Portland Trail Blazers at Sacramento Kings
7 p.m. Pacific on Comcast SportsNet California
Let's engage in an exercise.
The Blazers are kinda bad on the road. The Kings are not as bad as they seem overall when they are at home. Science!
The teams play at identical paces: just over 93 possessions per game. Let's imagine this game has 93 possessions!
At home, the Kings average 1.03 points per possession. On the road, the Blazers allow 1.01 points per possession. A reasonable expectation for the Kings would be to score 1.02 points per possession, or in a 93-possession game, about 95 points.
At home, the Kings allow 1.06 points per possession. On the road, the Blazers score 0.96 points per possession. As such, the Blazers would be expected to score 1.01 points per possession, or in a 93-possession game, about 94 points.
Ergo, the Kings would be expected to win 95-94.
Ergo, victory!
Science!
Game's at 7. Game threads at 7 and 8:30.