I am no PookeyGuru. I'm really not qualified for this by any means, but the conversation on the Hawes trade being a precursor to what we should do with Evans got me to thining. In the past 10 years, how many players have been traded from the team that drafted them on the rookie contract only to go to greater things with their next team. Also, how many of those players were complete flops? I'm only going to deal with Lottery picks, because that's what we're talking about right now. I also am looking at players traded in the first 4 years of their contracts, because that's where Tyreke Evans lies. The results were not exactly pretty.
2002 #4 Drew Gooen: traded by Memphis, with Gordan Giricek, to the Orlando Magic for Mike Miller, RyanHumphrey, a future first-round draft pick and a future second-round draft pick after his first season. Drew Gooden ended up having his best three seasons with Chicago, Cleveland and LAC averaging around 14 ppg and 9 rpg. He never became special, but was certainly serviceable.
2002#5 Nikoloz Tskitishvili: Tskitishvili was traded to Golden State along with Rodney White, in exchange for Eduardo Nájera, Luis Flores, and a 2007** future first-round pick. He was a bust with career averages of 3 ppg and 2 rpg.
2002#8 Chris Wilcox: Wilcox was traded on February 14, 2006, to the Seattle SuperSonics in exchange for Vladimir Radmanović. He didn’t do much in LA with his best numbers in season 3 being 8ppg and 4 rpg. However, in Seattle he had 3 good seasons always right around 13-14ppg and 7-8rpg.
2002 #10 Caron Butler: July 14, 2004: Traded by Miami along with Lamar Odom, Brian Grant, a future first-round draft pick and a future second-round draft pick to the Los Angeles Lakers for Shaquille O'Neal. Butler actually was an awesome rookie averaging 15 ppg, 5 rpg 3apg and 2 steals. The trade worked well for both teams as Miami got a title out of Shaq and Caron went on to have a solid career, topping out with Washington getting 19-21ppg, 6-7.5rpg and always around 2 steals a game.
2002 #12 Melvin Ely: After two seasons in Los Angeles with limited playing time, Ely was traded by the Clippers along with teammate Eddie House on July 14, 2004 to the Charlotte Bobcats for two second-round draft picks in 2005 and 2006. Ely didn’t do anything in LA, but had one nice season as a reserve for the Bobs with 9.4 ppg and 4.9rpg.
2003 #2 Darko Milicic: On February 15, 2006, just prior to the NBA's All-Star break, Miličić was traded, along with point guard Carlos Arroyo, to the Orlando Magic for Kelvin Cato and a first-round pick in the 2007 NBA Draft (Rodney Stuckey). Darko literally did nothing in Detroit for 3 years, and went to do nothing. His career highlight was being compared to Chris Webber by David Kahn.
2003 #8 TJ Ford: Ford was traded from Milwaukee to Toronto for Charlie Villinuava. He improved, marginally in Toronto, but never played a full season, and only topped 55 games twice over the rest of his career.
2003 #9 Michael Sweetney: he was traded to the Chicago Bulls on October 4, 2005, alongside Tim Thomas and Jermaine Jackson, for Eddy Curry and Antonio Davis. Sweetney was out of the league by season 4, and was actually better for NY than for Chicago, but only slightly.
2003 #13 Marcus Banks:, January 26, 2006: Traded by Boston Celtics along with Ricky Davis, Mark Blount, Justin Reed and two future second-round draft picks to the Minnesota Timberwolves for Wally Szczerbiak, Michael Olowokandi, Dwayne Jones and a future first-round draft pick. He had one decent season for ‘Sota 12ppg 5apg and then never was much more after that.
2004 #8 Rafael Araujo: Araújo was traded to the Utah Jazz with an undisclosed amount of money for Kris Humphries and Robert Whaley..His career was pretty pedestrian but he got career highs in Points and Rebounds (both of 14) in separate games against our very own Kings!
2004 #10 Luke Jackson: Cleveland traded Jackson, along with an undisclosed amount of cash, to the Boston Celtics in return for center Dwayne Jones. He was a bust in Cleveland, and out of it.
2004 #13 Sebastian Telfair: Telfair was traded twice on his Rookie Contract. (Portland to Boston, Boston to ‘Sota). He was about the same on all teams with about 9ppg and 3-6apg through his best seasons.
2004 #14 Kris Humphries: He was traded from UT to TOR on his rookie contract, but never really realized his potential until he Reached NJ in 2009, and he just finished his best statistical year.
2005 #7 Charlie Villanueva: Villanueva was traded to the Milwaukee Bucks for point guard T. J. Ford as mentioned above. He has been pretty solid his whole career with double digit points, and 6ish rpg. He was better as a younger player, but didn’t change dramatically after the trade.
