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Does the Bayou Bomber bomb too much?

Let me start out by saying that I am a fan of Marcus Thornton and I like his game. There is no other player I want with the ball in the 4th qtr or taking the big shot than MT23. This is not an endorsement to trade Thornton, or bench him, just a closer look at Thornton and his impact on why the Kings are currently dead last in the league in assisted basket percentage and assists. For the Kings to get better in those areas, Thornton has to look to get his teammates the ball when the situation presents itself. Coming off a huge comeback victory, and rebirth and hope with Kieth Smart, it might seem strange to take a critical look at the ball movement, but the issues remain. The comeback was primarly lead by controlling the boards on both ends, getting out and running (a great sign moving forward, run, run, run), and the Bucks going cold on offense, but the ball movement issues remained. The comeback was outstanding, but the baskets were a ton of 1 on 1 by MT and Evans.

THE HORNETS

I dont have any inside information on why the Hornets would have traded Thornton, but I took a closer look at his 2nd and final season in the Big Easy. Thorntons shooting numbers were staggering for a player coming off the bench with CP3 controlling the ball. In 46 games, MT23 took almost 10 shots (FGA or trip to the line) per game. You might be saying, 10 shots per game, whats your point!? Heres the kicker, those shots came in 16 minutes per game, an alarmingly high rate, while getting less than 1 assist per game, thats 10 to 1 in only 16 mpg. Again, I dont have any info on the Hornets, but maybe that amount of gunning at 41 percent was too much.

THE JIMMER

Jimmer has not been shooting well to start the season, no doubt. But anybody who is watching the games has seen countless times that MT and Evans ignore a wide open Jimmer, with his hand up at the 3 point line, in order to take a contested shot. It got to the point last night, during an epic comeback, while the team and crowd were going nuts, if you looked at Jimmer, he looked almost dejected from being completely ignored on offense. Jimmer was drafted 10th by the Kings for 1 reason, his ability to shoot and score points, mostly from deep. If his teammates dont look for him and get him those shots, then he is just an average backup guard. (probably below average at this point, considering his defense and his mistakes he makes jumping and passing without a plan or picking up his dribble in a double team). My point... when hes open, get him the ball, thats why hes here.

THIS SEASON

The Kings sit dead last in assist percentage and assists and the offense has been almost unwatchable at times. We just made a coaching change and lets hope that helps, but MT23 has to do his part. Thornton is a gunner, I get that and thats ok, and I also understand that we are missing a ton of open shots, where a pass was made, but no made basket, no assist. But again, Im just asking for MT to do his part, because some of his early season numbers are alarming. In 8 games, 126 fgas, plus about 15 trips to the line, is 140 shot attempts, 17.5 per game vs 13 total assists, 1.6 per game. With the current issues the Kings are having passing the ball, for the Kings to move forward and improve in this area, the Bayou Bomber has to improve on this ratio, 17.5 to 1.6 is just not good enough, not even for the Bomber. Again, I like Thorton, he is a classic 2 guard, and hes almost untouchable to criticize considering the big things hes done is his short time here. Not to mention how easy it is to go after Evans and Big Cuz's current situation, and of course Salmons ( I could write forever about how bad of an idea it was to bring back the dead fish, cant guard 3's, cant hit 3's, doesnt like to pass, is not a leader, awful attitude, bad contract, on and on, but thats another story). Lets just have the Bayou Bomber do his part and look for his teammates just a little more, GO KINGS.

(This is a FanPost from a member of the Sactown Royalty community. The views expressed come from the member, and not Sactown Royalty staff.)

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does anybody know why my paragraphs arent seperated?

i tried and tried and it kept putting them all together

by OKO on Jan 6, 2012 3:11 PM PST reply actions  

can an admin help me out here?

I have tried everything, supposed to be a new paragraph and section after the opener, THE HORNETS, THE JIMMER, THIS SEASON, etc

thanks

by OKO on Jan 6, 2012 3:21 PM PST up reply actions  

Click on the HTML tab and delete the extra HTML code

"The Spurs subliment their statistics for the good of the team" Kings Coach PW.

by bench_blob on Jan 6, 2012 3:25 PM PST up reply actions  

K, it should be changed

Is that how you wanted it?

