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State of the Point Guard

If Mike Bibby were in a Cleveland Cavaliers jersey right now, the world would be talking about how great he is. A fearless shooter from deep, a smart decision-maker, a prime offensive talent.

Mike Bibby's in a Sacramento Kings jersey, and the only thing people wonder about him is whether he'll be a King next winter.

His March has been fantastic. With the exception of Sunday's eruption, it's flown completely under the radar. He's shooting .438 percent this month - not great shakes, but much better than his dreary November .361 mark. From three (which is where he takes 40% of his shots), he's hitting .456 in March. That's incredible.

Bibby dug himself a hole last year, starting off poorly and never fully recovering despite improvement over the course of the season. This whole was too big to overcome, it seems. Bibby won't get to the magical 20 ppg mark by April 18 - hell, he might not make it to 18 ppg. (He's at 17.6 today.) His season FG% has gotten above .400 (a minor miracle) and his three-point accuracy is up to a very respective .352. Unless he goes on a Kobe-like run, he's not making end-of-the-year "WOW!" lists.

But he's still the Kings' best option at point guard.

I've poured through free agent lists and team rosters. And I can't find a single better option for 2007-08 Sacramento Kings starting point guard. Maurice Williams is going to be expensive. Andre Miller isn't going to be available for a fair price. Flip Murray, Tyronn Lue, Brevin Knight, Marcus Banks, Mike James, no no no no no.

Mike Bibby is the better option, and here's why:

  • It's possible the awful, no-good, terrible start resulted from two serious factors: an injured wrist and the microfiber ball. In preseason, with the microfiber ball, Bibby shot lights out. But he was practicing his ass off with that ball, and had only had it for a month. Without doubt, he put in tons of time with the new ball. Then, the wrist injury with a week left in preseason. All of a sudden, he's not practicing with the new ball, or any ball. Even though he came back in time for opening day, I doubt he risked stressing that injury out by showing up at the gym at 2 in the morning to take some jumpers. It was all he could do to stay in the lineup, let alone spend a lot more quality time with the new ball. So yeah, he shot the hell out of the new ball for three weeks, then had to stop practicing with it. The injury chatter didn't go away until January, when the leather ball came back. In January, his penchant to actually hit shots returned (.417/.350/.771 that month).
  • Eric Musselman's offense is dramatically different than the system Rick Adelman employed. Everyone knew it'd be different, but it was still a shock. Bibby relied for five years on high-post screens from a big who handles the ball. Musselman's offense shifts the entire post setup sideways, and uses Bibby more as a screener than decision-maker. Adelman's system led Bibby to his favorite spots on the floor - left elbow deep, left corner, two steps left of straight-away. Musselman's system results in Bibby on the right side of the floor a lot, and sometimes in the left midrange area. Obviously, that hasn't worked. Even Sunday you could see it - Mike clanked his midrange jumpers and nailed his threes from the left wing. Shooters have their sweet spots, and Bibby's could be the most pronounced of all. Adjusting to Musselman's (always-changing, hardly intuitive) offense has surely been a season-long battle from someone so entrenched in playing a certain way.
  • Ron Artest is a weight. He completely shook up the locker room to the point where hearing  about a shouting match after the game isn't a surprise. It worked last year, when the team needs a kick in the ass. But that type of abrasion can't last a whole season.
There's reason to believe Mike Bibby will turn in a better year next season. Barring another injury, his annual slow start shouldn't be so damaging. I pray for David Stern he doesn't try to bring that damn ball back. Artest will likely be gone, even if he's traded for spare parts. If Musselman goes, the next coach will hopefully understand his roster and build the offense around them. If Muss stays, Bibby and company will be that much closer to working out the kinks.

Unless there's a deal that knocks Geoff Petrie's socks off, I think the Kings should stick with Bibby. This was the bottom. It's only better from here.

(Also, I'm an idiot for writing off the Bibby Era so casually at the trade deadline. Also, this isn't a response to the Phoenix game - I was writing this last week.)

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Re: State of the Point Guard
Excellent Post TZ. A whole lot of good stuff that im not even sure where to begin with. So ill try with the top.

Your point about not always appreciating what you have is accurate. Like adelman im not sure the Bibby era was meant to last. He has too many warts on his game. Like potential free agent predecessors he's simply better than all of them.

1 quick point about the 'slow' start the team had under adelman. I'm not the biggest fan of ailene voisin but her point about Bibby being too heavy to start the 05-06 season was accurate. Did Rick Adelman once call out MB10 through the media? Nope. Not that i remember. I think that combined with peja-gate, bonzi's injury didnt put the team in the best of possible situation. Adelman made it work, yet again. Ok ive beaten that idea down with a stick. Moving on.

