FanShot

Excellent BP Article Posted on ESPN Insider - Kings Regression

"The SCHOENE projections are built by analyzing a player's attributes and trends and comparing them to a huge database of players with similar traits and development patterns. If anything, the forecasts are conservative when it comes to looking at the volatile early years of a player's career. However, when it comes to [the Kings young] players, the pattern is clear. In every case, the player either underperformed his projection or showed signs of improvement, only to slip back. In some cases, as with Jason Thompson, the regression was stark, and none of the players actually were producing at a winning level. The Kings' young core wasn't getting better under Westphal, it was getting worse. He had to go."
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