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Kings vs. Blazers Preview: HYDRAULICS

Up and down and ... ugh.
The valleys? More like canyons.
Make peaks of molehills.

Star-divide

Sacramento Kings at Portland Trail Blazers
7 p.m. Pacific on Comcast SportsNet California

I'm really battling with myself right now. The hopeful Kings fan in me wants to look at the 3-5 spell in this brutal eight-game stretch as the first melt of snow on the dawn of spring. The Kings have won two -- two! -- games on the road now after looking so pitiful in the team's first escapades away from The Gymmer. The Spurs are wounded, but they are the Spurs. The right Kings looked so good in that game that it felt like a real victory, a stone to step on to reach new heights.

The analytic side of me looks at these brutal losses, these mammoth deficits and wonders if that isn't closer to normal for this club. I believe heavily in points margin as a more accurate reflection of team quality than win-loss record, primarily because it grows the population of data that goes into such an assessment. A 1-1 team with a 2-point win and a 50-point loss isn't better than an 0-2 team with two four-point losses, you know? The analytics say that the Kings are a disaster: the wins have been seat-of-the-britches affairs, the losses have largely been complete inplosions. In 10 road games, the Kings have won two games by a total of nine points (+4.5/game) and lost eight by a total of 192 (-24). Of those eight road losses, five have been by at least 20 points and two have been by at least 30. Two 30-point losses 17 games into the season!

I see the offense looking more like an NBA-level offense ... but I don't see it in the numbers, and I wonder if my hope is shrouding my judgment. I look at the spreadsheets and see that the Kings might very well be the second worst team in the league despite a not-embarrassing record ... and I wonder why I've felt so good about the performances to date of Tyreke Evans, DeMarcus Cousins and Jason Thompson, and about the coaching of Keith Smart.

If the Kings can pull off a win by any margin to get to 4-5 on this spill, I'm going to banish my analytic side for the rest of the season ... OK, until the All-Star break. If it's another blow-out loss, I'm afraid I'll need to re-assess any warm fuzzies I've gotten over the past couple weeks. The internal conflict is just too much to sustain.

Game's at 7. Game threads at 7 and 8:30. Let's go Kings!

Comment 21 comments  |  3 recs  | 

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I agree with this
Our guards can’t stay in front of speedy guards especially off screens because our bigs don’t do a good job of showing on the screens and sticking with the ball long enough for the guards to recover.

Kings get better at this part of their defense, and everything else on D gets collaterally better.

I like to think Portland took advantage of a lot of teams early on because of the lockout preseason and stepped on the gas. If you notice, all the running teams got off to fast starts, and now things are starting to level off.

"First we get jobs, then we get the khakis, then we get the chicks."

by Wonderchild on Jan 23, 2012 2:56 PM PST up reply actions  

Think they also had an advantage with continuity

They brought back essentially the same team with Felton and the same coach/philosophy.

That’s a big advantage over teams turning over half their roster (Kings), their coach (Lakers) or who brought back a coach who’s idea of an offensive game plan makes the Hindenburg look like a fun ride (again the Kings).

by SPTSJUNKIE on Jan 23, 2012 3:07 PM PST up reply actions  

When's Chuck coming back?
We just do a horrible job on our help defense at the basket. And, even when there is help, the rotations aren’t there to support the helper.

I think what you say here is probably the second biggest contributing factor to our suckitude on the road this year; the biggest reason being cold shooting of course.

BUT once settled in and acclimated to Smart’s system, the Chuck Wagon should make a huge impact here. I keep wondering when we’re going to deal Hickson away already and call up our shot blocking ringer from the D League for additional help.

by Frankles on Jan 23, 2012 3:08 PM PST up reply actions  

I read somewhere on here that he could be back as early as Wed

"I have talent that's there, but I just have the mentality right now that I just want to be the greatest. And I don't think that any other player has that right now." -DeMarcus Cousins

by Noble_Bloodlines on Jan 23, 2012 6:35 PM PST up reply actions  

We have to win to show Crawford he picked the wrong team

(..because we DESPERATELY need another guard who throws up shots and is mediocre at passing the ball)

by yaboyrafa on Jan 23, 2012 2:47 PM PST reply actions  

I think we missed that chance last time we played Portland

But I hope Tyreke, Jimmer, or whoever is matched up with him can light him up.

by SharkKings49 on Jan 23, 2012 2:56 PM PST up reply actions  

Hydraulics? I could not disagree more strongly


It’s all ball bearings these days.

SACTOWN ROYALTY - Try our thick creamy shakes!

by section214 on Jan 23, 2012 3:40 PM PST reply actions   2 recs

mmmm

we always play shitty against the blazers

by AnkleMan on Jan 23, 2012 5:35 PM PST reply actions  

6'5" with the Afro 6'9"..

Pretty good dribbler…look how he shakes off 4 or 5 defenders…With EASE!!!

by G McDiddy on Jan 23, 2012 5:47 PM PST reply actions  

Sorry I'm late...

One of those manure spreaders jack-knived on the Santa Anita….. U should see my shoes.

by Pdidd on Jan 23, 2012 5:53 PM PST via mobile up reply actions  

If Aldridge is as accurate with the ball as Billy Cundiff today

the Kings have a shot. If not, well, I’m not liking the chances of it being close in the fourth

Al Davis 1929-2011 Just rest in peace, baby

"Da greatness of Da Rooster" - RLangford

Follow me on Twitter @FernandoRGallo

by darooster on Jan 23, 2012 6:00 PM PST reply actions  

is chuck Hayes planning on playing?

He’s out here shooting around by himself.

by Portland's Cowboy fan on Jan 23, 2012 6:29 PM PST via iPhone app reply actions  

Please don't ban me for saying this but..

Fuck Paul Wesphal. He didn’t help develop any of our younger players and we barely won any games with him as coach..fucking useless

by deucedeuce on Jan 23, 2012 6:37 PM PST reply actions  

Tom Ziller's hopes hang in the balance on tonight's game.

No pressure, guys.

"If you're going to lead the orchestra, you have to turn your back on the audience." -Geoff Petrie

by AnotherStupidSN on Jan 23, 2012 6:37 PM PST reply actions  

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