Moving forward to this year Bibby suffer's a wrist injury. I've had those and they damn sure affect your ability to shoot the ball. BUT if we can all agree that's bibby greatest asset to the team doesnt it behoove him as Musselman to get him rest to get the wrist to properly heal before he tests it in game action? Seriously I know mike hates to miss games but Musselman had to assert authority. He simply didnt and i think right there is where everything began to unravel. So now you combine a wrist injury (where bibby shouldnt have played for his & maybe the team's benefit) and a new offense that bibby doesnt know. Not to mention that adelman has tweaked his offense to give bibby more responsbility these last few years. So bibby is once again dealing with some new stuff @ the beginning of the season. He got off to a slow start and it's all she wrote in many ways. His 2nd half has been much better overall.

The ron artest 'factor' cant be overlooked. It's easy to say he was a short term solution now. But if you said that in october most people would have looked @ you cross-eyed. I didnt even say it or think it. I was still tripping over the way adelman was let go. The warning signs were there if you looked. Nobody did in or outside the franchise really. Everyone just assumed this team could make the playoffs. I challenge anyone out there who saw this coming. Speak up now.

Unless you get instant cap room (theo ratliff for mike) @ the end of next season I dont see how the kings will benefit from trading mike. If the worst is as TZ believes it is, over then the kings have something to start with. When you look around the league and see what other PG's are doing it definitely makes you appreciate more. Until you realize the guys who really are better are the Stud PG guys who you had no real shot of getting in the 1st place.

I am the stone that the builder refused I am the visual, the inspiration That made Lady Sing the Blues..I'm the spark that makes your idea bright...

by pookeyguru on Mar 28, 2007 11:52 AM PDT   0 recs

Re: State of the Point Guard
Im such a proponent of trading Artest for a large shake and side of fries.  

His locker room presence already destroyed indiana, to a place where they still might not recover unless they trade everyone out.

I'm hoping he plays in the Greek leagues.  Those fans throw car stereo's at players, not beers.

by Chris The Greek on Mar 28, 2007 11:54 AM PDT   0 recs

Re: State of the Point Guard
http://www.sacbee.com/100/story/145348.html

Interesting article from the bee in case anyone didnt read it. Let me highlight 1 part that caught my eye.

Veteran coach Don Nelson, who landed with Golden State but was interested in the Sacramento post, said months after Petrie's assessment that the Kings' talent was a major attraction.

"I think they're as good as anybody in the West," Nelson said. "I think the Martin kid has given them four All-Star players, really. Once (injured center Brad) Miller gets back, I can't see anybody that's better than they are."

Anyway seems the maloof's werent the only 1's over the summer who thought this team was pretty good.

I am the stone that the builder refused I am the visual, the inspiration That made Lady Sing the Blues..I'm the spark that makes your idea bright...

by pookeyguru on Mar 28, 2007 12:06 PM PDT   0 recs

Re: State of the Point Guard
I believe that statement was made by Nelson just prior to a game between the Warriors and Kings. Coaches frequently are guilty of making statements like that under similar circumstances --perhaps to gain a psychological edge.

This quote was published weeks ago and now Sam Amick has chosen to insert it into his column again. The favorite ploy of the media and overly zealous fans, who are calling for the coach's head, is to state that the team is loaded
with talent and continues to struggle.

The Kings are not deep in talent. I would rate them in the bottom quartile in athleticism.  The front court players may be the weakest in the NBA.

Coaches are easy targets and become scapegoats while other problems continue to fester.  Miller, Bibby, Abdur Rahim, and Thomas are not going to get any better and their contracts will continue to devour a good portion of the salary cap.  

The Kings' management has a choice, either take some bold action now,like the Knicks and 76ers have done,or prolong the agony while waiting for some elevated contracts to expire.

In the meantime, I expect a coaching change.  It will appease the season ticket holders for another year and it will momentarily calm the radicals.

by aspen on Mar 28, 2007 4:09 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: State of the Point Guard
I thought the quote was interesting thats all. I dont care how amick uses in what context or whatever. The kings werent very athletic in 2002 either. I think they did ok. It's about talent and fit & probably 50 other things. This group is somewhat mismatched. That isnt musselman's fault. HOW HE'S HANDLED IT IS. That's all im saying. Truthfully I've said why i dont think he should be around for another year. If he isnt getting along with the younger players (im going to assume sam amick isnt marty mcneal) then it really doesnt make sense to move forward with muss regardless of whatever relationship he has with bibby miller or artest.
I am the stone that the builder refused I am the visual, the inspiration That made Lady Sing the Blues..I'm the spark that makes your idea bright...

by pookeyguru on Mar 29, 2007 12:33 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: State of the Point Guard
The Kings should have drafted Sergio Rodriguez... Kermit Bibby has been playing cool it's just that I'm getting bored with him.  He really needs to go.

by R3DLiN3 on Mar 28, 2007 12:08 PM PDT   0 recs

Re: State of the Point Guard
I was a huge proponent of drafting Sergio, too - but the jury is out on Douby. Next year, we should know how good Quincy can be.