Author of NBA Mashups. Follow me on Twitter here.

by Aykis16 on Jan 6, 2012 3:31 PM PST up reply actions  

thats pretty close

thanks Aykis, i think my cpu is the issue, thanks again for your assistance

by OKO on Jan 6, 2012 3:33 PM PST up reply actions  

In terms of playing style

In terms of the percentages and numbers this year, it’s so far a pretty small sample size. He will never be a great passer but he should go back to the norm with that and his shooting numbers. He’s likely not changing more than that though.

by wallywagon11 on Jan 6, 2012 3:19 PM PST reply actions  

Thornton's average FGA's for his seasons in the league are 18.9, 18.2, & 17.8 per 40 minutes

The 17.8 this season puts him 36th among all players in the league playing at least 20 mpg. DMC is 18th on that list at 19.2 FGA’s per 40 minutes. For all of last season, Thornton ranked 23rd in the entire NBA in FGA’s per 40 minutes at 18.4. Tyreke was 38th last season at 17.7 per 40 minutes while DeMarcus was 44th at 17.2 per 40 minutes.

For his career Thornton averages on FGA for every 2.16 minutes played. In comparason Tyreke averages 2.29 minutes per FGA. So Marcus puts up shots more often than Tyreke, although in his defense, he’s has a slightly higher FG% of 44.3% compared to Tyreke’s 43.6%.

The big difference which BB pointed out is that Thornton doesn’t get the the FT line as often as a player with that many FGA’s ususally does. So his eFG% isn’t as high as it could be. Tyreke averages 1.17 pts per FGA. Marcus averages 0.85 points per FGA.

So for as many shots as Thornton puts up per minutes played (for his career not just this season) he has a slightly higher (0.7%) FG% over Tyreke, but Tyreke produces (0.32 pts) more per FGA. And as far as I’ve seen during his stay here, Thornton is prone to put up quite a few contested shots.

And, while Thornton was putting up all those shots his assists per 40 minutes is somewhere near 1.6.

"If you don't have anything good to say, LIE" - Mom
The greatest impact player in NBA History - Tim Donaghy

by HighTops on Jan 6, 2012 10:04 PM PST up reply actions  

And, while Thornton was putting up all those shots his assists per 40 minutes is somewhere near 1.6.

Color me not surprised if that bumps up to around 2.6 assists per 40.

And yeah, he’s still going to be a gunner.

by wallywagon11 on Jan 6, 2012 10:33 PM PST up reply actions  

Agree

Thornton shoots a lot when he could have passed the ball to an open teammate

We're not talking about me and Darko in the same sentence." - Chris Webber vs KAHN!

by Kings fan22 on Jan 6, 2012 3:24 PM PST reply actions  

Well,

Thornton has the highest adjusted field goal percentage on the team (Donté Greene notwithstanding), so no, I don’t think that he shoots too much.

SACTOWN ROYALTY - Try our thick creamy shakes!

by section214 on Jan 6, 2012 4:09 PM PST reply actions  

Thornton makes me grateful that Jamal Crawford signed in Portland

Next season we need to amnesty Salmons and go after a real impact player to add to the core.

by Smills9133 on Jan 6, 2012 4:33 PM PST up reply actions  

Oh God yes

Admit your mistake GP.

by Allbenji on Jan 6, 2012 4:43 PM PST via mobile up reply actions  

Exactly

I also think that since we started really really bad, he seemed like he tried to carry the team. If I were Thorton I would probably do the same after watching Cousins shoot 32% and Tyreke having some low scoring games. My hope is that once Tyreke and Cousins hit their stride, Thorton will take a step back. Maybe only score about 20 points a game while shooting and even higher %. Jimmer developing could also help by allowing Thorton to be a 6th man and score at will against the other teams bench.

Pretty much, Thorton is the exact player that I expected when we signed him and thats a good thing.

by SharkKings49 on Jan 6, 2012 4:58 PM PST up reply actions  

would you at least like him to kick it to a wide open Jimmer for a 3?

thats the reason we have Jimmer. And you are satisfied with a 10 to 1 shot to assist ratio, or a 17.5 to 1.6 (basically the same thing).

by OKO on Jan 6, 2012 5:23 PM PST up reply actions  

I think there's been way too much focus on Jimmer on this site

Don’t get me wrong I like Jimmer but Jimmer doesn’t need to come in here & be the savior like Tyreke had to(ugh ugly sentence). Let Jimmer adapt a little to the NBA. He will find his role on the team eventually.

by Allbenji on Jan 6, 2012 5:31 PM PST via mobile up reply actions  

Right now, probably not

I like the Kings chances better with Thornton shooting than Fredette, based on what I have seen and what the numbers speak to.

