2013 NBA Draft: A closer look at the international prospects

Joern Pollex

For the first time in a few years, the draft is loaded with foreign talent. We break down the strengths and weaknesses of each.

The Kings have been hit or miss with International prospects in the draft. Peja Stojakovic and Hedo Turkoglu were two of Geoff Petrie's greatest hits. Omri Casspi, not so much. This year, for the first time in a while, there's a bevy of international prospects, both in the first and second round that the Kings could target.

Below I've compiled a list of statistics and analysis for the top International prospects in the 2013 NBA Draft. Clicking a prospect's name will direct you to their Draft Express page for even more (probably certainly better) analysis.

1. Dennis Schröder, 6'2, 165 lbs, 19 yrs, PG, Germany

Projected: Early-to-Mid First Round

2012-13 Total Stats

Name GP MIN PTS 2PFG 3PFG FT OREB DREB TREB AST PF BLK STL TOV
Dennis Schröder (SU Medien) 8 256 188 44-96 19-62 43-49 4 30 34 41 20 1 18 28
Dennis Schröder (NY Phantoms) 31 767 370 82-188 41-102 83-99 21 57 78 101 60 1 28 79
Total: 39 1023 558 126-284 60-164 126-148 25 87 112 142 80 2 46 107

2012-13 Per Game Stats

Name GP MPG PPG 2PFG% 3PFG% FT% OREB DREB TREB APG PF BLK STL TOV
Dennis Schröder (SU Medien) 8 32.0 23.5 0.458 0.306 0.878 0.5 3.8 4.3 5.1 2.5 0.1 2.3 3.5
Dennis Schröder (NY Phantoms) 31 24.7 11.9 0.436 0.402 0.838 0.7 1.8 2.5 3.3 1.9 0.0 0.9 2.5
Total 39 26.2 14.3 0.444 0.366 0.851 0.6 2.2 2.9 3.6 2.1 0.1 1.2 2.7

Analysis:

Dennis Schröder is one of the most intriguing prospects, not just internationally, but in the whole draft. Schröder is a prototypical pass first Point Guard with very good athleticism to boot. While his assist numbers don't look overly impressive, keep in mind that assists are awarded far less often in Europe. For example Ricky Rubio only averaged 3.6 assists per game in his last season abroad. Now I'm not saying Schröder is as good of a passer as Rubio (he's not), but he's still quite good in that area, especially out of the Pick and Roll.

Schröder has also shown a lot of improvement on his outside shot as the year progressed. DraftExpress notes in their scouting report that as of April 23rd, he was shooting a ridiculous 53% of his catch and shoot jumpers. He does most of his offensive damage with his jumpers, as he struggles to finish around the rim, something that will need to improve considering how easily he can get to the rim with his quickness and ball-handling.

Along with his basketball skill, Schröder is blessed with excellent athleticism and a solid frame. At 6'2 he's not the tallest Point Guard, but he's got a 6'7 wingspan which helps with pressuring opposing guards.

Schröder is not without his weaknesses. He's a bit turnover prone, and as mentioned earlier struggles around the basket. He'll also need to bulk up a little bit to handle the rigors of the NBA.

2. Sergey Karasev, 6'7, 197 lbs, 19 yrs, SF, Russia

Projected: Mid First Round

2012-13 Total Stats

Name GP MIN PTS 2PFG 3PFG FT OREB DREB TREB AST PF BLK STL TOV
Sergey Karasev (Eurocup) 11 349 177 32-78 25-51 38-46 6 27 33 26 32 4 5 15
Sergey Karasev (Russia) 14 466 258 54-110 27-76 69-82 10 64 74 32 42 3 10 26
Sergey Karasev (VTB United League) 20 584 308 61-127 28-92 102-116 17 68 85 38 59 6 17 40
Total: 45 1399 743 147-315 80-219 209-244 33 159 192 96 133 13 32 81

2012-13 Per Game Stats

Name GP MPG PPG 2PFG% 3PFG% FT% OREB DREB TREB APG PF BLK STL TOV
Sergey Karasev (Eurocup) 11 31.7 16.1 0.410 0.490 0.826 0.5 2.5 3.0 2.4 2.9 0.4 0.5 1.4
Sergey Karasev (Russia) 14 33.3 18.4 0.491 0.355 0.841 0.7 4.6 5.3 2.3 3.0 0.2 0.7 1.9
Sergey Karasev (VTB United League) 20 29.2 15.4 0.480 0.304 0.879 0.9 3.4 4.3 1.9 3.0 0.3 0.9 2.0
Total 45 31.1 16.5 0.467 0.365 0.857 0.7 3.5 4.3 2.1 3.0 0.3 0.7 1.8

Analysis:

Sergey Karasev reminds me a little bit of another Euro drafted by the Sacramento Kings: Hedo Turkoglu. Like Turkoglu, Karasev possesses both an excellent shooting touch and good court vision and playmaking ability for a forward.

