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Facts About Jonny Flynn And The Odds He Becomes A Sacramento King

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Ever since the Minnesota Timberwolves managed to secure Ricky Rubio's services for the 2011-12 season, Jonny Flynn has loomed large on the trading block, and has loomed especially large on the minds of (some) Sacramento Kings fans. We discussed it here in brief last week, over the weekend and in the CK podcast. So let's really dig in. Jonny Flynn, Sacramento King?

1. The Kings adored Flynn in 2009. If Tyreke Evans hadn't fallen to No. 4, I'm convinced that Sacramento would have taken Flynn. (Yes, possibly even over James Harden, had he fallen. Flynn was almost certainly above Stephen Curry and Brandon Jennings on the Kings' board, though I bet you'd hear otherwise now due to some revisionist history.) Remember, even back then the team was agitating for leadership ; part of Flynn's particular charm as a prospect what that he was a gamer, a fighter, a winner. It seems damn long ago that those attributes and not "disappointment" defined Flynn. But it was definitely the case. In Flynn, the Kings saw a floor leader, an athletic guard and a good shooter. They really liked him.

2. Jonny Flynn is 22 years old. Let's keep in mind that though he's had two awful pro seasons, he came out after his sophomore season. Many "busts" are 24, 25 when they become available. Flynn would have just finished his senior season had he stayed in school. Flynn is one year older than Kemba Walker and just three weeks older than Jimmer Fredette.

Seven more, below the jump.

3. Flynn played for the most dysfunctional franchise in the NBA. We know dysfunction, and only two franchises have been more dysfunctional than the Kings over the past two seasons: the Clippers (that whole Dunleavy-Kim Hughes mess plus Baron Davis and Sterling ... ugh) and the Wolves. (I consider the Kings a push with the Pistons under Kuester, and I think the Nets of 2010-11 made up for the '09-10 season.) Dysfunction matters. Certain levels of players can rise above the mire. But young point guards dealing with injuries, coaches who don't trust them and front offices in love with 18-year-old Spaniards? No way.

4. Flynn has been awful. No two ways about it: Flynn has been bad. As a rookie, Flynn was inefficient enough to have negative offensive Win Shares, per B-Ref. His turnover rate was a shade under 18 percent -- 18 percent of his used possessions were turnovers; by comparison, Tyreke NaPG Evans' numbers are around 14 percent. Flynn was clearly broken in '10-11 -- his numbers were among the very worst in the league. Based on his second season, there is no argument for taking a chance on him. You have the rely on "not completely disastrous" rookie numbers and college performance. And a few stretches of logic.

5. Flynn was never a great three-point shooter. Even in college, Flynn shot 35 and 31 percent. That's not great. He's shot 36 and 31 percent in the pros on a middle-of-the-road volume. Even that which Flynn was supposed to do well, he does just OK at best right now.

6. Flynn isn't the only point guard that Kurt Rambis destroyed. Scroll down to "Fit" in this brilliant Rubio projection over at Canis Hoopus. The Wolves f--king maimed Ramon Sessions' career!

7. Flynn's value is low, but David Kahn can't give him away. This is a point I touched on in the CK podcast. If Kahn had been replaced this summer, and a new GM were in place, that new GM could give Flynn away for a late first or a second pick or a Pooh Jeter. Kahn can't. Sure, everyone knows the Flynn pick -- considering Curry, Jennings, Holiday, Lawson, now even Teague! -- was a disaster. But Kahn gets nothing positive reputation-wise for giving away Flynn now. Should Flynn turn it around under a new coach, Kahn's legacy can be preserved a bit. (The ol' Mike Conley-Chris Wallace gambit.) You've got to give Kahn something he can pass off as promising. In theory, anyways. This is Kahn.

8. The Kings don't actually have many suitable offerings. Omri Casspi? I'm not comfortable giving up a long, athletic wing who can shoot really well in stretches. The same goes for Donte Greene, with a discount on his shooting and a plus on his defensive potential. I have no question Minnesota would get itself excited for a Flynn-Jason Thompson swap. No chance I pull the trigger on that, not now. I would think Petrie would agree, even though J.T. is coming up on restricted free agency in a year and Flynn's cheap for two more. So then we're left talking about draft picks, pick swaps and that whole mess. There's no no-brainer swap.

9. The Wolves have other stuff cooking. If the "no clear match" issue wasn't a big enough hurdle, there's the fact that Minnesota has other, bigger irons in the fire. Predominantly, they surround the No. 2 pick. You know an easy way to unload Flynn for basically nothing while saving face locally? Include him in a larger deal for a veteran player. If the Wolves manage to flip No. 2 for a guy like Danny Granger, Andre Iguodala or Rudy Gay (unlikely, but possible), look for Flynn to be included, even if he's spun to a third team. The big trade will distract for Kahn's 2009 failure at No. 6, and allow the necessary cover.

Given all of that, it seems highly unlikely Flynn ends up with the Kings this summer. Sessions, however ...