This is the second in a three part series in which I analyze the 2012 NBA Draft by position. As a source I used DraftExpress's mock draft and for statistics I used both DraftExpress and Sports-Reference. All statistics used are for the prior college basketball season. Because of the lack of advanced statistic information and difference in playstyle, I have only included NCAA players in this analysis. For information such as player position, school, height, etc. please click on the player's name and it will take you to their DraftExpress page with all that information.
The Kings have had a big hole at Small Forward ever since Ron Artest was traded. Kings fans have been clamoring for a new Small Forward ever since, with none of the replacement options filling the void. Last year, fans got excited because we traded for James Johnson. Yeah. It's been that bad.
This year's draft crop is kind of short on quality wings, especially ones who could actually play SF in the NBA. A few of these prospects played SF in college but will likely be SGs in the NBA.
Among these prospects, two players stand out: Victor Oladipo and Otto Porter. Oladipo was freakishly efficient in his Junior year at Indiana, finishing nearly 60% of his shots. His True Shooting % was 67.1%, which for a guard is amazing. Oladipo isn't much of a go-to scorer but he's got a reputation as a fantastic defender as well (and his 4.6% steal rate is remarkable). His Three Point Percentage really improved in that third year, but it was on only 68 attempts. I've seen Oladipo compared to Mitch Richmond, but he reminds me a lot more of Tony Allen, except not crazy and with a much better offensive game.
Porter is the best true SF in the draft. He's got the perfect size for a SF, is an excellent shooter, rebounds very well for a wing, and also can pass well, with only Tony Snell producing a higher assist rate. Porter's not as good of a defender or athlete as Oladipo but he's still good.
One player that came into college with a lot of hype is Shabazz Muhammad. Muhammad was projected by many to be a top 3 pick in this draft coming out of High School. Needless to say, things have changed. First off, Muhammad wasn't particularly good at UCLA. Known as a scorer, Muhammad was more of a chucker. Muhammad has the highest usage rate of all the wings and also the lowest True Shooting %. He features one of the lowest rebound rates and easily the lowest assist rate. Then there is the fact that Muhammad and his family have been lying about his age. No thanks.
Of the other wing prospects, Reggie Bullock is the best shooter, and might be a good get in the second round. Glen Rice Jr. chose to go to the NBA D-League after three years at Georgia Tech. He did pretty well there, and while he's not as good as his father, he's a very good all-around player and a good shooter. He'd be a good get in the mid-to-late first round.
Again for clarification, quite a few of these players only played SF in college and will likely be SGs in the NBA. Also, considering Porter is likely to be gone by the 7th pick, I don't foresee the Kings solving their SF problem in this draft.
Coming Tomorrow: Bigs