Karasev is most deadly in catch and shoot scenarios, although he's got a good pull-up jumper, and while he's not the best at creating shots for himself, he's good at finding his teammates when the defense concentrates on him. At just 19 years old, Karasev is already one of the top scorers in Europe. It's his defense that's more of an unknown. He plays with effort on that end, but is a little smaller than most NBA SFs, and needs to add weight.

Karasev is probably the most NBA ready of the international prospects in the draft, as his skills will allow him to contribute immediately, even if it's in a much smaller role than he was used to in Europe, at least until he develops more.

3. Rudy Gobert, 7'2, 236 lbs, 21 yrs, C, France

Projected: Early-to-Mid First Round

2012-13 Total Stats

Name GP MIN PTS 2PFG 3PFG FT OREB DREB TREB AST PF BLK STL TOV
Rudy Gobert (Eurocup) 3 31 15 6-7 0-0 3-5 0 6 6 0 5 3 2 0
Rudy Gobert (France) 27 612 228 89-121 0-3 50-71 57 88 145 11 58 50 18 41
Total: 30 643 243 95-128 0-3 53-76 57 94 151 11 63 53 20 41

2012-13 Per Game Stats

Name GP MPG PPG 2PFG% 3PFG% FT% OREB DREB TREB APG PF BLK STL TOV
Rudy Gobert (Eurocup) 3 10.3 5.0 0.857 0.000 0.600 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.7 1.0 0.7 0.0
Rudy Gobert (France) 27 22.7 8.4 0.736 0.000 0.704 2.1 3.3 5.4 0.4 2.1 1.9 0.7 1.5
Total 30 21.4 8.1 0.742 0.000 0.697 1.9 3.1 5.0 0.4 2.1 1.7 0.7 1.4

Analysis:

Rudy Gobert is an intriguing prospect simply because of his ridiculous physical attributes. Gobert measured at a legit 7'2 with a 7'8.5 wingpsan and a 9'7 standing reach. He can almost touch the rim without jumping.

As you can see from the stats above, Gobert is ridiculously efficient from the field. There's a reason for that, as almost all of his offense comes from dunks and/or putbacks. He doesn' t have a low post game to speak of and isn't strong enough to be a bully in the paint. One bright spot is that he does shoot his free throws at a decent clip for a big man, which could bode well for perhaps adding a short jumper in the future.

Defense is where Gobert's potential really lies. When you have that long of a reach, you can affect the game even if you don't block a bunch of shots. By all accounts he has good instincts on that end, although he doesn't face nearly the same competition in France as he would in the NBA, where the players are much bigger, stronger, and talented.

Gobert isn't much of a rebounder despite his length. That's likely from his lack of strength, as he can get pushed around easily. That will only get worse in the NBA. It also doesn't help that aside from his height and wingspan, Gobert measured poorly in other athletic tests.

Every year there is a player(s) in the draft like Gobert where you can't help but feel they could be one of the best players in the draft if they could just fulfill their potential. Sometimes that happens. A lot of the time it doesn't. That's why to me, Gobert is the riskiest bet in the draft, and would likely have the best chance of success by going to a team that could afford to develop him for a few years (I think Oklahoma City at 12 would be a great spot for him to land).

4. Dario Saric, 6'10 223 lbs, 19 yrs, SF, Croatia

Projected: Mid-to-Late 1st Round

2012-13 Total Stats

Name GP MIN PTS 2PFG 3PFG FT OREB DREB TREB AST PF BLK STL TOV
Dario Saric (Eurocup) 1 17 4 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 3 4 2 4 0 0 3
Dario Saric (Adriatic League) 15 353 116 33-84 10-33 20-40 34 58 92 32 47 11 15 34
Dario Saric (Croatia) 15 443 223 73-105 10-36 47-66 38 84 122 36 43 15 29 51
Total: 31 813 343 106-189 20-69 67-106 73 142 214 68 90 26 44 88