You know when this becomes a viable question – when Fredette begins to knock down a higher percentage of the open shots that he is already taking.

SACTOWN ROYALTY - Try our thick creamy shakes!

by section214 on Jan 6, 2012 10:43 PM PST up reply actions  

MT23 is a scorer plain & simple

I’m fine with that. Every team needs to have a guy that will give you instant offense. Or buckets & buckets when you need them. I don’t know that he’s our long term starter but he would be a great 6th man.

I compare him to Jamal Crawford. Jamal Crawford might drive you nuts as your starter but he could be 6th man of the year on any championship caliber team in the league. He’s clutch & he is good for 20+ points any given night, even off the bench.

I remember last season wondering why the hell someone here would want Andre Miller. I just didn’t get it. Honestly I think I was wrong. I think we need a good, solid, veteran PG. Someone who could take the pressure of Reke. Beno was a great fit. Jimmer might be the guy but he’s not ready. Miller would be perfect IMO. He’s lives in the area & could retire after a season or two. Maybe even find a job within the organization afterward.

by Allbenji on Jan 6, 2012 4:17 PM PST via mobile reply actions  

Thornton is a little too inconsistent

33%, 38% and 29% from the field in 3 of our losses this season which is extremely bad coming from the guy that takes the most FGA’s on the team. He’s a career 44% shooter but only averages 0.85 pts per FGA. He’s a great clutch shooter when he’s hot, but I really see him as the spark off the bench.

And, according to 82games.com his offense doesn’t make up for his defense. SSS I know.

As a guard his assist numbers are extremely low at 1.6 per 40 Minutes while his FGA’s are at 18.5.

"If you don't have anything good to say, LIE" - Mom
The greatest impact player in NBA History - Tim Donaghy

by HighTops on Jan 6, 2012 10:12 PM PST up reply actions  

I knew it would be hard to get anybody on board with a post critical of MT

Thats why I was just using stats and asking for a minor improvement for the sake of ball movement. Also to get Jimmer some better looks, Jimmer had one 4-6 game from 3, Im just waiting for the first 7-12 type night.

I could have focused the post more on my hate for Salmons, the dead fish

by OKO on Jan 6, 2012 5:26 PM PST reply actions  

No, I agree

when he penetrates he needs to pass more often, especially when Jimmer is on the floor. The way shots aren’t going in right now it’s hard to build trust.

"Victory goes to the player who makes the next-to-last mistake."
- Chessmaster Savielly Grigorievitch Tartakower

by lietothegirls on Jan 6, 2012 5:35 PM PST up reply actions  

I just don't know why people focus so much on what a player doesn't do

Perfect players in the NBA are your top 5 players in the league. Everyone else has faults. A great coach knows how get the best out of their players & has the team as a whole play to their strengths. A good GM knows who to build around & what players fit with the center pieces. Marcus is what he is. It’s the coaches job to put him in the best position to succeed. If he can’t do that then send him to someone that needs that type of player.

by Allbenji on Jan 6, 2012 5:40 PM PST via mobile up reply actions  

the team is dead last in assist and asst percentage, by a mile

thats why i think we could get better at that. And also I am trying to focus on what Jimmer does do well. I said above, hes in the NBA and on the Kings to shoot 3s, if we dont look for him, then just play Garcia

by OKO on Jan 6, 2012 5:53 PM PST up reply actions  

He is what he is, which is a high frequency shooter who doesn't pass much

As a coach as long as I don’t have someone who can run the offense and produce more easy baskets for me, I’m going with him in my starting lineup. But, the best position for him and the team to succeed is coming off the bench as a hot shooter who can carry my 2nd unit.

He’s not a major liability on defense, but he needs to be more consistent offensively to make up for his defensive lapses. As the hot hand coming off the bench I don’t always need him to be hot if the starters are running the offense successfully.

"If you don't have anything good to say, LIE" - Mom
The greatest impact player in NBA History - Tim Donaghy

by HighTops on Jan 6, 2012 10:22 PM PST up reply actions  

I agree we need to kick out to the open guy more....

especially if he is a good shooter, just get rid of Salmons ugly attempts and get to Jmmer and we are all good..I think the trust will come and they will see Jimmer shoot more and the team get rewarded for the kick out, but Jimmer has hesitated a few times and the more senior players will take it upon themselves. Trust takes time, when it does click it might be special!

hey dipitydoo
"these arent writers, they’re fans. you want grammatic aestheticism? read the times." Rambler 80 in response to my request for use of spell check and grammar at Turf Show Times when writing an article, fanpost or fanshot.

by want2win on Jan 6, 2012 5:55 PM PST up reply actions  

i agree

I also think that Keith Smart should help alot. He already seems more likely to point out mistakes and hold players accountable than PW was. And they will listen!!

