

However, Petrie typically surprises us and as such we should start resetting expectations now if Jimmer is not going to become a member of the Sacramento Kings.

So assuming Knight and Walker are off the Board and Fredette is not selected at seven, we will still be in need of someone to complement Tyreke and become a starting floor general.

We all remember how much debate was had over the draft of '09 where 10 players were taken with the first 21 picks and 12 in the first round that could play point guard.

Last year I compared Tyreke to the other PGs drafted in the 2009 Class, posted stats and made comments on a few different criteria exclaiming who was most valuable to their team, who was the best value given their draft position and who had the best star potential. I was curious how this deep class has developed with two years under the belt. I was not surprised that Stephen Curry and Brandon Jennings have legit games but I was surprised at the success of the others drafted around them.

Then it came to me: The Kings maybe better off making a deal that lands them one of these other point guards than trying to draft any of the coveted guards in this year's draft.

After the break I will provide some stats and analysis on all of the point guards after their first two years in the league. I hope you enjoy.

The Players:

Rodrigue Beaubois

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height - 6'2" / weight - 182 lbs / Birthday 02/24/88 / Drafted 25th

 

Darren Collison

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Height - 6'1" / Weight - 165 lbs / Birthday 08-23-87 / Drafted 21st

 

Stephen Curry

Stephen-curry_medium

Height - 6'3" / Weight - 185 lbs / Birthday 03-14-88 / Drafted 7th

Toney Douglas

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Height - 6'1" / Weight - 196 lbs / Birthday 03-16-88 / Drafted 29th

Tyreke Evnas

Tyreke-evans_medium

Height - 6'5" / Weight - 220 lbs / Birthday 09-19-89 / Drafted 4th

Jonny Flynn

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Height - 6'0" / Weight - 172 lbs / Birthday 02-06-89 / Drafted 6th


Jru Holiday

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Height - 6'3" / Weight - 185 lbs / Birthday 06-12-90 / Drafted 17th

Brandon Jennings

Brandon-jennings-2_medium

Height - 6'1" / Weight - 170 lbs / Birthday 09-23-89 / Drafted 10th


Ty Lawson

Ty-lawson-powers-denver-nuggets-to-a-116-97-win-over-the-phoenix-suns-73502_medium

Height - 6'0" / Weight - 195 lbs / Birthday 11-03-87 / Drafted 18th

Eric Maynor

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Height - 6'2" / Weight - 175 lbs / Birthday 06-11-87 / Drafted 20th

Ricky Rubio

Ricky-rubio_medium

Height - 6'4" / Weight - 180 lbs / Birthday 10-21-90 / Drafted 5th

Jeff Teague

Jeff-teague-2_medium

height - 6'2" / weight - 180 lbs / Birthday 06-10-88 / Drafted 19th

Quick Stats:  This compares the whole class in terms of their basic production over the last two seasons. I deleted the other members of the class but was unable to delete the rows so sorry for the bad spacing. Since Ricky Rubio didn't play in the NBA over the last two seasons I combined his two euro league teams stats to give a some context to how he has fared

Pk Tm Player College G MP PTS TRB AST FG% 3P% FT% MP PTS TRB AST
4 SAC Tyreke Evans University of Memphis 129 4784 2462 655 733 .436 .273 .756 37.1 19.1 5.1 5.7
5 MIN Ricky Rubio 110 2382 693 333 454 .407 .318 .824 21.6 6.3 3.0 4.1
6 MIN Jonny Flynn Syracuse University 134 3322 1373 268 538 .405 .343 .817 24.8 10.2 2.0 4.0
7 GSW Stephen Curry Davidson College 154 5385 2772 642 904 .470 .439 .911 35.0 18.0 4.2 5.9
10 MIL Brandon Jennings 145 4840 2289 516 775 .379 .352 .813 33.4 15.8 3.6 5.3
17 PHI Jrue Holiday University of California, Los Angeles 155 4668 1732 523 810 .445 .375 .803 30.1 11.2 3.4 5.2
18 MIN Ty Lawson University of North Carolina 145 3419 1475 333 580 .507 .406 .762 23.6 10.2 2.3 4.0
19 ATL Jeff Teague Wake Forest University 141 1682 589 169 260 .420 .313 .808 11.9 4.2 1.2 1.8
20 UTA Eric Maynor Virginia Commonwealth University 163 2469 730 250 504 .411 .353 .725 15.1 4.5 1.5 3.1
21 NOH Darren Collison University of California, Los Angeles 155 4469 1985 417 835 .467 .364 .862 28.8 12.8 2.7 5.4
25 OKC Rodrigue Beaubois 84 1196 633 130 138 .477 .363 .793 14.2 7.5 1.5 1.6
29 LAL Toney Douglas Florida State University 137 3058 1337 352 356 .430 .378 .800 22.3 9.8 2.6 2.6

 

 

Advanced Stats: I believe there are different ways to evaluate how effective each of these players have been. As such I am not advocating that the stats I selected are completely fool proof nor the best but are at least relevant to evaluating a player who is chartered with playing point guard in the NBA. Here are some stats that I think help determine  how effective a point guard is.

Player - PER / efg% / assist % / steal % / Hand's Rating (refer to Hollinger or 82games.com for definitions)

RB - 15.6 / .544 / .200 / .021 / 12.8
DC - 16.0 / .493 / .308 / .019 / 18.9
SC - 17.7 / .543 / .263 / .024 / 18.6
TD - 15.1 / .522 / .185 / .022 / 16.2
TE - 16.5 / .455 / .256 / .021 / 18.0
JF - 11.3 / .448 / .256 / .017 / 13.7
JH - 14.3 / .492 / .273 / .022 / 19.9
BJ - 15.0 / .436 / .279 / .022 / 19.7
TL - 17.4 / .555 / .267 / .019 / 21.6
EM - 11.7 / .453 / .309 / .016 / 26.0
RR - 17.4 / .445 / NA / NA / NA
JT - 13.1 / .444 / .241 / .025 / 16.8

Interpreting the Numbers:

While most of us have tracked Tyreke Evans, Stephen Curry and Brandon Jennings it may come as a surprise that Ty Lawson leads the pack in PER, effective field goal percentage, and second in Hand's rating. Eric Maynor also tops the list in Assist Percentage and Hand's Rating. Most of all there is a pretty tight pack in terms of overall production and a few of these guys can certainly be a very cost effective side kick to Tyreke.

In conclusion, While I do like the idea either Knight, Walker or Fredette being on our roster I like them less with the seventh pick and if we could deal the pick and a SF to land a bona fide 3 plus a pass first, take care of the ball point guard, I think we will be better off in the long run.

In just a day away, I guess we will all find out.

(This is a FanPost from a member of the Sactown Royalty community. The views expressed come from the member, and not Sactown Royalty staff.)

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