Analyzing the 2013 Free Agents: Small Forwards

USA TODAY Sports

This is the second in a three part series where we analyze the 2013 NBA Free Agent market by position. Next up, the Small Forwards.

Earlier today we talked about the guards, and I had to add a disclaimer that when looking at the guards I wasn't considering fit or need simply because we don't know how this roster would look in a few months. There's no need for such a disclaimer with the Small Forward position.

The Kings have needed a Small Forward since Ron Artest left in 2008. The position has been so bad for Sacramento that we've seen attempts to put players like Jason Thompson and Carl Landry at the position.

The Kings weren't in a position to take an impact Small Forward in this year's draft, but there are definitely some options available in Free Agency or by trade this year. I don't expect Pete D'Alessandro to take his time fixing Sacramento's weakest position. It also won't take much to do it; few teams, if any, have fielded a worse wing corps than the Sacramento Kings the past few seasons.

As a source I used ESPN's list of 2013 NBA Free Agents and for statistics I used Basketball-Reference. This list of Free Agents only includes players that were on a teams roster at the end of last season. Also, please keep in mind that while I will use John Hollinger's PER (Player Efficiency Rating), this is not a be-all, end-all stat. There are several deficiencies, particularly that it is not a reliable measure for a player's defensive acumen, so keep that in mind.

Clicking on a Player's name will direct you to their Basketball-Reference page. Player Age is how old they will be at the start of next season.

(R) = Restricted

Name

Age

PER

TS%

ORB%

DRB%

AST%

STL%

BLK%

TOV%

USG%

Kyle Korver

32

13.9

0.637

1.2

13.5

9.9

1.6

1.3

9.9

14.5

Josh Smith

28

17.7

0.501

5.8

21.3

20.9

1.8

3.6

14.6

26.7

Omri Casspi (R)

25

12.9

0.486

4.4

22.7

8.8

2.6

1.9

11.0

17.7

Luke Walton

33

11.3

0.453

4.9

15.2

28.7

2.5

1.2

24.0

13.0

Corey Brewer

27

14.7

0.506

3.1

9.9

9.5

3.0

0.9

9.4

23.4

Andre Iguodala

30

15.2

0.520

3.4

13.5

22.4

2.5

1.5

17.1

18.8

Corey Maggette

34

7.9

0.489

2.2

9.1

11.4

1.2

0.6

14.9

20.2

Sam Young

28

7.5

0.464

4.3

15.3

9.4

1.2

0.9

16.5

13.2

Matt Barnes

33

15.5

0.566

6.5

14.5

9.2

2.1

2.6

11.0

18.1

Earl Clark

26

12.4

0.510

6.8

19.1

7.4

1.3

2.3

12.9

15.7

Austin Daye (R)

25

12.9

0.554

2.7

18.8

10.1

1.1

2.6

11.5

17.1

Mike Dunleavy

33

13.6

0.577

1.7

14.9

11.5

1.0

1.3

11.7

17.3

Andrei Kirilenko

32

17.6

0.590

5.6

15.1

14.4

2.4

2.4

15.1

17.4

Al-Farouq Aminu

23

13.7

0.519

7.9

26.2

7.8

2.4

2.1

17.8

14.6

Chris Copeland (R)

29

16.8

0.583

4.5

11.9

5.7

1.0

1.2

10.7

25.3

Ronnie Brewer

28

10.0

0.416

5.7

13.5

8.6

2.7

0.6

7.7

12.7

Dorell Wright

28

16.0

0.551

2.6

17.0

13.1

1.8

1.5

8.8

18.7

Wesley Johnson

26

10.3

0.485

2.5

12.4

5.9

1.2

1.4

10.4

21.4

Luke Babbitt

24

9.4

0.509

2.4

19.7

6.2

1.0

0.5

8.4

16.4

James Johnson

26

10.2

0.442

6.2

12.9

10.2

2.4

4.5

17.9

19.3

DeMarre Carroll

27

15.5

0.535

9.1

10.8

8.7

2.8

1.7

8.5

16.4

Martell Webster

27

13.9

0.601

2.7

12.2

10.7

1.2

0.6

11.1

16.9

Let's look at the few big names first: Josh Smith, Andre Iguodala and Andrei Kirilenko. Getting any of them would require Sacramento to free up cap space they currently do not have. An amnesty of John Salmons would do it, as would letting Tyreke Evans walk.

