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Kings finish with sixth worst record, 21 percent chance of moving into top 3 in NBA draft

Sacramento is in sole possession of the sixth worst record in basketball.


The regular season is over, and surprise! the Kings were not very good. Sacramento finished 28-54. This is the fifth straight season in which the Kings finished with fewer than 30 wins and one of the seven worst records in the league.

As such, the NBA Draft Lottery will be an important offseason happening. (Assuming the Kings remain in Sacramento for next season.) In that lottery, the Kings will have a decent chance of moving into the top three. Kings fans obviously know how the lottery works: each team has a set number of combinations of four ping pong balls, the league draws one combination, and the team with that one picks No. 1 overall. The same happens for No. 2 and No. 3. After that, draft order is determined by losing percentage, with ties broken by coin flip.

As the only team in the No. 6 spot, the Kings have a 6.3 percent probability of winning the No. 1 pick, a 7.1 percent probability of winning the No. 2 pick and a 8.1 percent probability of winning the No. 3 pick. Overall, there's a 43 percent likelihood the Kings will pick No. 6 and a 30 percent probability the Kings will pick No. 7. (That would mean a team ahead of the Kings in the standings will have leapt into the top three.)

Recent No. 6 picks include Damian Lillard, Jan Vesely, Ekpe Udoh, Jonny Flynn and Danilo Gallinari. The Kings haven't won the lottery since 1989, and have not moved up in the lottery in any of the past six lottery seasons. DraftExpress currently rates Trey Burke as the No. 6 prospect eligible for selection.