Also the uptempo style is gonna help get everybody more touches, and we look so much better in transition than in the half court.

by OKO on Jan 6, 2012 6:05 PM PST up reply actions  

Stealing this line from Kevin Pelton

Sometimes, the most important understanding of statistics is to know when they aren’t telling us anything meaningful. It’s tempting to find patterns amidst the chaos. The studies cited in Thinking, Fast and Slow indicate that it’s basically human nature to attribute to much of performance to an individual and too little to outside factors. That’s why it’s necessary to keep in mind the importance of sample size this early in the season, and sometimes even mentioning it isn’t enough.

The latter issue is why I felt the great Henry Abbott’s post on TrueHoop on Monday comparing True Shooting Percentages and shot attempts during the first week of the season was unfair. Henry was sure to mention multiple times that it’s early, but still singled out players (including Cousins) as hurting their team by shooting so much. Especially among readers who aren’t as familiar with the variability of statistics, that’s dangerous, and I think it paints statistical analysis in a bad light. Unfortunately, when those readers consider numbers that don’t match up with what they see on the court, they’re likely to determine that the problem is with the statistics and not how they’re being used.

Their conclusion? Statistics lie.

by wallywagon11 on Jan 6, 2012 5:55 PM PST up reply actions  

It has nothing to do with being critical

You’re asking if the best shooting guy on the team is shooting too much, and you think the solution is to have the 4th best shooter (to this point) shoot it more. I disagree with that.

Now, has Thornton taken some ill-advised shots? Absolutely, as has every player on the squad. But if you’re asking me who I have the most confidence in when it comes to scoring, the answer is Marcus Thornton.

SACTOWN ROYALTY - Try our thick creamy shakes!

by section214 on Jan 6, 2012 10:46 PM PST up reply actions  

If we are talking H.O.R.S.E. I'll take The Jimmer.

Thornton can create his shot, Fredette, not at this point in his career.

by betweentheeyes on Jan 6, 2012 10:59 PM PST up reply actions  

But if you’re asking me who I have the most confidence in when it comes to scoring, the answer is Marcus Thornton.

… .completely agree with this

You’re asking if the best shooting guy on the team is shooting too much, and you think the solution is to have the 4th best shooter (to this point) shoot it more

I don’t think that’s what he’s saying at all. Not all shots are created equal. A bad shot for Marcus < an open 3 for Jimmer. No matter what their shooting percentages say today. Jimmer IS going to start knocking them down at a higher rate.

The original post is a bit of a nitpick at Marcus and I think OKO admitted so. If you watch the games (as I know you do) you can see that MT could be a BIT more of a passer. And he probably will as the season goes on.

by lchristmas on Jan 7, 2012 12:05 PM PST up reply actions  

MT was 1 for 8 last night

then made 9 out of 15 to lead comeback win. He averages most PPS (points per shot) on team so argument can be made teammates should be passing to him more, not other way.

Marcus averaged 3.4 dimes in 27 games last year and showed good passing instincts out of pick and roll. As point of comparison, Kevin Martin has averaged 2.0 assists through his career, never higher than 2.7.

It is fair to expect Marcus to average 3 to 4 assists per game, and once shooting as team improves and legitimate offense installed, this is reasonable expectation.

Whether he should pass more is a question I answer independent of statistics:
(1) How’s his shot selection?
(2) Are there superior alternatives (teammates)?

Answer:
(1) Good. Guards should not take contested long range jumpers, or long 3s early in the shot clock. Marcus shows good patience most of the time. Does he force every once a while? Maybe, but it is not inordinate; his shot selection overall is very good. If he can draw more fouls, even better.
(2) No, not really. Marcus is currently our most consistent scorer.

Bottom line:
Keep doing what you are doing, MT.

"The Spurs subliment their statistics for the good of the team" Kings Coach PW.

by bench_blob on Jan 6, 2012 6:39 PM PST reply actions  

I would like to add

I know you purposefully wrote “I answer independent of statistics” but techincally the statistics don’t really even say different. It’s simply too small a sample size regardless and it is baring out that there aren’t even better options.

by wallywagon11 on Jan 6, 2012 6:52 PM PST up reply actions  

I disagree about his shot selection

he takes too many contested shots, and you seem to be using his PPS as a argument when you know it’s a small sample size.