2012-13 Per Game Stats

Name GP MPG PPG 2PFG% 3PFG% FT% OREB DREB TREB APG PF BLK STL TOV
Dario Saric (Eurocup) 1 17.0 4.0 0.400 0.000 0.000 1.0 3.0 4.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 3.0
Dario Saric (Adriatic League) 15 23.5 7.7 0.393 0.303 0.500 2.3 3.9 6.1 2.1 3.1 0.7 1.0 2.3
Dario Saric (Croatia) 15 29.5 14.9 0.695 0.278 0.712 2.5 5.6 8.1 2.4 2.9 1.0 1.9 3.4
Total 31 26.2 11.1 0.561 0.290 0.632 2.4 4.6 6.9 2.2 2.9 0.8 1.4 2.8

Analysis:

Saric is an interesting prospect, one that I don't believe is quite ready for the NBA, but definitely see why some are so intrigued. A legit 6'10, Saric moves and handles the ball like a guard and can make plays for teammates like one too. He excels at getting into the lane and scoring there, although against tougher competition he hasn't had as much success.

Saric is a very streaky shooter right now, with inconsistent shot mechanics. If he could hit the outside jumper consistently, he'd be much higher on everyone's draft board but he hasn't shown the ability to do that yet. He's also pretty inconsistent at the Free Throw line as well.

Saric is an excellent rebounder for his size and position, and in that regard, I wonder if he couldn't end up playing PF in the NBA rather than SF, especially if his outside shot doesn't improve. He'd need to add some bulk but I think it'd be doable, maybe only in stretches.

Defensively, Saric needs a lot of work, as he gets beat off the dribble and relies too often on his length to try to contest shots from behind. He'll get eaten alive in the NBA trying to do that.

I've seen some Mock Drafts put Saric in the lottery, but I wouldn't consider him for Sacramento unless he fell to the second round. He'll probably need to stay in Europe a couple more years for seasoning too.

5. Lucas Nogueira, 6'11, 215 lbs, 20 yrs, C, Brazil

Projected: Mid-to-Late First Round

2012-13 Total Stats

Name GP MIN PTS 2PFG 3PFG FT OREB DREB TREB AST PF BLK STL TOV
Lucas Nogueira (Spain) 34 446 184 76-115 0-0 32-48 57 60 117 9 62 38 16 19
Lucas Nogueira (World University Games) 6 72 26 12-19 0-0 2-4 14 14 28 2 12 9 4 8
Total: 40 518 210 88-134 0-0 34-52 71 74 145 11 74 47 20 27

2012-13 Per Game Stats

Name GP MPG PPG 2PFG% 3PFG% FT% OREB DREB TREB APG PF BLK STL TOV
Lucas Nogueira (Spain) 34 13.1 5.4 0.661 0.000 0.667 1.7 1.8 3.4 0.3 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.6
Lucas Nogueira (World University Games) 6 12.0 4.3 0.632 0.000 0.500 2.3 2.3 4.7 0.3 2.0 1.5 0.7 1.3
Total 40 13.0 5.3 0.657 0.000 0.654 1.8 1.9 3.6 0.3 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.7

Analysis:

Nogueira has been tentatively testing the draft waters for a couple years now, and it looks like he'll finally make the jump this year.

Nogueira is an excellent shot blocker and offensive rebounder, but struggles in most other areas. His offensive game is relatively nonexistent and he's still on the light side for a big man. This also hurts him defensively, where despite his great instincts and ability to stay in front of his man, he still gets pushed around. He does play in probably the second best professional basketball league in the world (Spanish ACB) so the fact that he's one of the best shotblockers over there bodes well for the translation to the NBA.

The question is, will he be able to contribute anything else besides the occasional blocked shot?

6. Giannis Adetokunbo, 6'9, 196 lbs, 18 yrs, SF, Greece

Projected: Late First Round

2012-13 Total Stats

Name GP MIN PTS 2PFG 3PFG FT OREB DREB TREB AST PF BLK STL TOV
Giannis Adetokunbo (Greece) 26 585 247 59-95 31-99 36-50 ? ? 130 36 83 26 18 42

2012-13 Per Game Stats

Name GP MPG PPG 2PFG% 3PFG% FT% OREB DREB TREB APG PF BLK STL TOV
Giannis Adetokunbo (Greece) 26 22.5 9.5 0.621 0.313 0.720 ? ? 5.0 1.4 3.2 1.0 0.7 1.6

Analysis:

Like Gobert, Adetokunbo is all about the "what if". His physical measurements are off the charts, with monster hands and great size. Adetokunbo recently grew several inches to his current height, so he's spent most of his time playing as a guard. He's got good ballhandling and passing skills, and a high basketball IQ. He's not an explosive leaper, but he's got good body control and finishes around the basket at a high rate. His outside shot is a work in progress.