Josh Smith is someone who I used to be a fan of but am not so sure about anymore. He can play both the 3 and the 4, is incredibly athletic, and provides defense and rebounding. I don't like his attitude however, and he's very inefficient offensively. I remember a few years ago there was talk that Smith was becoming more efficient because he stopped shooting threes. The last three years he's shot more threes than ever, and only converted 30.2% of them. Smith isn't worth the money or the expense of getting him, even if he makes the Kings better.

Andre Iguodala on the other hand is someone Kings fans have been clamoring for for years and now he's finally available as a Free Agent. Iguodala is one of the best perimeter defenders in the league, and he gives you some scoring, rebounding and passing as well. One thing Iguodala is not is a good shooter, and one worrisome trend in his shooting stats has been that his Free Throw Percentage has taken a tumble the last two seasons, to the point that he shot just 57.4% from the line last season. I worry that giving Iguodala a big contract as he is on the downswing of his prime could be a big risk. Take a look at Gerald Wallace for example; Just a few seasons ago, Wallace was seen as an asset worth trading a lottery pick for and getting a big money extension. Since then, his production has fallen off a cliff. Iguodala hasn't had near the injury history of Gerald Wallace though so I don't expect him to suffer the same kind of drop-off. I'm not holding out too much hope on the Kings signing Iggy though, there are other teams he'd likely see as a better fit at this time in his career (like say the Spurs, who have cap space). D'Alessandro will be very familiar with Iggy from his time in Denver.

As of this writing, Andrei Kirilenko has yet to choose whether to opt in or out of his $10.2 million option for next season. If he opts in, this is a moot point. But should he opt out, he's a prospect that could definitely help thanks to his defense and all-around game. There were reports that the Kings were very close to signing him last season, but he ended up taking Minnesota's offer instead.

(UPDATE: Kirilenko has indeed opted out of his contract and will become a Free Agent)

There are several cheaper options for Sacramento to look at that would still be upgrades. By far my favorite is Dorell Wright. I've wanted Dorell Wright since it was rumored that the Warriors were looking to trade him. Philadelphia ended up getting him for a second round pick, while Sacramento went with James Johnson. Wright isn't as big as Johnson but he's a much better shooter, rebounder and passer. He's also shown that he can play defense. Wright would be a great fit on this Kings team, and he's still relatively young.

If Sacramento wants a guy who can space the floor, they can grab Kyle Korver, the best shooter in this group of guys and one of the best shooters in the history of the NBA. Korver has a career 3P% of 41.9% over 10 seasons. He's also become a decent defender, although still not great.

Corey Brewer might be a cheap option as a defender, but I'm not a big fan. Still, he's probably better than any SF we have, but he's the kind of guy the old regime would have gone for; someone that seems like a slight upgrade but still won't fix the glaring problem. I wouldn't mind him as a bench guy, just not as a starter.

Almost nobody had heard of Chris Copeland before last season, until the Knicks took a chance on the 29 year old rookie, who had been playing in Belgium for years. He proved to be a great signing. He showed a great shooting touch, making 47.9% of his shots and 42.1% of his threes. Now there wasn't much besides the scoring, but he plays with effort and works hard. His good shooting makes him a good fit with everyone.

Mike Dunleavy probably isn't an option due to his and DeMarcus Cousins' mutual dislike. Dunleavy is past his prime but he's a very sold all-around player, particularly offensively.

I have an irrational dislike for Austin Daye, but I will begrudgingly admit that he might be a good pickup for his upside. He at least can shoot and rebound well. I will not admit the same for Wesley Johnson, who was supposed to do those two things coming out of college but has woefully under-performed since setting foot in the NBA.

Coming tomorrow: the Bigs

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