Thornton has a career average PPS of 0.85. Tyreke has a career average PPS of 1.17. Now if we were to need a 3pt game winner with seconds to play, I’ll agree that Marcus is the better choice. But, if we had to pick one to take the most shots per game Tyreke is the better choice. And, right now Marcus is the shot leader at 2.2 per minute played to 2.5 for Tyreke. So, while the difference isn’t that great, I’d rather see the FGA’s reversed.

Neither is exceptional at running the offense and creating for others. So, my question to you is “If we had a Star PG and a Star SF, whom would you have come off the bench Tyreke or Marcus?”

"If you don't have anything good to say, LIE" - Mom
The greatest impact player in NBA History - Tim Donaghy

by HighTops on Jan 6, 2012 10:36 PM PST up reply actions  

Jimmer

Jimmer was drafted because he is marketable. He’s a white guy who has a little potential and can sell tickets, not for his ability to shoot and score points. I don’t mean to sound pessimistic, but I honestly think I Thomas is a better point guard. He plays better defense, he’s more athletic, and he can distribute the ball better without the turnovers.

by HighSockWizard on Jan 6, 2012 10:53 PM PST reply actions  

valid take. I don't think that was the sole reason he was drafted so high (by the Maloofs) but to deny it is/was a factor is naive.

How much of a factor we can argue about without resolution. I will also say that there was also some negative bias placed on Jimmer on the draft boards for the same reasons and why many had him going lower..

by betweentheeyes on Jan 6, 2012 11:04 PM PST up reply actions  

his popularity may have been a factor

but this

not for his ability to shoot and score points

is pure bullshit. if he can’t play GP might be out on his ass. you think the crowds are going to break down the doors for a little white guy who can’t play, on a losing team. gimme a break.

i’d love to see a poll of the black guards that jimmer destroyed in college (while knowing he had no support at all) whether he can play or not

he hasn’t turned into pete maravich yet in his first 8 NBA games. lets declare him an overrated white schmuck.

by lchristmas on Jan 7, 2012 11:59 AM PST up reply actions  

totally disagree

jimmer without a doubt was drafted because of his shooting ability.why do you think he was the leading scorer last year in college? To say he was drafted because he is white is ignorant. You can see the effort the teams put into guarding him because of this very reason. This is a great thing because it spreads out the opponents defense.One reason his stats are lower right now is because of him making that transition and learning as an NBA player. He was also a volume shooter in college and his stats shoot up when he is able to take more shots.Once he gains more experience and his teammates put more trust in him I guarantee he’ll shoot more and his percentages will go up.

by mmarcum on Jan 7, 2012 1:32 PM PST up reply actions  

bayou bulldog>bayou bomber

"Bobby Jackson sends a dagger DEEP into the heart of Texas!" Kevin Harlan

by Loyalty2Royalty on Jan 7, 2012 7:31 AM PST reply actions  

At times, you can just tell that Marcus will get his shot off no matter what.

Dribble, dribble, ignore wide open Jimmer waving hands, dribble.. long jumper. Or put head down, drive towards the paint and put up a floater, ignoring wide open teammates who’s defenders left to help contest the shot.

by zo0m on Jan 7, 2012 9:39 AM PST reply actions  

Thornton

I guess everyone has a different take. The post was designed to show that Thornton has been part of the issue on the teams overall last of assists and assist rate. Im not saying he isnt our best scorer, because he is. But the numbers suggest his shots to assists is contributing to the teams overall lack of passing, and also if you just watch the games MT has shown he doesnt like to pass.

If the team was middle of the road in assists and everyone was making shots and we had a PG averaging 9 apg, Thornton could have the exact same numbers and it would be great. I guess a post that some people take as a ‘shot’ at our best scorer and fan favorite will draw some reaction, but how about this…

Trade Salmons, cut Salmons, pretend his uniform got lost in the wash, sorry no uniform John, cant play today. Hes not your boy Keith, you dont have to play him

by OKO on Jan 8, 2012 11:33 AM PST reply actions  

Short answer, yes

Long answer, he’s not being used correctly. I see him more as a 6th man “instant offense” type of guy ala Bobby Jackson, Jason Terry, etc. Especially on this team. Evans, Salmons, Thornton on the floor at the same time should never happen. There’s only one ball on the court, after all!

by deadenddude on Jan 9, 2012 12:20 PM PST reply actions  

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