Adetokunbo has a lot of potential on the defensive side of the ball. He isn't a shut-down defender yet, but he has the tools to one day be, and good instincts on that end. He's also an excellent rebounder.

The competition Adetokunbo went up against in Greece's 2nd Division wasn't that great (Fran Fraschilla compared it to upper-tier American High School play), and he's also the youngest player in the draft. Expecting him to contribute in a meaningful way in the next year or two isn't realistic. He'll probably stay in Europe a while longer and hopefully move up to the much more competitive 1st Divisions in Greece, Spain, Italy or Germany.

7. Mouhammadou Jaiteh, 6'11, 250 lbs, 18 yrs, C, France

Projected: Early Second Round

2012-13 Total Stats

Name GP MIN PTS 2PFG 3PFG FT OREB DREB TREB AST PF BLK STL TOV
Mouhammadou Jaiteh (France) 30 833 486 193-302 0-2 100-148 105 186 291 26 54 27 27 64

2012-13 Per Game Stats

Name GP MPG PPG 2PFG% 3PFG% FT% OREB DREB TREB APG PF BLK STL TOV
Mouhammadou Jaiteh (France) 30 27.8 16.2 0.639 0.000 0.676 3.5 6.2 9.7 0.9 1.8 0.9 0.9 2.1

Analysis:

Jaiteh is a big dude. At just 18 years old, he's already got legitimate NBA Center size and strength. He's a phenomenal rebounder on both ends, which is his primary strength. His offensive game is still developing, but he's shown he can hit a mid-range jumper.

Defensively he's not much of a presence yet despite his size. He's definitely a project pick.

8. Livio Jean-Charles, 6'9, 217 lbs, 19 yrs, F, France

Projected: Early Second Round

2012-13 Total Stats

Name GP MIN PTS 2PFG 3PFG FT OREB DREB TREB AST PF BLK STL TOV
Livio Jean-Charles (France) 29 401 96 34-60 6-14 10-17 30 48 78 15 32 6 14 18

2012-13 Per Game Stats

Name GP MPG PPG 2PFG% 3PFG% FT% OREB DREB TREB APG PF BLK STL TOV
Livio Jean-Charles (France) 29 13.8 3.3 0.567 0.429 0.588 1.0 1.7 2.7 0.5 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.6

Analysis:

Jean-Charles doesn't get much burn in France, but he's impressed during the times where he did see extended playing time. Last month, he torched the US Junior National Select Team to the tune of 27 points and 13 rebounds.

Jean-Charles doesn't do any one thing superbly, but he does a lot of things well. He's a good rebounder, good defender, decent shooter (small-sample size to be fair). He is a bit of a tweener forward right now and might end up being that in the NBA.

9. Nemanja Nedovic, 6'4, 195 lbs, 21 yrs, SG, Serbia

Projected: Mid Second Round

2012-13 Total Stats

Name GP MIN PTS 2PFG 3PFG FT OREB DREB TREB AST PF BLK STL TOV
Nemanja Nedovic (Euroleague) 10 228 98 24-63 12-35 14-20 7 18 25 21 19 2 8 25
Nemanja Nedovic (VTB United League) 17 360 176 40-90 25-59 21-27 10 31 41 42 37 4 21 33
Nemanja Nedovic (Lithuania) 18 375 200 47-82 23-59 37-47 5 38 43 69 34 4 21 31
Total: 45 963 474 111-235 60-153 72-94 22 87 109 132 90 10 50 89

2012-13 Per Game Stats

Name GP MPG PPG 2PFG% 3PFG% FT% OREB DREB TREB APG PF BLK STL TOV
Nemanja Nedovic (Euroleague) 10 22.8 9.8 0.381 0.343 0.700 0.7 1.8 2.5 2.1 1.9 0.2 0.8 2.5
Nemanja Nedovic (VTB United League) 17 21.2 10.4 0.444 0.424 0.778 0.6 1.8 2.1 2.5 2.2 0.2 1.2 1.9
Nemanja Nedovic (Lithuania) 18 20.8 11.1 0.573 0.390 0.787 0.3 2.1 2.1 3.8 1.9 0.2 1.2 1.7
Total 45 21.4 10.5 0.472 0.392 0.766 0.5 1.9 2.4 2.9 2.0 0.2 1.1 2.0

Analysis:

Nedovic is an athletic scoring guard who also possesses good playmaking abilities. He reminds me of a smaller Rudy Fernandez. He could be a decent roleplayer off the bench.

