FanPost

DALT's 2012, NBA DRAFT SYSTEM - PLAYER SCORES

From the FanPosts, Dalt99's highly recommended annual Draft Rankings - Aykis

Well...whew. Here we go with another NBA draft for our SACRAMENTO KINGS!
Let's see where the players rank.

Sorry again for the lateness of the posting. I wasn't able to watch as much college basketball this year during the season, so I had to watch some video as well as research more after the season. Anyhow...

Here Are the Results:

Rank Player-Class College Position Score
1 Anthony Davis-F Kentucky C 95.5
2 Thomas Robinson-J Kansas F/C 91.5
3 Royce White-So Iowa State PF 89.5
4 Michael Kidd-Gilchrist-F Kentucky F 89
5 Kendall Marshall-So North Carolina PG 89
6 Bradley Beal-F Florida G 88.5
7 Tyler Zeller-Sr North Carolina F/C 88.5
8 John Henson-J North Carolina F/C 87.5
9 Draymond Green-Sr Michigan State F 87.5
10 Dion Waiters-So Syracuse G 87.5
11 Tony Wroten-F Washington G 87
12 Jared Sullinger-So Ohio State F/C 86
13 Harrison Barnes-So North Carolina SF 85.5
14 Damian Lillard-J Weber State G 85.5
15 Evan Fournier-E France SG 85.5
16 Will Barton-So Memphis SF 85
17 Terrence Ross-So Washington SG/F 84.5
18 Russ Smith-So Louisville PG 84.5
19 Terrence Jones-F Kentucky F 84
20 Tornike Shengelia-E Belgium F 84
21 Furkan Aldemir-E Turkey PF 84
22 Andre Drummond-F Connecticut C 83.5
23 Jae Crowder-Sr Marquette SF 83.5
24 Moe Harkless-F St. John's F 83
25 Scott Machado-Sr Iona PG 83
26 Jeremy Lamb-So Connecticut SG 82.5
27 Austin Rivers-F Duke SG 82.5
28 Jeff Taylor-Sr Vanderbilt SF 82.5
29 Meyers Leonard-So Illinois C 81
30 Kris Joseph-(Sr) Syracuse SF 81
31 Quincy Miller-F Baylor SF 81
32 Marquis Teague-F Kentucky PG 81
33 JaMychal Green-Sr Alabama PF 81
34 Tony Mitchell-(J) Alabama SF 81
35 Maalik Wayns-J Villanova PG 81
36 Jared Cunningham-J Oregon State G 80.5
37 Rick Jackson-Sr Syracuse F/C 80.5
38 Bernard James-Sr Florida State F/C 80.5
39 J'Covan Brown-J Texas PG 80.5
40 Doron Lamb-(So) Kentucky G 79.5
41 Tyshawn Taylor-Sr Kansas PG 79
42 Fab Melo-So Syracuse C 79
43 Khris Middleton-(J) Texas A&M SF 78.5
44 Miles Plumlee-Sr Duke F/C 78.5
45 Henry Sims-Sr Georgetown F/C 78.5
46 John Jenkins-J Vanderbilt G 78
47 Festus Ezeli-(Sr) Vanderbilt C 77.5
48 Andrew Nicholson-Sr St. Bonaventure PF 77.5
49 LaRon Dendy-Sr Mid. Tennessee PF 76.5
50 Kevin Jones-Sr West Virginia PF 76.5
51 Reeves Nelson-(J) UCLA PF 76.5
52 Jordan Theodore-Sr Seton Hall PG 76.5
53 Arnett Moultrie-J Mississippi State F/C 76
54 Mike Scott-Sr Virginia PF 76
55 Kyle O'Quinn-Sr Norfolk State F/C 75
56 Kim English-Sr Missouri SG 75
57 Perry Jones-So Baylor PF 74.5
58 William Buford-(Sr) Ohio State G 72.5
59 Darius Johnson-Sr Marquette G 72
60 Orlando Johnson-(Sr) UC S. Barbara G 71.5
61 Herb Pope-Sr Seton Hall PF 71.5
62 Garret Stutz-Sr Wichita State C 69.5
63 Tu Holloway-(Sr) Xavier PG 69.5
64 Delvon Roe-(J) Michigan State PF 68.5
65 Kostas Papanikolaou-E Greece F 68.5
66 John Shurna-Sr Northwestern SF 68.5
67 Tomislav Zubcic-E Croatia F/C 68.5
68 Kent Bazemore-Sr Old Dominion SG/F 68
69 Drew Gordon-Sr New Mexico F/C 67.5
70 Ramone Moore-Sr Temple G 67.5
71 Mitchell Watt-Sr Buffalo F/C 66.5
72 Tomas Satoransky-E Spain G 64.5
73 Alex Young-Sr IUPUI SG/F 64
74 Robert Sacre-Sr Gonzaga C 62
75 Dee Bost-Sr Mississippi State PG 61.5
76 Yancy Gates-(Sr) Cincinnati PF 61
77 Marcus Denmon-(Sr) Missouri SG 61
78 Kevin Murphy-Sr Tennessee Tech SG/F 60.5
79 Darius Miller-Sr Kentucky SG/F 60.5
80 Robbie Hummel-Sr Purdue F 59.5
81 Hollis Thompson-J Georgetown SF 59
82 Cameron Moore-Sr UAB F/C 59
83 Michael Glover-Sr Iona PF 56.5
84 Josep Franch-E Spain PG 54
85 Justin Greene-(Sr) Kent State PF 54
86 Leon Radosevic-E Italy F/C 53
87 Quincy Acy-Sr Baylor PF 51.5
Score Descriptions:

Here is a quick refresher. These are the definitions of what the different score levels represent. The player score represents the POTENTIAL of each player based on their college stats and some other factors:

100+: Superstar/MVP - The best players of all time. These are the franchise players that will be the ones you hear in the MVP talk at the end of the year. Dr. J. (104), Shaq (103.5), Michael Jordan (102.5), Olajuwon (102.5), Allen Iverson (102.5), Charles Barkley (101) and Chris Paul (100) are among the players to score in this group.

98.5-100: All-Star/Superstar - Players in this rank will usually become multiple all-stars and occasionally even superstars. Kevin Durant (99), Scottie Pippen (99), Chris Webber (99), Clyde Drexler (99), Kyrie Irving (99), Kevin Love (98.5), and DeMarcus Cousins (98.5) are among the players to score in this elite group.

96.5-98: All-Star - Players in this rank will usually become multiple all-stars but rarely all-star starters. Paul Pierce (97.5), Elton Brand (97.5), Carlos Boozer (97), and Brandon Roy (96.5) are among the players to score in this group.

93.5-96: Solid Starter/All-Star - A player in this rank should be a solid starter for his whole career and about 30% of these players will make at least one appearance as an all-star at some point in their career. Mitch Richmond (96), Rasheed Wallace (96), Carmelo Anthony (96), Mike Bibby (95.5), Al Horford (95.5), James Harden (94.5), Rajon Rondo (93.5) and Gerald Wallace (93.5) are among the players to score in this group.

90.5-93: Solid Starter - The backbone of the NBA. These players usually won't make it to an all-star game (about 5% do) but most (over 75%) have solid NBA careers. Joakim Noah (93), Danny Granger (92.5), Ben Gordon (92), Rodney Stuckey (92), Lionel Simmons (91.5), Kevin Martin (91), and Paul Millsap (90.5) are among the players to score in this group.

86.5-90: Fringe Starter/Solid Starter - The elite of the NBA bench players. These players will usually be the first players off the bench for good teams or solid starters on poorer teams without a star at the position they play. They usually start 36-67% of their career games. Troy Murphy (90), Marcus Camby (89.5), Terrence Williams (89.5), Jason Thompson (89), Jimmer Fredette (88), and Isaiah Thomas (87) are among the players to score in this group.

82.5-86: 6th Man/Fringe Starter - The lunch pail types of the NBA. These players are mostly the backups to the starters and will usually start about 25% of the time in their career. They are usually very good players with limitations or average players that excel in a specific area or two. They may be starters on a poor team, on a team that needs that player's special skill (such as Earl Watson, 84.5) or because they are filling in for an injured starter. Carl Landry (84.5), Brandon Bass (83), Scot Pollard (83), Channing Frye (82.5), and Ekpe Udoh (82.5) are among the players to score in this group.

77.5-82: Career Reserve/6th Man - These are the energy guys of the NBA. These players almost never become career starters in the NBA. Almost two-thirds of the players drafted from this rank will be out of the league in 3 years while the rest will be able to stick and have long careers bringing some needed energy off the bench. Bobby Jackson (81.5), Kenny Thomas (81.5), Trevor Ariza (81), Daniel Gibson (79.5) and Eddie House (79.5) are among the players to score in this group.

72.5-77: Career Reserve - These are the specialists (at best) of the NBA. About only 5% of players drafted from this rank go on to start more than 5% of NBA games they play in and over half never even make it to sign a contract. Most of the players in this rank that go on to have long careers in the NBA are specialists - players that excel in a key area that a team might look for to fill holes or to use in certain situations such as a 3-pt marksman (JJ Redick, 73.5 and Steve Novak, 72.5), a shot blocker (Brian Skinner, 75.5), a banger/toughman (Eduardo Najera, 75.5) or a defensive specialist such as Randy Brown (74). Lawrence Funderburke (76.5), Dahntay Jones (73.5) and Mikki Moore (72.5) are among the players to score in this group.