2005 #8 Channing Frye: June of 2007, Traded by New York along with Steve Francis and a future second-round draft pick to the Portland Trail Blazers for Zach Randolph, Dan Dickau, Fred Jones and draft rights of 53rd pick Demetris Nichols. Frye was OK in NY, awful in Portland, and then has gone back to being average in PHX
2005 #9 Ike Diogu:. On January 17, 2007, Diogu, whom Larry Bird called the "gem" of the deal, was traded to the Indiana Pacers along with teammates Mike Dunleavy, Jr., Troy Murphy, and Keith McLeod for Stephen Jackson, Al Harrington, Sarunas Jasikevicius, and Josh Powell. He’s been so-so everywhere, but we know the ladies love him. J
2006 #3 Adam Morrison. On February 7, 2009, Morrison, along with Shannon Brown, was traded to the Los Angeles *akers for Vladimir Radmanović. He won NBA championships with [Redacted] in 2009 and 2010, but didn’t do anything for them. He was actually pretty ok in Charlotte, and never saw the floor in LA.
2006 #4, Tyrus Thomas: On February 18, 2010, he was traded to the Charlotte Bobcats for Ronald "Flip" Murray, Acie Law, and a future first round draft pick. He played better for Charlotte in his first full year with the team, but not in his second (this year).
2006#5 Sheldon Willliams. J Heh.
2006#7 Randy Foye: On June 23, 2009, Foye, along with Mike Miller, was traded to the Washington Wizards for Oleksiy Pecherov, Etan Thomas, Darius Songaila, and a first round draft pick. Foye actually played worse after he was traded.
2006#13 Thabo Seflosha: On February 19, 2009, the trade deadline, Sefolosha was traded by the Bulls to the Oklahoma City Thunder for Denver's 2009 first-round draft pick, which Chicago used to draft Taj Gibson.Thabo has done a little better for OKC than for the Bulls, but has tapered off every year since being traded.
2007#5 Jeff Green: Traded at the end of his rookie contract, and wasn’t as productive in Boston. Sad situation for him with his heart problem, but OKC doesn’t miss him on the court.
2007 #6 Yi Jianlian: June 26, 2008, Yi was traded along with Bobby Simmons to the New Jersey Nets for Richard Jefferson. The Chairman did better in New Jersey, but has not really stuck anywhere. He hasn’t been missed by the team that drafted him.
2007 #8 Brandan Wright: On February 23, 2011, Wright was traded to the New Jersey Nets along with Dan Gadzuric in exchange for Troy Murphy and a second round pick. He’s been a glue guy for Dallas, but hasn’t been any better for the Mavs (he was unproductive in NJ) than he was for the Dubs who drafted him.
2007 #10, Spencer Hawes, outlined in Great Detail by Aykis
2007 #11 Acie Law, traded twice on his rookie contract and has been "meh" everywhere.
2007 #14 Al Thornton: On February 17, 2010, Thornton was traded from the Los Angeles Clippers to the Washington Wizards as part of a three-team, six-player trade that sent Antawn Jamison from Washington to the Cleveland Cavaliers, Žydrūnas Ilgauskas, a 2010 first round pick and the rights to Emir Preldžič from Cleveland to Washington, Drew Gooden from Washington to Los Angeles, and Sebastian Telfair from Los Angeles to Cleveland. Thornton played much better in LAC than he has for his next teams (Wiz and Dubs).
Every other player traded from here on out is a victim of SSS. Michael Beasley, Eric Gordon, Danielo GallinariHasheem Thabeet, Jonny Flynn, Derrick Favors, and Xavier Henry are others who have been traded.
So what does it all mean? The good news for us is that most of the players traded ended up bringing a good return or doing noticeably worse for their later teams. However, those traded had generally not produced with their current teams. Other teams bought low because they were still lottery picks, and hoped they could make something where other teams had failed before. the vast majority of the time this wasn't the case.
There's just one other caveat. Evans was the Rookie of the Year. I know that's not a guarantee. I get that. I do, however think that his production far outstrips all but maybe one or two guys on this list. Gallinari and Beasley were moved for Super-Stars (or the cap space for one in Beasley's Case). I think there's space for Tyreke Evans on this team, and I think we just need to build around him. If we make him and Cousins the center pieces of our offense and build around them, I think it won't be too long before we're competitive again.
What do you think? Am I being a homer? Are we going to look like Golden State if we trade a Rookie of the Year for pennies on the dollar (Richmond and Webber)? Are the most common sentiments of only trading him for a top pick or Rondo/J-Smoove type true, or is that too high of a standard?