10. Alex Abrines, 6'5, 190 lbs, 20 yrs, SG, Spain

Projected: Late Second Round

2012-13 Total Stats

Name GP MIN PTS 2PFG 3PFG FT OREB DREB TREB AST PF BLK STL TOV
Alex Abrines (Euroleague) 15 163 77 14-22 11-34 16-16 4 12 16 5 20 1 6 8
Alex Abrines (Spain) 32 332 110 22-42 17-59 15-22 7 26 33 7 41 8 10 18
Total: 47 495 187 36-64 28-93 31-38 11 38 49 12 61 9 16 26

2012-13 Per Game Stats

Name GP MPG PPG 2PFG% 3PFG% FT% OREB DREB TREB APG PF BLK STL TOV
Alex Abrines (Euroleague) 15 10.9 5.1 0.636 0.324 1.000 0.3 0.8 1.1 0.3 1.3 0.1 0.4 0.5
Alex Abrines (Spain) 32 10.4 3.4 0.524 0.288 0.682 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.2 1.3 0.3 0.3 0.6
Total 47 10.5 4.0 0.563 0.301 0.816 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.3 1.3 0.2 0.3 0.6

Analysis:

He's a SG who can't really shoot or pass. No thanks.

11. Bojan Dubljevic, 6'10, 242 lbs, 21 yrs, PF, Montenegro

Projected: Early-to-Late Second Round

2012-13 Total Stats

Name GP MIN PTS 2PFG 3PFG FT OREB DREB TREB AST PF BLK STL TOV
Bojan Dubljevic (Eurocup) 16 329 213 61-111 14-36 49-60 26 50 76 11 39 6 10 22
Bojan Dubljevic (Spain) 36 714 437 121-217 36-76 87-104 50 82 132 19 95 10 23 77
Total: 52 1043 650 162-328 50-112 136-164 76 132 208 30 134 16 33 99

2012-13 Per Game Stats

Name GP MPG PPG 2PFG% 3PFG% FT% OREB DREB TREB APG PF BLK STL TOV
Bojan Dubljevic (Eurocup) 16 20.6 13.3 0.550 0.389 0.817 1.6 3.1 4.8 0.7 2.4 0.4 0.6 1.4
Bojan Dubljevic (Spain) 36 19.8 12.1 0.558 0.474 0.837 1.4 2.3 3.7 0.5 2.6 0.3 0.6 2.1
Total 52 20.1 12.5 0.494 0.446 0.829 1.5 2.5 4.0 0.6 2.6 0.3 0.6 1.9

Analysis:

Here's a potential sleeper. Dubljevic is a stretch 4, and one of the best shooters in the draft, although he does most of his damage around the basket. He's not the most athletic guy (and might be one of the least athletic in the draft). He also doesn't do much other than score. He's got an excellent motor though, and I could foresee him being a roleplayer on a good team one day, much like a Matt Bonner.

12. Marko Todorovic, 6'11, 240 lbs, 21 yrs, PF/C, Montenegro

Projected: Late Second Round to Undrafted

2012-13 Total Stats

Name GP MIN PTS 2PFG 3PFG FT OREB DREB TREB AST PF BLK STL TOV
Marko Todorovic (Euroleague) 18 133 44 14-25 1-5 13-22 18 21 39 7 17 10 5 13
Marko Todorovic (Spain) 24 162 69 25-40 2-9 13-26 22 28 50 6 25 7 5 16
Total: 42 295 113 39-65 3-14 26-48 40 49 89 13 42 17 10 29

2012-13 Per Game Stats

Name GP MPG PPG 2PFG% 3PFG% FT% OREB DREB TREB APG PF BLK STL TOV
Marko Todorovic (Euroleague) 18 7.4 2.4 0.560 0.200 0.591 1.0 1.2 2.2 0.4 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.7
Marko Todorovic (Spain) 24 6.8 2.9 0.625 0.222 0.500 0.9 1.2 2.1 0.3 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.7
Total 42 7.0 2.7 0.600 0.214 0.542 1.0 1.2 2.1 0.3 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.7

Analysis:

He's big, he's young, he might be something one day. Classic draft and stash in the late 2nd round.

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