(Geoff can't say no to shooters!)

by Ziller on Mar 28, 2007 12:16 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: State of the Point Guard
Im having nightmares of seeing Chase Budinger, Aaron Gray, or Aaron Afflalo in a Kings Jersey next season.

by Chris The Greek on Mar 28, 2007 12:45 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: State of the Point Guard
We should have drafted a big and not another guard. Josh Boone was available and although he hasn't had a spectacular season he has shown promise. If you shouldn't trade a big for a small why would you draft a small when there were bigs available?

Ronny Price is just fine as a back-up point. This season is a wash because he's been Salmonized (or a victim of the Salmons effect).

Musselman is a joke.

We are slipping into the NBA abyss.

by jjham15 on Mar 28, 2007 7:49 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: State of the Point Guard
Marcus Williams wouldn't have been bad either.
I wish for the Greg Oden Era.

by kingme18 on Mar 28, 2007 12:24 PM PDT   0 recs

Re: State of the Point Guard
We may be able to sign Mo Williams for the mid-level exception and 30 million dollars for 5 yrs.

IF the Kings can draft a shot blocking center/big like Oden, Noah, Jianlian, Hibbert than the Kings should perhaps opt to keep Bibby and watch his deal expire two years from now.

I wish for the Greg Oden Era.

by kingme18 on Mar 28, 2007 12:28 PM PDT   0 recs

Re: State of the Point Guard
i believe, if i am not mistaking, is the option is bibby's and not the kings.  so unless he feels he can  get more money per year than what he is making now, then he is staying.  if that happens, then the kings will have to make one of two trades.  first, get rid of artest, he makes a reasonable salary for a player of his skill.  however, to make salaries match for the trade to work, we have to look at what we are going to get.  second, trade artest and miller.  miller will be the harder of the two to trade because of his fat-bastard like contract and his lack of any athletic ability.  

by Cynema the Band on Mar 28, 2007 12:43 PM PDT   0 recs

Re: State of the Point Guard
At least four people in basketball I trust have said Miller is untradeable. UGH.

by Ziller on Mar 28, 2007 1:18 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: State of the Point Guard
There is this fellow in New York.  He has this great habit of giving up draft picks for past-their-prime and overpriced "talent".

Brad would team nicely with Eddy Curry to form the league's least athletic frontcourt of all time.

by Chris The Greek on Mar 28, 2007 2:53 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: State of the Point Guard
Oddly enough I could see zeke doin that. What i cant imagine is dolan not firing him when it doesnt go well 20 games into the season. Also it would take some real searching to find a worst rebounding combo than miller/curry.
I am the stone that the builder refused I am the visual, the inspiration That made Lady Sing the Blues..I'm the spark that makes your idea bright...

by pookeyguru on Mar 28, 2007 3:04 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: State of the Point Guard
Dolan would never fire Zeke because doing so would admit that he screwed up the NBA's most profitable franchise.

Sports Illustradted did a fantastic article on Dolan since becoming chairman of MSG, and shows what kind of egotistical prick he is.  

This guy has mandatory concerts for employees when he plays.

James Dolans Greatness

by Chris The Greek on Mar 28, 2007 3:31 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: State of the Point Guard
Dolan is as unpredictable as he is stupid. Easily the worst owner in the nba. Am i the only person who enjoys seeing the knicks stink & having ny fans cry & moan about their garbage team? hehehehehe
I am the stone that the builder refused I am the visual, the inspiration That made Lady Sing the Blues..I'm the spark that makes your idea bright...

by pookeyguru on Mar 29, 2007 12:36 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: State of the Point Guard
Calderon would be a great fit. Too bad Colangelo wont let him go.

by cwebb on Mar 28, 2007 3:27 PM PDT   0 recs

Re: State of the Point Guard
Yeah, it's a shame they seem to be set on keeping both indefinitely.

by Ziller on Mar 28, 2007 3:41 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: State of the Point Guard
Calderon is a stud too. Even though I hate the Florida Gators, I think that Joakim Noah would be something the Kings need. He's a monster down low and it would be nice to see his energy paired up with Cisco's.

by R3DLiN3 on Mar 28, 2007 5:57 PM PDT   0 recs

Re: State of the Point Guard
Nice post TZ, but unless I skimmed too fast, I didn't notice any mention of our PG's defensive liabilities. There are two sides of the court, no?

Not that any of the potential replacements are any great shakes in that regard, but I'm just saying...

If we don't trade Bibby, we need to do something about our interior presence.

by otis29 on Mar 28, 2007 7:54 PM PDT   0 recs

Re: State of the Point Guard
Regardless of Bibby, we need an inside presence.

Expect my first draft post on the subject Thursday morning.

by Ziller on Mar 28, 2007 8:26 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: State of the Point Guard
Amen to that!
We are slipping into the NBA abyss.

by jjham15 on Mar 28, 2007 11:44 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: State of the Point Guard
Not giving up my dreams...
I wish for the Greg Oden Era.

by kingme18 on Mar 28, 2007 9:48 PM PDT   0 recs

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