67.5-72: 12th Man/Career Reserve - The bench warmers and injured reserve of the NBA. Over 90% of players ranked in this group never sign an NBA contract. Similar to the rank above, the only players that make a long NBA career are specialists or the hustle/scrappers. Mateen Cleaves (71), Maurice Evans (69.5), Ronnie Price (68.5) are among the very few players to make it from this group.

62.5-67: Fringe Player/12th Man - Only a handful of college players that find themselves in this rank have ever played a handful of games in the NBA. Duane Causwell (64), Daniel Ewing (64.5), Ryan Hollins (64.5) and Jermareo Davidson (63.5) are among the tiny few in this rank that have made it onto an NBA court.

0-62: Summer Camp Filler/Should Go Undrafted - A player in this range should not be drafted. Any GM that does draft someone in this rank should be punished.

OK, I want to quickly comment on a couple of players. (click on their names for a highlight video that does a great job of breaking down each player’s strengths and weaknesses.)
Unfortunately, it doesn’t look like there are any DeMarcus Cousins’ or Tyreke Evans’ looking to fall to #5 this year. I was hoping that Andre Drummond (83.5) would score higher but he is not even in the 6th man/Solid Starter rank. I know he is young and could blossom in time. I think that a couple players of worth may be available at #5. Namely,

Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (89) Freshman
One of the better defenders in the NCAA at small forward. 6’7" with a 7’ wingspan. Very athletic and has a VERY high motor and is said to be a hard worker in practices. Solid one-on-one defender. On offense, he likes to slash to the basket and go one-on-one. Not a great shooter (25% from three, 49% overall) but knows how to play on offense and fit in. Petrie will like that he can handle the ball fairly well and is a pretty good rebounder (9.5/40 min) for a small forward. He’s an 18 year old freshman with potential. If the Kings pick him, he won’t be coming in ready to be a starter in the NBA.

Royce White (89.5) Sophomore
He may not have NBA athleticism or NBA height as a 6’8" power forward, but he has BIG TIME strength and great ball-handling ability and passing for his position. He is good in the pick and roll. Of all the prospects coming into the draft this year, he ranks 3rd in assists per 40 minutes with 6.3. That’s the highest rank for a power forward in a decade. He runs the floor very well for his size. Can even grab a rebound and run the fast break, putting on a crossover and dishing to the open man. Major weakness is that he is VERY turnover prone at 4.9 per 40. In the NBA that should be cut down a bit, since he won’t be handling the ball every possession, which in turn, takes away from his strengths as a passer. He also is not a great defender and has some issues with work ethic. Also is a below average outside shooter but does have the ability to shoot the three. I think that even though he scores well on my system, he is going to have a difficult time reaching his potential. He will work best on a team that uses their bigs in pick and rolls and on the high-post. Utah could be a good fit. I don’t see him being drafted by the Kings even though Petrie LOVES big guys who can dribble, pass and rebound. Problem is, he can’t also shoot. Damn.

Harrison Barnes (85.5) Sophomore
Like Drummond, I really wanted his score to be higher. I was a bit surprised he could only muster an 85.5. Main reason, is that he is really just a shooter. He is a GOOD shooter but not a great shooter. He shot 36% from 3-pt range, but what’s worse is he only shot 44% from the field which is not great for a 6’8" small forward. Compare that with 6’7" Reggie Miller who shot 55% in his sophomore year at UCLA and Glen Rice, who shot 56.2%. Not a guy who can get to the basket. He is better as a spot-up shooter, has almost no ability to set up teammates and is an average rebounder.

Bradley Beal (88.5) Freshman
I think he may be the best NBA prospect as a shooter this year even though he only shot 44% FG and 33.7% 3-pt for the season. Even though he only received an 88.5 score, I think that he has a great chance to be a solid starter (90.5-93). In his last five games, he shot 58.5% FG and 46.2% 3-pt. He has a quick release and is very athletic. Has NBA range out to 25 feet. He could be a good pick for the Kings as a back-up shooting guard behind Marcus Thornton. If Tyreke can master the small forward position then Beal would give the Kings a solid 1-2 punch at the 1, 2 and 3 positions with Thomas/Fredette, Thornton/Beal and Evans/Williams respectively.

Thanks for reading. All questions or comments are appreciated.

For anyone who is interested, here are the links to the previous years system results (some of the player scores have changed since then, since my system is ever-evolving and I make minor tweaks each year. Each year the tweaks are fewer. In fact, this year there were none!):

2011 NBA Draft Scores
2010 NBA Draft Scores
2009 NBA Draft Scores
2008 NBA Draft Scores

(This is a FanPost from a member of the Sactown Royalty community. The views expressed come from the member, and not Sactown Royalty staff.)

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